2016 Mike R.

5-8 (0.385), 1,172.18 points

11th place

4.89 expected wins (0.376)

58-111 all-play record (0.343)

+12.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 111.89 112.72 Rob -0.83
2 L 83.87 99.38 Pat -15.51
3 L 98.49 136.95 Allen -38.46
4 L 71.75 137.04 Dave -65.29
5 L 60.32 108.72 Richie -48.40 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 90.48 98.17 Pulley -7.69
7 W 83.86 81.78 Derrek 2.08
8 W 118.84 105.54 Babel 13.30
9 L 84.92 120.23 Ed -35.31
10 L 84.80 99.60 Rabbit -14.80
11 W 108.68 87.61 Schertz 21.07
12 W 97.01 92.47 Kevin 4.54
13 W 77.27 70.67 Matt 6.60

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923425.5%212.780219780219872.0000000000000150.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572141.0624151311500300.8%65.52747252747253139.0029864729819714.4%102.34065934065934129.26550584700158212.8%139.15384615384613106.52220912196421322.5%175.9670329670329680.2015945675819540.0%212.78021978021982.769230769230802519.4%249.593406593406688.73438670503032610.0%286.4065934065934114.1547519342902973.5%323.2197802197802131.7137556846186380.8%360.032967032967138.9843257978580590.1%396.8461538461538140.88754211653014100.0%433.6593406593406141.19922111020412110.0%470.4725274725274141.22926664950654120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307438809086813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272614th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711211th599.053846153846230.698224852071139th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613514th256.4576923076923298.15384615384613614th305.4298.15384615384613714th354.3423076923077298.15384615384613813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441211th599.053846153846230.698224852071138th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272414th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711211th599.053846153846230.69822485207113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Dez Bryant K WR
2.06 20 Keenan Allen WR
3.09 37 Jeremy Hill RB
4.06 48 Jordan Matthews WR
5.09 65 Ameer Abdullah RB
6.06 76 Tyler Eifert TE
7.09 93 Vincent Jackson WR
8.06 104 Eli Manning QB
9.09 121 Dion Lewis K RB
10.06 132 Karlos Williams RB
11.09 149 Seattle DEF
12.06 160 Ryan Fitzpatrick QB
13.09 177 Darren Sproles RB
14.06 188 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.09 205 Anquan Boldin WR
16.06 216 Braxton Miller WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.257219.2123.457269181649270.816251.6260355029585384.7621330636634480.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.671348.904142011834394.76263813967739110.467381.33017751479287108.93380840080168120.170413.75621301775146129.49166485819853130.72024.6437869822485291.3533750455817110.25757.069822485207105123.4231765507082320.49089.49585798816568107.285997905322130.108121.92189349112428133.730515305190840.032154.34792899408282138.9921446804117750.356186.7739644970414116.559193521262360.000219.2105.6837691325291670.000251.6260355029585328.29349689655765680.273284.0520710059171122.3094839399703290.271316.4781065088757122.44585446373415100.000348.904142011834348.294507048585544110.000381.3301775147928776.63684757083414120.000413.75621301775146117.7525604856278113Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692364228.2119.92899408284023710261.957396449704187.9763313609467480295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.230769230769231010363.229585798816587.97633136094674116396.9869822485207109.27810650887574122430.74437869822486130.5798816568047313625.655621301775145109.278106508875741359.413017751479295125.254437869822482493.17041420118342119.9289940828402333126.92781065088758125.2544378698224840160.6852071005917141.2307692307692355194.44260355029584114.6035502958579960228.298.6272189349112470261.957396449704134.7218934911242583295.7147928994083125.2544378698224892329.47218934911234130.57988165680473100363.229585798816534.72189349112425110396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.74437869822486119.9289940828402313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
1 983 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
2 980 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.379 16.42
3 971 2012 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.56 0.385 13.78
4 971 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
5 970 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.376 21.90
6 970 2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93
7 968 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
8 968 2022 Pat 8-6 6th 90.52 0.391 15.47 6th place
9 967 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.362 16.28
10 966 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.377 22.29 4th place