2021 Mike R.

4-10 (0.286), 1,353.79 points

11th place

6.52 expected wins (0.466)

83-99 all-play record (0.456)

+29.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 108.98 111.39 Pat -2.41
2 L 93.79 120.93 Derrek -27.14
3 L 108.74 139.14 Kevin -30.40
4 W 133.41 122.50 Pat 10.91
5 L 121.31 135.53 Richie -14.22
6 L 90.81 137.45 Schertz -46.64
7 L 85.78 153.82 Dave -68.04
8 L 75.39 75.70 Rabbit -0.31
9 L 57.39 88.40 Scott -31.01 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 102.45 64.27 Pulley 38.18
11 L 68.21 117.58 Ed -49.37
12 W 83.56 82.04 Babel 1.52
13 W 105.60 97.33 Rob 8.27
14 L 118.37 136.08 Matt -17.71

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692336.9%164.92307692307696121.8045795107827240.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2280802125788200.0%61.84615384615385141.1534233523006210.3%96.2051282051282140.3508489622197721.9%130.56410256410257135.8938696052503330.0%164.92307692307696102.3783897907962416.0%199.2820512820512796.19324713239332524.3%233.641025641025772.6994625977876624.6%268.071.99999999999999716.4%302.358974358974394.9172285816545487.2%336.71794871794873121.0325345004186592.0%371.0769230769231135.67247761835100.3%405.4358974358974140.32173345280216110.0%439.7948717948718141.15170386217733120.0%474.15384615384613141.2278589708681130.0%508.5128205128205141.2307476926178314Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th56.92366863905325118.2721893491124125th102.1011834319526595.786982248520734th147.2786982248520673.3017751479289944th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289957th237.6337278106509140.7573964497041568th282.8112426035503163.2426035502958579th327.98875739644967185.7278106508876810th373.16627218934906208.2130177514793910th418.3437869822485208.21301775147931011th463.5213017751479230.6982248520711111th508.6988165680473230.6982248520711211th553.8763313609467230.6982248520711310th599.053846153846208.2130177514793149th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876111th56.92366863905325230.698224852071211th102.10118343195265230.69822485207139th147.27869822485206185.727810650887649th192.45621301775148185.7278106508876511th237.6337278106509230.698224852071611th282.8112426035503230.698224852071712th327.98875739644967253.18343195266272812th373.16627218934906253.18343195266272910th418.3437869822485208.21301775147931012th463.5213017751479253.183431952662721110th508.6988165680473208.21301775147931210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931311th599.053846153846230.698224852071147th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th56.92366863905325118.2721893491124127th102.10118343195265140.7573964497041535th147.2786982248520695.786982248520746th192.45621301775148118.2721893491124157th237.6337278106509140.7573964497041568th282.8112426035503163.24260355029585710th327.98875739644967208.2130177514793810th373.16627218934906208.2130177514793910th418.3437869822485208.21301775147931011th463.5213017751479230.6982248520711111th508.6988165680473230.6982248520711211th553.8763313609467230.6982248520711310th599.053846153846208.213017751479314Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Kelce TE
2.10 24 David Montgomery RB
3.05 33 Chris Godwin WR
4.10 52 Robbie Chosen WR
5.05 61 Javonte Williams RB
6.10 80 Laviska Shenault, Jr. WR
7.05 89 Joe Burrow QB
8.10 108 James Robinson K RB
9.05 117 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
10.10 136 Terrace Marshall, Jr. WR
11.05 145 Jakobi Meyers WR
12.10 164 Carlos Hyde RB
13.05 173 Tyler Bass K
14.10 192 Damien Williams RB
15.05 201 Buffalo DEF
16.10 220 Kenneth Gainwell RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00023.485714285714284141.2307692307692310.00053.5956043956044141.2307692307692320.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.916113.8153846153845977.8025889784167640.000143.9252747252747141.2307692307692350.000174.03516483516484141.2307692307692360.000204.1450549450549141.2307692307692370.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.000264.36483516483514141.2307692307692390.548294.4747252747253103.26978429131135100.000324.58461538461535141.23076923076923110.240354.69450549450545124.6117712603502120.608384.8043956043955599.15594015776925130.000414.91428571428565141.23076923076923140.66623.48571428571428495.1330097067363710.40553.5956043956044113.2134683157570320.66183.7054945054944995.4512075955186430.000113.8153846153845914.37440872606430340.833143.925274725274783.5415151868111350.350174.03516483516484116.9863861398895660.277204.1450549450549122.020731308837570.135234.25494505494504131.9075942817149280.010264.36483516483514140.567122540717990.000294.474725274725365.30879935185348100.070324.58461538461535136.37372893498022110.000354.69450549450545107.99277328993116120.000384.8043956043955557.081111084769276130.799414.9142857142856585.9393635629917314Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314024.449999999999996141.230769230769231055.79615384615384141.230769230769232087.14230769230768141.23076923076923312118.4884615384615277.3254437869822540149.83461538461538141.2307692307692350181.18076923076924141.2307692307692360212.52692307692305141.2307692307692370243.87307692307692141.2307692307692380275.21923076923076141.23076923076923910306.5653846153846387.97633136094674100337.91153846153844141.23076923076923114369.2576923076923119.92899408284023128400.603846153846198.62721893491124130431.95141.2307692307692314724.449999999999996103.952662721893491655.79615384615384109.278106508875742987.1423076923076893.3017751479289930118.4884615384615213.4201183431952749149.8346153846153893.3017751479289953181.18076923076924125.2544378698224863212.52692307692305125.2544378698224871243.87307692307692135.9053254437869880275.21923076923076141.2307692307692390306.5653846153846334.72189349112425101337.91153846153844135.90532544378698110369.257692307692398.62721893491124120400.603846153846156.023668639053241310431.9587.9763313609467414All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2021 Mike R. 4-10 11th 96.70 0.466 20.66
1 986 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.462 17.09 6th place
2 983 2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34
3 977 2020 Rabbit 6-7 10th 99.67 0.470 21.92
4 970 2013 Schertz 6-7 9th 92.38 0.470 22.84
5 970 2015 Mike R. 8-5 4th 93.10 0.462 16.62 6th place
6 970 2016 Matt 5-8 10th 96.11 0.460 29.06
7 969 2024 Babel 9-5 4th 99.24 0.474 18.19
8 968 2012 Dave 6-7 7th 95.29 0.478 21.22
9 968 2018 Rabbit 7-6 7th 103.78 0.465 19.18
10 965 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.454 18.15