2023 Mike R.

7-7 (0.500), 1,453.29 points

8th place

7.61 expected wins (0.544)

100-82 all-play record (0.549)

-1.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 104.15 89.76 Rob 14.39
2 W 119.18 111.18 Richie 8.00 Team Blangums
3 L 98.61 136.37 Babel -37.76
4 W 123.59 82.01 Derrek 41.58
5 W 102.13 67.87 Rabbit 34.26
6 W 127.94 113.91 Pulley 14.03 Team Blangums
7 L 82.08 86.10 Scott -4.02
8 L 132.33 142.47 Rob -10.14
9 L 84.46 92.23 Dave -7.77
10 L 100.32 119.30 Ed -18.98
11 L 86.87 90.06 Pat -3.19
12 W 92.01 89.01 Kevin 3.00
13 W 115.03 72.08 Schertz 42.95
14 L 84.59 118.79 Matt -34.20

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.23076923076923622.7%268.074.8520537658443670.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2304722671718800.0%61.84615384615385141.2204166657153310.1%96.2051282051282141.0789743041551720.4%130.56410256410257139.9971751742944832.1%164.92307692307696135.0510998215194146.9%199.28205128205127121.08396410576177515.1%233.641025641025797.0814787068646660.0%268.08.473338300919494723.6%302.358974358974372.0817.1%336.7179487179487391.073685099393898.5%371.0769230769231116.23307161446637102.9%405.4358974358974132.87090786161625110.6%439.7948717948718139.44686314729236120.1%474.15384615384613141.01207054296128130.0%508.5128205128205141.2190814797743314Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th56.9236686390532573.3017751479289925th102.1011834319526595.786982248520735th147.2786982248520695.786982248520745th192.4562130177514895.786982248520754th237.633727810650973.3017751479289965th282.811242603550395.786982248520774th327.9887573964496773.3017751479289983rd373.1662721893490650.81656804733728494th418.343786982248573.30177514792899106th463.5213017751479118.27218934911241116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241126th553.8763313609467118.27218934911241136th599.053846153846118.27218934911241145th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd56.9236686390532550.81656804733728424th102.1011834319526573.3017751479289934th147.2786982248520673.3017751479289944th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289952nd237.633727810650928.33136094674557664th282.811242603550373.3017751479289974th327.9887573964496773.3017751479289986th373.16627218934906118.2721893491124197th418.3437869822485140.75739644970415109th463.5213017751479185.7278106508876117th508.6988165680473140.75739644970415127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415138th599.053846153846163.24260355029585145th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th56.9236686390532573.3017751479289925th102.1011834319526595.786982248520735th147.2786982248520695.786982248520745th192.4562130177514895.786982248520754th237.633727810650973.3017751479289965th282.811242603550395.786982248520774th327.9887573964496773.3017751479289983rd373.1662721893490650.81656804733728494th418.343786982248573.30177514792899106th463.5213017751479118.27218934911241116th508.6988165680473118.27218934911241126th553.8763313609467118.27218934911241136th599.053846153846118.2721893491124114Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Derrick Henry K RB
2.01 15 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
3.14 42 Justin Herbert QB
4.01 43 DeAndre Hopkins WR
5.14 70 Brian Robinson, Jr. RB
6.01 71 Jordan Addison WR
7.14 98 Samaje Perine RB
8.01 99 Tyler Boyd WR
9.14 126 Evan Engram K TE
10.01 127 Adam Thielen WR
11.14 154 D'Onta Foreman RB
12.01 155 Bryce Young QB
13.14 182 Baltimore DEF
14.01 183 Evan McPherson K
15.14 210 Michael Wilson WR
16.01 211 Deuce Vaughn RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.57023.485714285714284101.7619971014821410.80053.595604395604485.818010031428120.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.844113.8153846153845982.7951300879966140.535143.9252747252747104.193938108603750.874174.0351648351648480.7154796005982660.000204.1450549450549141.2307692307692370.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.000264.36483516483514141.2307692307692390.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.000324.58461538461535141.23076923076923110.364354.69450549450545116.012716834802120.750384.8043956043955589.32955101834662130.000414.91428571428565141.23076923076923140.00023.48571428571428462.2932249721950510.00053.595604395604430.40525083208697820.47583.70549450549449108.3646032937140730.000113.8153846153845924.35949094522399640.000143.925274725274767.157106986438250.000174.0351648351648420.2001899704272960.214204.1450549450549126.4450619027347270.902234.2549450549450478.7835638472773880.248264.36483516483514124.0699419471814290.502294.4747252747253106.48950859196145100.285324.58461538461535121.49026620598237110.000354.6945054945054590.79466443883479120.000384.8043956043955537.42833280592403130.250414.91428571428565123.9222072131039314Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314924.44999999999999693.3017751479289911355.7961538461538472.02087.14230769230768141.23076923076923310118.4884615384615287.9763313609467446149.83461538461538109.27810650887574513181.1807692307692472.060212.52692307692305141.2307692307692370243.87307692307692141.2307692307692380275.21923076923076141.2307692307692390306.56538461538463141.23076923076923100337.91153846153844141.23076923076923113369.2576923076923125.25443786982248129400.603846153846193.30177514792899130431.95141.2307692307692314024.44999999999999645.3727810650887451055.796153846153842.76923076923077362587.14230769230768114.6035502958579930118.4884615384615234.7218934911242540149.8346153846153877.3254437869822550181.180769230769242.769230769230773662212.52692307692305130.57988165680473711243.8730769230769282.650887573964585275.21923076923076114.6035502958579995306.56538461538463114.60355029585799105337.91153846153844114.60355029585799110369.2576923076923109.27810650887574120400.603846153846145.372781065088745134431.95119.9289940828402314All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2023 Mike R. 7-7 8th 103.81 0.544 16.55
1 979 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 4th place
2 977 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72
3 974 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.555 17.75 3rd place
4 972 2020 Derrek 8-5 5th 101.08 0.541 22.60 5th place
5 971 2021 Ed 6-8 8th 102.71 0.553 13.85
6 971 2024 Rabbit 6-8 8th 103.28 0.532 18.31
7 970 2012 Derrek 8-5 5th 97.70 0.544 19.03 5th place
8 970 2009 Babel 5-8 9th 102.06 0.534 18.63
9 969 2009 Derrek 7-6 5th 101.26 0.534 17.03 3rd place
10 966 2013 Mike R. 7-6 6th 98.75 0.540 19.77 5th place