2018 Babel

4-9 (0.308), 1,356.45 points

12th place

6.10 expected wins (0.469)

75-94 all-play record (0.444)

+8.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 99.69 103.70 Rob -4.01
2 L 91.45 109.71 Schertz -18.26
3 W 116.13 87.17 Pulley 28.96
4 L 124.69 135.93 Richie -11.24
5 W 71.44 46.68 Pat 24.76
6 L 83.98 115.97 Scott -31.99 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 104.27 149.12 Mike R. -44.85
8 W 119.28 86.90 Dave 32.38
9 L 96.25 96.36 Rabbit -0.11
10 L 103.04 143.91 Matt -40.87
11 W 152.01 116.90 Kevin 35.11 Team Blangums
12 L 116.00 145.84 Derrek -29.84
13 L 78.22 98.13 Ed -19.91

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923310.3%175.96703296703296113.7584228505010340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2221968817909200.1%65.52747252747253141.0359173759237610.7%102.34065934065934139.4352869149584523.4%139.15384615384613132.230107798389330.0%175.9670329670329686.28607647023284420.1%212.780219780219887.42550867520961525.9%249.593406593406672.00000000000001622.0%286.406593406593482.39026483720755712.2%323.2197802197802108.5568084799060484.3%360.032967032967129.734776696667690.9%396.8461538461538138.81654552075267100.1%433.6593406593406140.95981422997573110.0%470.4725274725274141.2177724084114120.0%507.2857142857143141.2306355905800213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479329th109.6307692307692185.727810650887637th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272611th305.4230.698224852071710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479389th403.28461538461534185.727810650887699th452.226923076923185.7278106508876108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585129th599.053846153846185.7278106508876138th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793210th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272612th305.4253.18343195266272710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721212th599.053846153846253.18343195266272137th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793210th109.6307692307692208.213017751479338th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272611th305.4230.698224852071710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793911th452.226923076923230.698224852071108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.2426035502958513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Mike Evans WR
2.02 16 Leonard Fournette K RB
3.13 41 Marshawn Lynch RB
4.02 44 Michael Crabtree WR
5.13 69 Delanie Walker TE
6.02 72 Kareem Hunt K RB
7.13 97 Jared Goff QB
8.02 100 D.J. Moore WR
9.13 125 Jacksonville DEF
10.02 128 Anthony Miller WR
11.13 153 Derek Carr QB
12.02 156 Charles Clay TE
13.13 181 Theo Riddick RB
14.02 184 Doug Martin RB
15.13 209 Chris Boswell K
16.02 212 Baker Mayfield QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.69589.4958579881656893.0820462682930630.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.014154.34792899408282140.2889759112043250.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.730251.6260355029585390.7069263127397480.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.890348.904142011834379.64954967755615110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.41924.64378698224852112.2307406467970210.27957.069822485207105121.8903194134013920.00089.4958579881656844.9333233058168730.779121.9218934911242887.2862990083304240.000154.34792899408282139.3471825916393850.167186.7739644970414129.6520750576258460.499219.2106.6850060137347270.000251.6260355029585340.1830833947102480.366284.0520710059171115.8786521574793790.476316.4781065088757108.25326703701873100.000348.904142011834318.068330124343078110.694381.3301775147928793.21841679205687120.088413.75621301775146135.106896008178913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.2307692307692321293.1704142011834277.3254437869822530126.92781065088758141.2307692307692341160.6852071005917135.9053254437869850194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.23076923076923710261.957396449704187.9763313609467480295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.230769230769231013363.229585798816572.0110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313725.655621301775145103.952662721893491259.413017751479295130.579881656804732093.1704142011834213.4201183431952737126.92781065088758103.9526627218934940160.6852071005917130.5798816568047350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692367228.2103.9526627218934970261.957396449704134.7218934911242585295.7147928994083114.6035502958579993329.47218934911234125.25443786982248100363.22958579881652.7692307692307736117396.9869822485207103.95266272189349121430.74437869822486135.9053254437869813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2018 Babel 4-9 12th 104.34 0.469 20.79
1 987 2018 Rabbit 7-6 7th 103.78 0.465 19.18
2 977 2020 Rabbit 6-7 10th 99.67 0.470 21.92
3 965 2024 Babel 9-5 4th 99.24 0.474 18.19
4 964 2018 Rob 8-5 5th 102.91 0.484 20.94 5th place
5 962 2021 Mike R. 4-10 11th 96.70 0.466 20.66
6 951 2021 Pat 3-11 12th 98.77 0.478 16.52
7 948 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.462 17.09 6th place
8 948 2022 Matt 6-8 11th 98.05 0.482 21.17
9 947 2013 Schertz 6-7 9th 92.38 0.470 22.84
10 946 2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34