2021 Babel

10-4 (0.714), 1,568.78 points

3rd place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

9.24 expected wins (0.660)

123-59 all-play record (0.676)

-5.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 155.45 82.92 Pulley 72.53 Team Blangums
2 W 104.67 85.42 Scott 19.25
3 W 117.22 94.00 Rob 23.22
4 W 108.67 78.00 Matt 30.67
5 W 118.05 106.90 Derrek 11.15
6 W 135.25 123.81 Kevin 11.44
7 W 106.59 84.72 Pat 21.87
8 L 108.36 108.72 Richie -0.36
9 W 118.94 66.28 Schertz 52.66
10 L 83.32 112.23 Dave -28.91
11 W 123.92 110.60 Rabbit 13.32
12 L 82.04 83.56 Mike R. -1.52
13 L 89.05 119.23 Pulley -30.18
14 W 117.25 105.85 Ed 11.40
15 L 93.58 95.47 Rabbit -1.89 Quarterfinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.23076923076923923.5%371.076923076923176.14568180153543100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307682208631300.0%61.84615384615385141.2306885551077510.0%96.2051282051282141.2284138188609320.0%130.56410256410257141.1947257209217830.1%164.92307692307696140.8954477204703240.7%199.28205128205127139.186017424810253.1%233.6410256410257132.7247853724484268.9%268.0116.63057920035877718.0%302.358974358974391.58415323569815825.0%336.7179487179487371.9999999999999990.0%371.076923076923111.0605943723016371014.3%405.4358974358974101.73180310916155115.2%439.7948717948718126.80462836887527121.0%474.15384615384613138.40660564511836130.1%508.5128205128205141.0057357981352814Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd56.9236686390532528.33136094674557622nd102.1011834319526528.33136094674557632nd147.2786982248520628.33136094674557642nd192.4562130177514828.33136094674557651st237.63372781065095.84615384615381161st282.81124260355035.84615384615381171st327.988757396449675.84615384615381181st373.166272189349065.84615384615381191st418.34378698224855.846153846153811101st463.52130177514795.846153846153811112nd508.698816568047328.331360946745576123rd553.876331360946750.816568047337284133rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284141st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd56.9236686390532528.33136094674557622nd102.1011834319526528.33136094674557631st147.278698224852065.84615384615381141st192.456213017751485.84615384615381151st237.63372781065095.84615384615381161st282.81124260355035.84615384615381171st327.988757396449675.84615384615381181st373.166272189349065.84615384615381191st418.34378698224855.846153846153811101st463.52130177514795.846153846153811113rd508.698816568047350.816568047337284123rd553.876331360946750.816568047337284133rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284141st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd56.9236686390532528.33136094674557622nd102.1011834319526528.33136094674557632nd147.2786982248520628.33136094674557642nd192.4562130177514828.33136094674557651st237.63372781065095.84615384615381161st282.81124260355035.84615384615381171st327.988757396449675.84615384615381181st373.166272189349065.84615384615381191st418.34378698224855.846153846153811101st463.52130177514795.846153846153811112nd508.698816568047328.331360946745576123rd553.876331360946750.816568047337284133rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728414Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Najee Harris RB
2.03 17 Darren Waller TE
3.12 40 Adam Thielen WR
4.03 45 Keenan Allen K WR
5.12 68 Deebo Samuel, Sr. WR
6.03 73 D'Andre Swift K RB
7.12 96 Melvin Gordon III RB
8.03 101 Matthew Stafford QB
9.12 124 Trey Lance QB
10.03 129 Los Angeles DEF
11.12 152 Randall Cobb WR
12.03 157 Harrison Butker K
13.12 180 Hunter Henry TE
14.03 185 Malcolm Brown RB
15.12 208 Tim Patrick WR
16.03 213 Carson Wentz QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.97423.48571428571428473.7682943170702310.58853.5956043956044100.5082811850938620.78783.7054945054944986.7462224952610430.660113.8153846153845995.5648496986551540.794143.925274725274786.2461972414603550.926174.0351648351648477.1548289905385960.624204.145054945054998.0195191264040270.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.806264.3648351648351485.4507025195046990.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.855324.5846153846153582.03007521509538110.000354.69450549450545141.23076923076923120.000384.80439560439555141.23076923076923130.787414.9142857142856586.71212986432008140.00023.4857142857142846.30581940337123110.00053.595604395604459.785793139418520.00083.7054945054944932.2616757597528630.000113.8153846153845949.8989301665410840.000143.925274725274731.26162525215147550.000174.0351648351648413.07888875030795460.000204.145054945054954.8082690220388370.655234.2549450549450495.9171402183783680.000264.3648351648351429.6706358082401590.235294.4747252747253124.95269756975975100.000324.5846153846153522.829381199421533110.219354.69450549450545126.07775439081132120.326384.80439560439555118.64556084568278130.000414.9142857142856532.1934904978709414Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213141324.44999999999999672.01855.7961538461538498.6272189349112421087.1423076923076887.9763313609467438118.4884615384615298.6272189349112447149.83461538461538103.95266272189349512181.1807692307692477.3254437869822569212.5269230769230593.3017751479289970243.87307692307692141.23076923076923812275.2192307692307677.3254437869822590306.56538461538463141.230769230769231011337.9115384615384482.6508875739645110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923139431.9593.3017751479289914024.4499999999999962.76923076923077361055.7961538461538456.023668639053242087.1423076923076834.7218934911242530118.4884615384615256.0236686390532440149.8346153846153866.6745562130177550181.1807692307692413.4201183431952760212.5269230769230545.372781065088745711243.8730769230769282.650887573964580275.2192307692307613.4201183431952796306.56538461538463109.27810650887574100337.9115384615384424.071005917159752113369.2576923076923125.25443786982248124400.6038461538461119.92899408284023130431.9545.37278106508874514All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2021 Babel 10-5 3rd 110.82 0.642 18.94 5th place
1 993 2024 Mike R. 9-5 2nd 113.55 0.660 19.27
2 980 2022 Dave 8-6 3rd 110.91 0.655 22.08 3rd place
3 960 2014 Dave 7-6 4th 109.36 0.646 17.98 6th place
4 959 2016 Rabbit 9-4 2nd 109.39 0.649 14.42 2nd place
5 956 2018 Pulley 9-4 3rd 117.38 0.651 16.47 6th place
6 956 2015 Rob 7-6 5th 107.37 0.651 22.54 3rd place
7 956 2022 Schertz 6-8 9th 111.83 0.644 25.41
8 953 2017 Pulley 11-2 1st 109.18 0.674 23.01 3rd place
9 948 2024 Rob 12-2 1st 109.75 0.639 20.07
10 945 2019 Matt 8-5 2nd 113.86 0.682 17.43 2nd place