2024 Babel

9-5 (0.643), 1,389.34 points

4th place

6.63 expected wins (0.474)

83-99 all-play record (0.456)

-13.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 127.53 89.12 Pulley 38.41 Team Blangums
2 W 100.72 93.78 Matt 6.94
3 L 72.39 101.05 Rob -28.66
4 W 92.33 69.67 Richie 22.66
5 W 135.05 99.05 Dave 36.00
6 L 81.08 145.60 Pat -64.52
7 W 110.79 80.96 Derrek 29.83
8 W 105.41 104.78 Mike R. 0.63
9 W 108.95 81.49 Rabbit 27.46
10 W 87.83 85.60 Scott 2.23
11 L 73.97 93.55 Pulley -19.58
12 L 89.26 137.15 Kevin -47.89
13 L 89.83 94.64 Schertz -4.81
14 W 114.20 95.00 Ed 19.20
15 W 143.53 97.75 Richie 45.78 Quarterfinals
16 Rob

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692388.4%336.71794871794873117.1345502846059890.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2279998566688200.0%61.84615384615385141.1522816691604610.3%96.2051282051282140.3490688466579621.8%130.56410256410257135.9786799139234336.5%164.92307692307696122.42118447757582415.1%199.2820512820512797.94901197918597523.1%233.641025641025774.83736003578989624.1%268.072.0717.2%302.358974358974391.794352998175380.0%336.7179487179487393.0383313384427392.7%371.0769230769231133.33860344763076100.6%405.4358974358974139.55005369475492110.1%439.7948717948718141.01173119865734120.0%474.15384615384613141.2152046406678130.0%508.5128205128205141.2303137326995914Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381114th56.9236686390532573.3017751479289927th102.10118343195265140.7573964497041538th147.27869822485206163.2426035502958544th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289957th237.6337278106509140.7573964497041566th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124177th327.98875739644967140.7573964497041584th373.1662721893490673.3017751479289996th418.3437869822485118.27218934911241109th463.5213017751479185.72781065088761111th508.6988165680473230.6982248520711210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931310th599.053846153846208.2130177514793141st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st56.923668639053255.84615384615381126th102.10118343195265118.2721893491124134th147.2786982248520673.3017751479289943rd192.4562130177514850.81656804733728456th237.6337278106509118.2721893491124163rd282.811242603550350.81656804733728472nd327.9887573964496728.33136094674557682nd373.1662721893490628.33136094674557692nd418.343786982248528.331360946745576102nd463.521301775147928.331360946745576113rd508.698816568047350.816568047337284125th553.876331360946795.7869822485207134th599.05384615384673.30177514792899141st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd56.9236686390532550.81656804733728428th102.10118343195265163.2426035502958539th147.27869822485206185.727810650887644th192.4562130177514873.3017751479289958th237.6337278106509163.2426035502958566th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124176th327.98875739644967118.2721893491124185th373.1662721893490695.786982248520796th418.3437869822485118.27218934911241108th463.5213017751479163.242603550295851110th508.6988165680473208.21301775147931210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931310th599.053846153846208.213017751479314Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Josh Allen QB
2.05 19 Travis Kelce TE
3.10 38 James Conner RB
4.05 47 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
5.10 66 Javonte Williams RB
6.05 75 Jonathon Brooks RB
7.10 94 Keon Coleman WR
8.05 103 Tyler Lockett WR
9.10 122 Nico Collins K WR
10.05 131 Gabe Davis WR
11.10 150 Trevor Lawrence QB
12.05 159 Chicago DEF
13.10 178 Jahan Dotson WR
14.05 187 Chigoziem Okonkwo TE
15.10 206 Carson Steele RB
16.05 215 Ka'imi Fairbairn K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.86623.48571428571428481.2759786878537510.50353.5956043956044106.3795192707114620.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.364113.81538461538459116.0277338270021840.911143.925274725274778.1621850619130450.000174.03516483516484141.2307692307692360.681204.145054945054994.0720795010261470.591234.25494505494504100.2996667529075480.652264.3648351648351496.0835447265425790.297294.4747252747253120.68706005559959100.000324.58461538461535141.23076923076923110.000354.69450549450545141.23076923076923120.000384.80439560439555141.23076923076923130.735414.9142857142856590.3218900975209140.00023.48571428571428421.3211881449382610.00053.595604395604471.528269310653720.09283.70549450549449134.8923229476648730.000113.8153846153845990.8246984232351540.000143.925274725274715.09360089305684550.190174.03516483516484128.0851609697871860.000204.145054945054946.91338977128303670.000234.2549450549450459.3685642750458480.000264.3648351648351450.9363202223159190.000294.4747252747253100.14335088042995100.107324.58461538461535133.8127229678679110.316354.69450549450545119.32335481796133120.325384.80439560439555118.75514430227872130.000414.9142857142856539.4130109642725714Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213141324.44999999999999672.01655.79615384615384109.278106508875742087.14230769230768141.2307692307692336118.48846153846152109.27810650887574411149.8346153846153882.650887573964550181.18076923076924141.2307692307692369212.5269230769230593.3017751479289977243.87307692307692103.9526627218934988275.2192307692307698.6272189349112494306.56538461538463119.92899408284023100337.91153846153844141.23076923076923110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923138431.9598.6272189349112414024.4499999999999962.76923076923077361055.7961538461538477.325443786982252287.14230769230768130.5798816568047330118.4884615384615277.3254437869822540149.8346153846153824.07100591715975251181.18076923076924135.9053254437869860212.5269230769230545.37278106508874570243.8730769230769266.6745562130177580275.2192307692307656.0236686390532490306.5653846153846398.62721893491124101337.91153846153844135.90532544378698113369.2576923076923125.25443786982248124400.6038461538461119.92899408284023130431.9556.0236686390532414All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2024 Babel 10-5 4th 102.19 0.505 20.75
1 986 2021 Pat 3-11 12th 98.77 0.478 16.52
2 983 2020 Rabbit 6-7 10th 99.67 0.470 21.92
3 972 2022 Matt 6-8 11th 98.05 0.482 21.17
4 971 2009 Allen 6-7 7th 97.89 0.484 17.04
5 969 2012 Dave 6-7 7th 95.29 0.478 21.22
6 969 2021 Mike R. 4-10 11th 96.70 0.466 20.66
7 967 2014 Mike R. 6-7 7th 97.38 0.484 20.41
8 965 2018 Babel 4-9 12th 104.34 0.469 20.79
9 964 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.462 17.09 6th place
10 963 2018 Rabbit 7-6 7th 103.78 0.465 19.18