2011 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

8-4 (0.667), 1,180.36 points (98.36 average)

2nd place

5.55 expected wins (0.462)

62-70 all-play record (0.470)

-10.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 L 59.96 110.89 Matt -50.93
8 L 85.45 106.08 Pulley -20.63
9 W 105.35 94.19 Mike R. 11.16
10 W 126.74 94.25 Kevin 32.49
11 W 89.22 50.74 Rabbit 38.48
12 W 97.79 78.77 Pulley 19.02
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692376.6%347.28994082840245123.7568846644539980.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2177485406780300.1%69.77514792899409140.888918109116811.2%109.42011834319527137.9356479303252225.9%149.06508875739644125.68415897324648315.7%188.7100591715976399.69066294538044425.6%228.3550295857988373.5996513995181526.2%268.071.99999999999999616.9%307.6449704142011796.6533648794412770.0%347.28994082840245106.2830000981387781.5%386.93491124260356137.403949158635590.1%426.5798816568048140.85440279868897100.0%466.2248520710059141.22468403264668110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307470849345312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th65.13776223776223245.00699300699328th118.52937062937062191.8601398601399310th171.92097902097902245.00699300699348th225.3125874125874191.8601398601399510th278.7041958041958245.00699300699369th332.09580419580413218.43356643356645710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993810th438.87902097902094245.00699300699398th492.27062937062936191.8601398601399109th545.6622377622377218.43356643356645119th599.053846153846218.433566433566451212th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th65.13776223776223191.860139860139925th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601637th171.92097902097902165.286713286713347th225.3125874125874165.286713286713353rd278.704195804195858.99300699300701567th332.09580419580413165.286713286713378th385.4874125874125191.860139860139986th438.87902097902094138.7132867132867595th492.27062937062936112.13986013986016102nd545.662237762237732.41958041958043112nd599.05384615384632.419580419580431212th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th65.13776223776223218.4335664335664527th118.52937062937062165.286713286713338th171.92097902097902191.860139860139948th225.3125874125874191.860139860139959th278.7041958041958218.43356643356645610th332.09580419580413245.006993006993710th385.4874125874125245.006993006993810th438.87902097902094245.00699300699399th492.27062937062936218.43356643356645109th545.6622377622377218.43356643356645119th599.053846153846218.4335664335664512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.91861.1230769230769277.6533526839325220.67796.2512820512820394.3518277866758730.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.630166.507692307692397.6444075878486350.472201.63589743589745108.5645449499488560.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.575307.0205128205128101.418371567936390.871342.1487179487179480.94557628022606100.290377.2769230769231121.15806159370099110.435412.4051282051282111.09162265541120.01325.994871794871795140.3003693216291810.00061.1230769230769214.07593613709582320.00096.2512820512820347.472886342582530.410131.37948717948717112.8185039099224440.000166.507692307692354.0580459449280450.000201.6358974358974575.8983206691284860.005236.76410256410256140.8683201913192470.249271.89230769230767123.9965692250739180.000307.020512820512861.6059739051033790.000342.1487179487179420.6603833296829100.000377.2769230769231101.08535395663276110.000412.405128205128280.9524760800507912Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311063.632692307692378.293706293706328100.2032051282051190.8811188811188830136.77371794871794141.2307692307692349173.344230769230784.5874125874125955209.91474358974358109.7622377622377660246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692385319.62628205128203109.76223776223776910356.1967948717948578.2937062937063103392.7673076923077122.34965034965035114429.3378205128205116.0559440559440512027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.632692307692315.3566433566433620100.2032051282051140.5314685314685333136.77371794871794122.3496503496503540173.344230769230727.94405594405594750209.9147435897435878.2937062937063162246.4852564102564128.6433566433566473283.0557692307692122.3496503496503580319.6262820512820378.2937062937063190356.1967948717948515.35664335664336100392.7673076923077103.46853146853147110429.337820512820590.881118881118912All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 8-4 2nd 98.36 0.462 21.86 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 987 2024 Babel 8-4 3rd 98.78 0.465 18.96 9-5 4th 4th place
2 983 2022 Rabbit 7-5 4th 96.35 0.464 24.58 8-6 5th 5th place
3 978 2012 Dave 6-6 7th 94.41 0.465 21.86 6-7 7th
4 976 2016 Babel 6-6 9th 96.67 0.458 17.79 7-6 6th 6th place
5 976 2014 Ed 6-6 8th 95.37 0.462 16.03 6-7 8th
6 975 2012 Allen 6-6 6th 96.84 0.471 21.44 6-7 8th
7 972 2010 Rob 5-7 8th 93.03 0.465 21.20 6-7 7th
8 971 2022 Mike R. 7-5 3rd 96.58 0.467 15.69 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
9 970 2022 Kevin 6-6 9th 95.92 0.471 23.30 6-8 12th
10 968 2023 Schertz 5-7 11th 97.51 0.449 21.01 6-8 9th