2012 Derrek

8-5 (0.615), 1,270.13 points

5th place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

7.07 expected wins (0.544)

101-68 all-play record (0.598)

+2.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 118.79 109.62 Pulley 9.17
2 L 59.84 89.85 Rob -30.01 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 91.61 125.00 Ed -33.39
4 W 98.01 92.45 Dave 5.56
5 W 112.42 94.96 Babel 17.46
6 W 111.83 104.58 Matt 7.25
7 W 97.03 41.41 Pat 55.62
8 W 109.75 75.73 Kevin 34.02
9 L 81.69 109.17 Mike R. -27.48
10 W 108.23 105.32 Richie 2.91
11 L 59.05 100.04 Schertz -40.99
12 L 107.88 118.55 Rabbit -10.67
13 W 114.00 70.31 Allen 43.69
14 L 85.65 107.11 Ed -21.46 Quarterfinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923722.3%323.219780219780281.185680458376880.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2295406790374300.0%65.52747252747253141.1988531639527210.1%102.34065934065934140.8682627284338220.9%139.15384615384613138.8570767776131433.7%175.96703296703296131.29297732300512410.3%212.7802197802198113.36644101808994519.7%249.593406593406687.97870851324875625.7%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.219780219780221.14059168598436812.4%360.032967032967107.8500148958687894.1%396.8461538461538130.1490768974458100.7%433.6593406593406139.29189498988956110.1%470.4725274725274141.08715246775523120.0%507.2857142857143141.2271147560968513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th60.68846153846153185.7278106508876210th109.6307692307692208.213017751479338th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958546th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124155th256.457692307692395.786982248520765th305.495.786982248520775th354.342307692307795.786982248520785th403.2846153846153495.786982248520795th452.22692307692395.7869822485207106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557619th60.68846153846153185.7278106508876211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958546th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124155th256.457692307692395.786982248520765th305.495.786982248520775th354.342307692307795.786982248520785th403.2846153846153495.786982248520795th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207132nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207139th158.5730769230769185.727810650887647th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041556th256.4576923076923118.2721893491124166th305.4118.2721893491124176th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124186th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124195th452.22692307692395.7869822485207107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415117th550.1115384615384140.75739644970415126th599.053846153846118.2721893491124113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Adrian Peterson RB
2.06 20 Larry Fitzgerald K WR
3.09 37 Dez Bryant WR
4.06 48 Percy Harvin WR
5.09 65 Jermichael Finley TE
6.06 76 Kevin Smith RB
7.09 93 Darren McFadden K RB
8.06 104 Alex Smith QB
9.09 121 Houston DEF
10.06 132 Owen Daniels TE
11.09 149 Rueben Randle WR
12.06 160 Ronnie Brown RB
13.09 177 Leonard Hankerson WR
14.06 188 Dan Bailey K
15.09 205 John Skelton QB
16.06 216 Brandon Jacobs RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.84824.6437869822485282.496846327570110.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.517121.92189349112428105.4525511611475440.761154.3479289940828288.5539704247467250.753186.773964497041489.1221809404293360.500219.2106.5889721925127870.725251.6260355029585391.0540966937502180.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.697316.478106508875792.96328402644379100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.789413.7562130177514686.57659783017124130.00024.6437869822485223.7629234243709810.06357.069822485207105136.897321099023220.40889.49585798816568113.0097510197262730.000121.9218934911242869.6743330915258740.000154.3479289940828235.8771716187242350.000186.773964497041437.0135926500894560.000219.271.9471751542563370.000251.6260355029585340.87742415673119580.256284.0520710059171123.533009770168290.000316.478106508875744.69579882211835100.060348.9041420118343137.07914846404162110.691381.3301775147928793.37239559773526120.000413.7562130177514631.9224264295732513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131225.65562130177514577.325443786982251059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692336126.92781065088758109.27810650887574411160.685207100591782.6508875739645510194.4426035502958487.9763313609467468228.298.62721893491124710261.957396449704187.9763313609467480295.7147928994083141.23076923076923911329.4721893491123482.6508875739645100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.230769230769231211430.7443786982248682.650887573964513025.65562130177514513.420118343195271059.413017751479295141.230769230769232893.1704142011834298.6272189349112430126.9278106508875877.3254437869822540160.685207100591724.07100591715975250194.4426035502958434.7218934911242560228.256.0236686390532470261.957396449704134.7218934911242583295.7147928994083125.2544378698224890329.4721893491123424.071005917159752103363.2295857988165125.25443786982248118396.986982248520798.62721893491124120430.7443786982248624.07100591715975213All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2012 Derrek 8-6 5th 96.84 0.528 18.60 5th place
1 988 2017 Derrek 8-5 5th 98.51 0.541 20.67 Blingabowl X champion
2 987 2013 Mike R. 7-6 6th 98.75 0.540 19.77 5th place
3 980 2017 Rob 8-5 4th 99.11 0.537 19.53 5th place
4 975 2020 Derrek 8-5 5th 101.08 0.541 22.60 5th place
5 970 2023 Mike R. 7-7 8th 103.81 0.544 16.55
6 964 2014 Matt 7-6 6th 101.65 0.533 19.04 4th place
7 963 2009 Babel 5-8 9th 102.06 0.534 18.63
8 962 2009 Derrek 7-6 5th 101.26 0.534 17.03 3rd place
9 957 2013 Pulley 8-5 3rd 99.08 0.529 23.01 3rd place
10 956 2012 Ed 8-5 4th 102.07 0.552 23.72 4th place