2013 Derrek

7-6 (0.538), 1,144.98 points

7th place

4.86 expected wins (0.374)

57-112 all-play record (0.337)

-31.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 131.44 91.71 Pat 39.73
2 L 68.08 104.24 Ed -36.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.46 65.88 Rabbit 29.58
4 L 90.42 107.02 Mike R. -16.60
5 W 76.78 66.87 Babel 9.91
6 W 78.90 69.18 Richie 9.72
7 L 71.99 87.27 Kevin -15.28
8 W 109.47 73.59 Dave 35.88
9 L 63.85 113.15 Matt -49.30 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 60.26 85.35 Pulley -25.09
11 L 69.76 112.58 Rob -42.82
12 W 91.82 57.01 Schertz 34.81
13 W 136.75 59.00 Allen 77.75

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692368.2%286.4065934065934121.46594585286970.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2248726533746300.2%65.52747252747253140.8564674568431212.6%102.34065934065934134.88034986818624212.4%139.15384615384613111.50296855079007325.6%175.9670329670329679.67019109815804428.8%212.780219780219871.99999999999999519.4%249.593406593406694.6245705987132660.0%286.4065934065934101.7011224749687772.3%323.2197802197802135.8067930405814880.4%360.032967032967140.259960440427590.0%396.8461538461538141.11887872791075100.0%433.6593406593406141.22281029196103110.0%470.4725274725274141.23045316226762120.0%507.2857142857143141.230763899640813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th60.68846153846153185.727810650887629th109.6307692307692185.727810650887638th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272614th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.6686390532544134th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th60.68846153846153163.2426035502958526th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124138th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958549th207.5153846153846185.727810650887656th256.4576923076923118.2721893491124168th305.4163.2426035502958575th354.342307692307795.786982248520787th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041599th452.226923076923185.72781065088761010th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793119th550.1115384615384185.7278106508876127th599.053846153846140.75739644970415134th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th60.68846153846153185.727810650887629th109.6307692307692185.727810650887639th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071614th305.4298.15384615384613712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.1834319526627213Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.05 19 Darren McFadden RB
3.10 38 Eric Decker WR
4.05 47 Vernon Davis TE
5.10 66 Sidney Rice WR
6.05 75 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
7.10 94 Vincent Brown WR
8.05 103 Tony Romo QB
9.10 122 Colin Kaepernick K QB
10.05 131 Houston DEF
11.10 150 Austin Collie WR
12.05 159 Blair Walsh K
13.10 178 Robert Turbin RB
14.05 187 Zac Stacy RB
15.10 206 LaRod Stephens-Howling RB
16.05 215 DuJuan Harris RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.94924.6437869822485275.5370167990502410.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.47789.49585798816568108.2318498714276330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.194154.34792899408282127.7669274005957650.220186.7739644970414125.9713821710387360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.717251.6260355029585391.6060101825544680.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.411381.33017751479287112.78889820720215120.975413.7562130177514673.73010735917953130.00024.643786982248529.84326436733124410.11257.069822485207105133.4490325574218720.00089.4958579881656875.2329305120860330.388121.92189349112428114.3571592304861640.000154.34792899408282114.3030855704223150.000186.7739644970414110.7119951113082160.143219.2131.3125610184552670.000251.6260355029585341.9812511343396780.080284.0520710059171135.6877819892113590.064316.4781065088757136.80147459994927100.125348.9041420118343132.6080809942116110.000381.3301775147928784.34702718363509120.000413.756213017751466.22944548758982813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131025.65562130177514587.976331360946741059.413017751479295141.230769230769232793.17041420118342103.9526627218934930126.92781065088758141.2307692307692342160.6852071005917130.5798816568047353194.44260355029584125.2544378698224860228.2141.2307692307692378261.957396449704198.6272189349112480295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923116396.9869822485207109.278106508875741212430.7443786982248677.3254437869822513025.65562130177514534.721893491124251059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.1704142011834266.6745562130177534126.92781065088758119.9289940828402340160.6852071005917119.9289940828402350194.44260355029584109.2781065088757463228.2125.2544378698224870261.957396449704156.0236686390532480295.7147928994083141.2307692307692391329.47218934911234135.90532544378698101363.2295857988165135.90532544378698110396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.7443786982248613.4201183431952713All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
1 983 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.376 21.90
2 982 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
3 979 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.377 22.29 4th place
4 971 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
5 970 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.379 16.42
6 969 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.384 22.32
7 969 2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.376 19.42
8 969 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.382 27.98
9 968 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
10 964 2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93