2015 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 282.38 points (70.60 average)

14th place

0.62 expected wins (0.156)

5-47 all-play record (0.096)

-9.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 65.49 87.11 Rabbit -21.62 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 82.17 72.40 Pat 9.77
3 L 67.24 155.50 Babel -88.26 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.48 79.87 Ed -12.39
5 Schertz
6 Kevin
7 Mike R.
8 Matt
9 Richie
10 Rob
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.23076923076923039.2%226.4615384615384586.7821990849350310.0%368.0141.2307692307692320.0%509.53846153846155141.2307692307692330.0%651.0769230769231141.23076923076923449.8%84.923076923076971.9999999999999900.0%226.4615384615384532.333628939100834110.0%368.0127.3869989606023721.0%509.53846153846155139.7847682907288330.0%651.0769230769231141.176898457262674Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613214th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613314th599.053846153846298.15384615384613414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th207.5153846153846230.698224852071214th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613314th599.053846153846298.15384615384613414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613214th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613314th599.053846153846298.153846153846134Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Matt Forte RB
2.09 23 Frank Gore K RB
3.06 34 Andrew Luck K×2 QB
4.09 51 Allen Robinson II WR
5.06 62 Nelson Agholor WR
6.09 79 Shane Vereen RB
7.06 90 Davante Adams WR
8.09 107 Breshad Perriman WR
9.06 118 Owen Daniels TE
10.09 135 Houston DEF
11.06 146 Teddy Bridgewater QB
12.09 163 Terrance West RB
13.06 174 Dwayne Bowe WR
14.09 191 Jeremy Langford RB
15.06 202 Caleb Sturgis K
16.09 219 Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00089.00769230769231141.2307692307692310.293242.46923076923076120.9240218474963320.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692330.000549.3923076923077141.2307692307692340.09889.00769230769231134.4552890266461410.000242.46923076923076100.6172744642234420.115395.9307692307692133.2598177711548730.117549.3923076923077133.11419750549464Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234091.5173076923077141.2307692307692312249.30576923076922130.5798816568047320407.09423076923076141.2307692307692330564.8826923076923141.230769230769234091.5173076923077141.2307692307692310249.30576923076922119.9289940828402320407.09423076923076141.2307692307692333564.8826923076923125.254437869822484All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Derrek 1-3 14th 70.60 0.156 6.73 7-6 7th
1 924 2023 Kevin 0-4 14th 73.74 0.125 7.92 4-10 14th
2 923 2026 Richie 1-3 12th 75.17 0.128 7.73
3 917 2021 Scott 0-4 14th 74.50 0.124 8.71 3-11 13th
4 909 2023 Scott 0-4 13th 76.07 0.182 15.54 8-6 7th
5 896 2012 Schertz 0-4 14th 73.31 0.193 15.81 5-8 9th
6 847 2026 Rob 0-4 14th 82.11 0.208 8.46
7 845 2022 Richie 2-2 11th 78.45 0.215 9.61 6-8 13th
8 844 2014 Richie 0-4 14th 78.09 0.210 15.21 6-7 9th
9 842 2018 Dave 1-3 13th 85.81 0.202 9.30 4-9 13th
10 808 2010 Pulley 2-2 8th 76.32 0.240 6.43 8-5 4th 5th place