2015 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 282.38 points

14th place

0.61 expected wins (0.154)

5-47 all-play record (0.096)

-10.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 65.49 87.11 Rabbit -21.62 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 82.17 72.40 Pat 9.77
3 L 67.24 155.50 Babel -88.26 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.48 79.87 Ed -12.39
5 Schertz
6 Kevin
7 Mike R.
8 Matt
9 Richie
10 Rob
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%50.0%50.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923038.6%164.9230769230769388.3143495905494110.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.23076923076923450.5%61.84615384615385472.000.0%164.9230769230769335.397929950329619.8%268.00000000000006127.7978432424198921.0%371.0769230769231139.8139459680624630.0%474.1538461538462141.17711583545184Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613113th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544214th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613314th599.053846153846298.15384615384613414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th207.5153846153846230.698224852071214th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613314th599.053846153846298.15384615384613414th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613214th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613314th599.053846153846298.153846153846134Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Matt Forte RB
2.09 23 Frank Gore K RB
3.06 34 Andrew Luck K QB
4.09 51 Allen Robinson II WR
5.06 62 Nelson Agholor WR
6.09 79 Shane Vereen RB
7.06 90 Davante Adams WR
8.09 107 Breshad Perriman WR
9.06 118 Owen Daniels TE
10.09 135 Houston DEF
11.06 146 Teddy Bridgewater QB
12.09 163 Terrance West RB
13.06 174 Dwayne Bowe WR
14.09 191 Jeremy Langford RB
15.06 202 Caleb Sturgis K
16.09 219 Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.278166.5076923076923122.0029312447237520.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.10361.12307692307692134.1058152287633610.000166.5076923076923102.7750932586782820.116271.89230769230767133.1739499830438830.118377.276923076923133.083036300534674Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692312173.34423076923076130.5798816568047320283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.34423076923076119.9289940828402320283.0557692307692141.2307692307692333392.76730769230767125.254437869822484All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Derrek 1-3 14th 70.60 0.154 6.73 7-6 7th
1 934 2023 Kevin 0-4 14th 73.74 0.128 7.92 4-10 14th
2 920 2021 Scott 0-4 14th 74.50 0.123 8.71 3-11 13th
3 906 2023 Scott 0-4 13th 76.07 0.181 15.54 8-6 7th
4 889 2012 Schertz 0-4 14th 73.31 0.195 15.81 5-8 9th
5 846 2014 Richie 0-4 14th 78.09 0.207 15.21 6-7 9th
6 844 2018 Dave 1-3 13th 85.81 0.199 9.30 4-9 13th
7 832 2022 Richie 2-2 11th 78.45 0.219 9.61 6-8 13th
8 801 2024 Matt 0-4 14th 77.53 0.234 12.65 8-6 6th
9 800 2019 Babel 2-2 11th 83.04 0.228 5.87 8-5 5th 5th place
10 793 2010 Pulley 2-2 8th 76.32 0.245 6.43 8-5 4th 5th place