2016 Derrek

3-10 (0.231), 1,154.71 points

14th place

4.53 expected wins (0.349)

58-111 all-play record (0.343)

+15.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 L 72.25 133.99 Rabbit -61.74
10 L 104.88 104.96 Pat -0.08
11 L 88.93 121.38 Babel -32.45
12 L 79.34 111.80 Matt -32.46
13 W 89.48 78.18 Allen 11.30

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.23076923076923216.8%139.1538461538461394.4004234631427430.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572140.902126289573201.5%65.52747252747253137.056373382101116.9%102.34065934065934121.9611791049569520.0%139.1538461538461347.57007769551626324.9%175.9670329670329671.99999999999999424.0%212.780219780219874.32207824926236515.8%249.593406593406697.3315473190075167.1%286.4065934065934121.3455272738920672.2%323.2197802197802135.004958531496880.5%360.032967032967139.9015720409395390.1%396.8461538461538141.0431068828442100.0%433.6593406593406141.21421690149583110.0%470.4725274725274141.22995258439238120.0%507.2857142857143141.23075220094613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th60.68846153846153230.698224852071212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.6686390532544132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th60.68846153846153163.24260355029585212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272311th158.5730769230769230.698224852071410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.15384615384613132nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th60.68846153846153230.698224852071213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544314th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.668639053254413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.86124.6437869822485281.6483394377227410.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.341121.92189349112428117.6047008701183140.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.343413.75621301775146117.5137871876091130.00024.6437869822485222.06590964467625310.09957.069822485207105134.3441826621280220.07289.49585798816568136.2533699948215830.000121.9218934911242893.978632509467440.577154.34792899408282101.2856948597137450.409186.7739644970414112.9112820105799560.225219.2125.6278333515567770.359251.62603550295853116.3773661562438880.114284.0520710059171133.3214037338993390.603316.478106508875799.46742120952939100.335348.9041420118343118.0365408620371110.193381.33017751479287127.8779469936599120.000413.7562130177514693.7968051444489713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131225.65562130177514577.325443786982251059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692335126.92781065088758114.6035502958579940160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923126430.74437869822486109.2781065088757413025.65562130177514513.420118343195271059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.9278106508875887.9763313609467446160.6852071005917109.2781065088757457194.44260355029584103.9526627218934963228.2125.2544378698224876261.9573964497041109.2781065088757481295.7147928994083135.9053254437869897329.47218934911234103.95266272189349104363.2295857988165119.92899408284023111396.9869822485207135.90532544378698120430.7443786982248677.3254437869822513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
1 988 2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
2 983 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.345 16.95
3 980 2020 Pat 5-8 12th 89.15 0.341 16.59
4 979 2016 Richie 5-8 12th 88.10 0.342 17.42
5 976 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
6 976 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
7 973 2017 Allen 5-8 12th 85.50 0.353 12.53
8 969 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
9 966 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78
10 962 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.362 16.28