2016 Derrek (through 3 weeks)

1-2 (0.333), 261.12 points (87.04 average)

12th place

0.81 expected wins (0.271)

12-27 all-play record (0.308)

-22.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 Ed
5 Rob
6 Kevin
7 Mike R.
8 Pulley
9 Rabbit
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%01230.0%102.61538461538461141.23076923076923075.9%279.5384615384615572.010.0%456.46153846153845141.2307692307692320.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923321.3%102.61538461538461121.8058401297424200.0%279.538461538461552.769230769230773612.8%456.46153846153845138.718314163682720.0%633.3846153846154141.230769230769233Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th305.4230.698224852071213th599.053846153846275.668639053254432nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th305.4163.24260355029585212th599.053846153846253.1834319526627232nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th305.4230.698224852071213th599.053846153846275.66863905325443Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.779114.5846153846153987.1635659731312610.000319.2141.0208947453609220.000523.8153846153846141.0208947453609230.000114.5846153846153933.3062372009015810.035319.2138.575825974420132-0.002523.8153846153846141.125831988065073Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312312117.815384615384677.3254437869822510328.2141.2307692307692320538.5846153846153141.2307692307692330117.815384615384613.4201183431952710328.2141.2307692307692320538.5846153846153141.230769230769233All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 1-2 12th 87.04 0.271 25.78 3-10 14th
1 956 2016 Babel 1-2 11th 87.95 0.279 13.33 7-6 6th 6th place
2 948 2023 Derrek 0-3 12th 83.13 0.278 14.54 5-9 12th
3 946 2013 Babel 0-3 14th 85.36 0.278 8.86 4-9 13th
4 941 2024 Matt 0-3 14th 79.30 0.269 14.17 8-6 6th 6th place
5 939 2014 Allen 1-2 12th 80.43 0.265 14.14 6-7 10th
6 932 2009 Pulley 0-3 12th 75.85 0.281 24.35 4-9 12th
7 931 2010 Rob 0-3 12th 78.57 0.277 14.52 6-7 7th
8 923 2012 Rob 2-1 7th 82.22 0.282 7.66 3-10 13th
9 922 2012 Schertz 0-3 14th 78.51 0.260 15.01 5-8 9th
10 921 2013 Richie 2-1 8th 84.23 0.261 2.29 6-7 10th