2016 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 453.89 points (90.78 average)

10th place

1.72 expected wins (0.344)

23-42 all-play record (0.354)

-24.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 Kevin
7 Mike R.
8 Pulley
9 Rabbit
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.23076923076923143.7%309.0256410256410572.020.0%426.974358974359141.2307692307692330.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692355.9%73.12820512820512131.8524787373567033.9%191.0769230769230487.5680400564554410.0%309.025641025641052.7692307692307736215.4%426.974358974359116.8006019628397231.1%544.9230769230769139.5473725804254240.0%662.8717948717949141.204721064610575Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th158.5730769230769230.698224852071213th305.4275.6686390532544314th452.226923076923298.15384615384613411th599.053846153846230.69822485207152nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585212th305.4253.18343195266272311th452.226923076923230.698224852071410th599.053846153846208.213017751479352nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th158.5730769230769230.698224852071213th305.4275.6686390532544314th452.226923076923298.15384615384613411th599.053846153846230.6982248520715Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.80273.6615384615384785.6856503452038110.000196.43076923076924141.2307692307692320.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692330.302441.96923076923076120.3045140185920440.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.00073.6615384615384730.1405314596383810.059196.43076923076924137.175957303043720.022319.20000000000005139.7298343818498830.000441.9692307692307699.3782588064148840.534564.7384615384616104.263571580435075Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451275.7384615384615277.3254437869822510201.96923076923076141.2307692307692320328.2141.2307692307692335454.43076923076916114.6035502958579940580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.7384615384615213.4201183431952710201.96923076923076141.2307692307692320328.2141.2307692307692330454.4307692307691687.9763313609467446580.6615384615385109.278106508875745All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-3 10th 90.78 0.344 20.96 3-10 14th
1 981 2019 Richie 2-3 12th 90.72 0.335 20.49 5-8 12th
2 973 2018 Dave 2-3 13th 95.86 0.347 21.75 4-9 13th
3 965 2021 Rob 1-4 12th 93.28 0.347 11.98 2-12 14th
4 961 2023 Derrek 1-4 11th 88.97 0.332 16.65 5-9 12th
5 955 2025 Derrek 2-3 13th 91.16 0.363 18.37
6 954 2013 Allen 2-3 11th 89.44 0.359 16.12 4-9 14th
7 953 2012 Richie 1-4 13th 85.52 0.335 17.20 1-12 14th
8 949 2016 Pat 2-3 11th 88.35 0.323 21.23 7-6 7th
9 948 2025 Babel 2-3 12th 93.37 0.357 28.26
10 941 2021 Pulley 1-4 13th 91.81 0.324 13.19 5-9 10th