2016 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 453.89 points

10th place

1.73 expected wins (0.346)

23-42 all-play record (0.354)

-24.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 Kevin
7 Mike R.
8 Pulley
9 Rabbit
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923144.1%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692355.5%53.25641025641026132.55149555430006033.7%139.1538461538461688.2434331788505410.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736215.5%310.94871794871796116.8325934455009531.1%396.84615384615387139.4908292928033740.0%482.7435897435898141.199334149374185Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th158.5730769230769230.698224852071212th305.4253.18343195266272314th452.226923076923298.15384615384613411th599.053846153846230.69822485207152nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585212th305.4253.18343195266272311th452.226923076923230.698224852071410th599.053846153846208.213017751479352nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th158.5730769230769230.698224852071213th305.4275.6686390532544314th452.226923076923298.15384615384613411th599.053846153846230.6982248520715Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.81750.5846153846153884.6949593413808710.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.297303.50769230769225120.6513207737764540.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.5846153846153828.1591494519925210.055134.8923076923077137.3908025657861520.028219.2139.2999898984797430.000303.50769230769225100.0718723167836740.533387.8153846153846104.332314763371885Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451252.66153846153845677.3254437869822510140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692335315.9692307692307114.6035502958579940403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845613.4201183431952710140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.969230769230787.9763313609467446403.7384615384615109.278106508875745All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-3 10th 90.78 0.346 20.96 3-10 14th
1 972 2019 Richie 2-3 12th 90.72 0.333 20.49 5-8 12th
2 970 2018 Dave 2-3 13th 95.86 0.342 21.75 4-9 13th
3 970 2021 Rob 1-4 12th 93.28 0.347 11.98 2-12 14th
4 963 2013 Allen 2-3 11th 89.44 0.357 16.12 4-9 14th
5 959 2023 Derrek 1-4 11th 88.97 0.333 16.65 5-9 12th
6 945 2023 Dave 2-3 10th 89.68 0.326 16.25 6-8 10th
7 945 2016 Pat 2-3 11th 88.35 0.324 21.23 7-6 7th
8 944 2021 Pulley 1-4 13th 91.81 0.328 13.19 5-9 10th
9 940 2013 Derrek 3-2 9th 92.44 0.372 21.78 7-6 7th
10 939 2012 Dave 2-3 10th 87.81 0.367 23.91 6-7 7th