2019 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 1,089.35 points (108.94 average)

4th place

6.05 expected wins (0.605)

82-48 all-play record (0.631)

+5.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 111.03 121.30 Kevin -10.27
2 W 93.79 77.37 Richie 16.42
3 L 97.64 159.79 Schertz -62.15
4 W 101.63 66.55 Scott 35.08
5 W 119.53 99.98 Babel 19.55
6 L 116.85 117.07 Pulley -0.22
7 W 125.12 88.54 Rob 36.58
8 W 129.62 127.73 Ed 1.89
9 W 119.31 110.88 Matt 8.43
10 L 74.83 92.76 Pat -17.93 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Dave
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923528.8%314.853146853146872.060.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2270350586067300.0%80.5874125874126141.134088465580710.4%127.44055944055944140.1811015827709622.6%174.29370629370626134.9780528755609339.3%221.14685314685315118.80084836870185420.8%268.091.198438668501750.0%314.85314685314682.7692307692307736624.0%361.706293706293783.62823737551162711.2%408.5594405594406114.3390016051583982.5%455.41258741258747135.199831153414690.2%502.2657342657343140.8203644451761810Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th77.002564102564195.786982248520727th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041537th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041545th272.7717948717948495.786982248520755th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289974th468.541025641025673.3017751479289983rd533.797435897435950.81656804733728494th599.05384615384673.30177514792899109th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124129th142.2589743589743185.727810650887637th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041555th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289974th468.541025641025673.3017751479289983rd533.797435897435950.81656804733728494th599.05384615384673.30177514792899108th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124127th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041537th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041555th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289974th468.541025641025673.3017751479289983rd533.797435897435950.81656804733728494th599.05384615384673.3017751479289910Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Antonio Brown WR
2.01 15 Christian McCaffrey K RB
3.14 42 Mike Williams WR
4.01 43 Allen Robinson II WR
5.14 70 Cam Newton QB
6.01 71 Emmanuel Sanders WR
7.14 98 Donte Moncrief WR
8.01 99 Geronimo Allison WR
9.14 126 Austin Hooper TE
10.01 127 Jaylen Samuels RB
11.14 154 James Conner K RB
12.01 155 Jacksonville DEF
13.14 182 Ka'imi Fairbairn K
14.01 183 Darren Waller TE
15.14 210 Frank Gore RB
16.01 211 Nick Foles QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.37171.66153846153847115.5158860518128820.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.496155.96923076923073106.8588548922179240.781198.1230769230769287.18850676662350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.832282.430769230769283.658840104445870.871324.5846153846153580.9402057799377780.776366.7384615384615487.5163459020495890.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.65329.50769230769230696.0495019836857910.00071.6615384615384789.8010028728565420.431113.8153846153846111.3740179933731430.000155.9692307692307372.486940553666640.000198.1230769230769233.1462443024767650.741240.2769230769230589.924210248153860.000282.430769230769226.08691097812237670.000324.5846153846153520.649642329106380.000366.7384615384615433.8019225733299390.101408.89230769230767134.2147765016332510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231774.60384615384615103.9526627218934920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692339162.373076923076993.3017751479289948206.257692307692398.6272189349112450250.14230769230767141.23076923076923612294.02692307692377.32544378698225711337.911538461538482.6508875739645812381.7961538461538677.3254437869822590425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310630.719230769230762109.278106508875741074.6038461538461566.6745562130177526118.48846153846154109.2781065088757430162.373076923076945.37278106508874540206.257692307692356.02366863905324511250.1423076923076782.650887573964560294.02692307692313.4201183431952770337.911538461538424.07100591715975280381.7961538461538613.4201183431952790425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Derrek 6-4 4th 108.94 0.605 15.97 7-6 6th 3rd place
1 992 2016 Rabbit 6-4 3rd 108.02 0.607 16.10 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 990 2020 Schertz 5-5 7th 107.56 0.608 15.77 6-7 9th
3 978 2022 Derrek 6-4 3rd 106.92 0.604 21.11 8-6 4th 4th place
4 973 2023 Rabbit 6-4 6th 107.10 0.606 24.80 8-6 6th 4th place
5 972 2023 Mike R. 5-5 7th 107.48 0.595 16.67 7-7 8th
6 968 2013 Pulley 6-4 3rd 105.81 0.610 20.91 8-5 3rd 3rd place
7 968 2024 Rabbit 4-6 9th 108.89 0.621 16.57 6-8 8th
8 967 2022 Schertz 4-6 11th 109.90 0.609 27.08 6-8 9th
9 961 2022 Dave 5-5 6th 104.22 0.596 17.06 8-6 3rd 3rd place
10 959 2016 Schertz 5-5 6th 107.36 0.593 20.99 7-6 5th 4th place