2020 Derrek

8-5 (0.615), 1,314.00 points

5th place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

7.04 expected wins (0.541)

95-74 all-play record (0.562)

-10.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 W 117.52 105.43 Pat 12.09
7 W 79.49 65.33 Dave 14.16
8 L 53.06 87.50 Kevin -34.44 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 102.33 115.69 Matt -13.36
10 W 121.37 73.31 Richie 48.06 Team Blangums
11 W 128.93 107.06 Schertz 21.87
12 W 113.84 85.57 Scott 28.27
13 W 111.49 84.25 Rabbit 27.24
14 L 90.58 121.50 Pulley -30.92 Quarterfinals
15 W 85.36 79.63 Rob 5.73 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923723.4%323.219780219780283.7882165180982480.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2304176507042300.0%65.52747252747253141.218809745689610.1%102.34065934065934141.056372336943620.6%139.15384615384613139.7991559539957833.0%175.96703296703296133.9369390315205249.7%212.7802197802198117.27314587146695520.8%249.593406593406690.19800893152171628.2%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.219780219780226.345663805427236811.1%360.032967032967113.829039078267992.8%396.8461538461538134.29692765134473100.3%433.6593406593406140.37497765732397110.0%470.4725274725274141.18987262489466120.0%507.2857142857143141.2306561245766513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd60.6884615384615328.33136094674557625th109.630769230769295.7869822485207310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793610th305.4208.2130177514793712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272911th452.226923076923230.698224852071109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241128th599.053846153846163.24260355029585132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st60.688461538461535.84615384615381125th109.630769230769295.786982248520738th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585411th207.5153846153846230.69822485207159th256.4576923076923185.727810650887666th305.4118.2721893491124179th354.3423076923077185.7278106508876811th403.28461538461534230.69822485207199th452.226923076923185.7278106508876107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd60.6884615384615350.81656804733728425th109.630769230769295.7869822485207310th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071611th305.4230.698224852071713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272911th452.226923076923230.698224852071109th501.16923076923075185.72781065088761110th550.1115384615384208.2130177514793129th599.053846153846185.727810650887613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.82324.6437869822485284.2293264339579810.82557.06982248520710584.0929559101941520.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.790186.773964497041486.5703537585703360.184219.2128.4701971850060170.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.834316.478106508875783.47928855325694100.890348.904142011834379.61545704661519110.744381.3301775147928789.7409684360793120.704413.7562130177514692.52519996292409130.00024.6437869822485227.22788363714673210.00057.06982248520710526.95514258961908620.42389.49585798816568111.9125427580147530.162121.92189349112428130.0498224186036740.109154.34792899408282133.6636412983450650.000186.773964497041431.90993828637144260.000219.2115.709625139242870.003251.62603550295853141.027649581591780.546284.0520710059171103.4234776537165690.000316.478106508875725.72780787574463100.000348.904142011834318.000144862461156110.000381.3301775147928738.25116764138937120.000413.7562130177514643.81963069507895613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131225.65562130177514577.325443786982251959.41301775147929593.301775147928992093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.23076923076923512194.4426035502958477.3254437869822563228.2125.2544378698224870261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923913329.4721893491123472.01012363.229585798816577.325443786982251110396.986982248520787.97633136094674129430.7443786982248693.3017751479289913025.65562130177514513.420118343195271059.41301775147929545.3727810650887452493.17041420118342119.9289940828402331126.92781065088758135.9053254437869841160.6852071005917135.9053254437869850194.4426035502958413.4201183431952760228.2109.2781065088757470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408393.3017751479289990329.472189349112342.7692307692307736100363.229585798816513.42011834319527110396.986982248520734.72189349112425120430.7443786982248645.37278106508874513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 9-6 5th 99.33 0.510 21.52 5th place
1 985 2017 Derrek 8-5 5th 98.51 0.541 20.67 Blingabowl X champion
2 983 2013 Mike R. 7-6 6th 98.75 0.540 19.77 5th place
3 977 2017 Rob 8-5 4th 99.11 0.537 19.53 5th place
4 975 2012 Derrek 8-5 5th 97.70 0.544 19.03 5th place
5 975 2014 Matt 7-6 6th 101.65 0.533 19.04 4th place
6 974 2009 Babel 5-8 9th 102.06 0.534 18.63
7 973 2009 Derrek 7-6 5th 101.26 0.534 17.03 3rd place
8 972 2012 Ed 8-5 4th 102.07 0.552 23.72 4th place
9 972 2023 Mike R. 7-7 8th 103.81 0.544 16.55
10 971 2021 Rabbit 9-5 6th 105.68 0.538 24.60 2nd place