2021 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 591.01 points (118.20 average)

2nd place

3.59 expected wins (0.718)

44-21 all-play record (0.677)

-16.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 109.27 95.82 Rob 13.45
2 W 120.93 93.79 Mike R. 27.14
3 W 122.93 75.52 Pulley 47.41
4 W 130.98 106.49 Ed 24.49
5 L 106.90 118.05 Babel -11.15
6 Rob
7 Matt
8 Scott
9 Kevin
10 Pat
11 Richie
12 Schertz
13 Dave
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.2307692307692300.0%191.07692307692304141.2307692307692310.0%309.02564102564105141.2307692307692320.0%426.974358974359141.23076923076923338.3%544.923076923076972.040.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692350.1%73.12820512820512141.0052990102645401.9%191.07692307692304137.74901718850845111.2%309.02564102564105120.99780229823068230.4%426.97435897435986.2793162986660630.0%544.92307692307692.7692307692307736418.0%662.8717948717949108.687317965825495Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728423rd305.450.81656804733728431st452.2269230769235.84615384615381141st599.0538461538465.84615384615381155th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th158.573076923076973.3017751479289923rd305.450.81656804733728432nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557642nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557656th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th158.573076923076973.3017751479289923rd305.450.81656804733728433rd452.22692307692350.81656804733728443rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372845Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Saquon Barkley RB
2.05 19 Patrick Mahomes II QB
3.10 38 Jonathan Taylor K RB
4.05 47 Diontae Johnson WR
5.10 66 Will Fuller V WR
6.05 75 Raheem Mostert RB
7.10 94 Henry Ruggs III WR
8.05 103 Rob Gronkowski TE
9.10 122 Justin Jefferson K WR
10.05 131 Nyheim Hines RB
11.10 150 Parris Campbell WR
12.05 159 Austin Hooper TE
13.10 178 Baltimore DEF
14.05 187 Brandon McManus K
15.10 206 Allen Lazard WR
16.05 215 Daniel Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.61073.6615384615384799.010299845481410.772196.4307692307692487.7565005852077620.787319.2000000000000586.7348542097258530.845441.9692307692307682.7623300496132340.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.00073.6615384615384756.78983046019355610.000196.4307692307692434.2822319396462820.000319.2000000000000532.23893918868246530.000441.9692307692307624.29389086845722540.575564.7384615384616101.408139595556955Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345875.7384615384615298.62721893491124111201.9692307692307682.6508875739645211328.282.6508875739645311454.4307692307691682.650887573964540580.6615384615385141.230769230769235075.7384615384615256.0236686390532410201.9692307692307624.07100591715975220328.224.07100591715975230454.4307692307691624.07100591715975243580.6615384615385125.254437869822485All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Derrek 4-1 2nd 118.20 0.718 8.95 12-2 1st 3rd place
1 983 2019 Matt 3-2 3rd 117.52 0.723 11.17 8-5 2nd 2nd place
2 967 2024 Rabbit 4-1 1st 115.83 0.715 18.04 6-8 8th
3 965 2022 Ed 3-2 4th 115.29 0.721 17.67 7-7 7th
4 957 2015 Rob 2-3 7th 112.45 0.719 17.74 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 955 2025 Rabbit 4-1 1st 116.53 0.703 12.79
6 953 2016 Dave 3-2 4th 118.05 0.703 16.87 6-7 8th
7 948 2023 Pulley 4-1 2nd 122.61 0.720 23.59 8-6 4th 6th place
8 943 2012 Matt 4-1 3rd 115.74 0.735 14.95 11-2 2nd Blingabowl V champion
9 943 2012 Rabbit 5-0 2nd 114.01 0.735 11.91 12-1 1st 3rd place
10 941 2021 Babel 5-0 1st 120.81 0.703 18.05 10-4 3rd 5th place