2021 Derrek (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 591.01 points (118.20 average)

2nd place

3.59 expected wins (0.718)

44-21 all-play record (0.677)

-16.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 109.27 95.82 Rob 13.45
2 W 120.93 93.79 Mike R. 27.14
3 W 122.93 75.52 Pulley 47.41
4 W 130.98 106.49 Ed 24.49
5 L 106.90 118.05 Babel -11.15
6 Rob
7 Matt
8 Scott
9 Kevin
10 Pat
11 Richie
12 Schertz
13 Dave
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.2307692307692320.0%310.94871794871796141.23076923076923338.3%396.8461538461538772.040.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.1%53.25641025641026141.006318282441201.9%139.15384615384616137.76140285621597111.2%225.05128205128204121.04829575500109230.4%310.9487179487179686.3517442737553930.0%396.846153846153872.7692307692307736418.0%482.7435897435898108.640819289772815Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728423rd305.450.81656804733728431st452.2269230769235.84615384615381141st599.0538461538465.84615384615381155th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th158.573076923076973.3017751479289923rd305.450.81656804733728432nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557642nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557656th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th158.573076923076973.3017751479289923rd305.450.81656804733728433rd452.22692307692350.81656804733728443rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372845Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Saquon Barkley RB
2.05 19 Patrick Mahomes II QB
3.10 38 Jonathan Taylor K RB
4.05 47 Diontae Johnson WR
5.10 66 Will Fuller V WR
6.05 75 Raheem Mostert RB
7.10 94 Henry Ruggs III WR
8.05 103 Rob Gronkowski TE
9.10 122 Justin Jefferson K WR
10.05 131 Nyheim Hines RB
11.10 150 Parris Campbell WR
12.05 159 Austin Hooper TE
13.10 178 Baltimore DEF
14.05 187 Brandon McManus K
15.10 206 Allen Lazard WR
16.05 215 Daniel Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.61050.5846153846153898.9796724298458610.773134.892307692307787.7439379368393320.787219.286.7250258879228130.845303.5076923076922582.7570169374346840.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.5846153846153856.72857562892248510.000134.892307692307734.2571066429094220.000219.232.2192825450764130.000303.5076923076922524.2832646441001340.576387.8153846153846101.380498269061795Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345852.66153846153845698.62721893491124111140.4307692307692282.6508875739645211228.2000000000000282.6508875739645311315.969230769230782.650887573964540403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845656.0236686390532410140.4307692307692224.07100591715975220228.2000000000000224.07100591715975230315.969230769230724.07100591715975243403.7384615384615125.254437869822485All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Derrek 4-1 2nd 118.20 0.718 8.95 12-2 1st 3rd place
1 983 2019 Matt 3-2 3rd 117.52 0.723 11.17 8-5 2nd 2nd place
2 971 2024 Rabbit 4-1 1st 115.83 0.719 18.04 6-8 8th
3 966 2022 Ed 3-2 4th 115.29 0.721 17.67 7-7 7th
4 958 2015 Rob 2-3 7th 112.45 0.719 17.74 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 953 2016 Dave 3-2 4th 118.05 0.703 16.87 6-7 8th
6 946 2023 Pulley 4-1 2nd 122.61 0.722 23.59 8-6 4th 6th place
7 944 2012 Matt 4-1 3rd 115.74 0.735 14.95 11-2 2nd Blingabowl V champion
8 944 2012 Rabbit 5-0 2nd 114.01 0.735 11.91 12-1 1st 3rd place
9 942 2021 Babel 5-0 1st 120.81 0.703 18.05 10-4 3rd 5th place
10 941 2022 Schertz 3-2 2nd 121.16 0.715 29.12 6-8 9th