2021 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

6-2 (0.750), 849.13 points

5th place

4.67 expected wins (0.584)

55-49 all-play record (0.529)

-34.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 109.27 95.82 Rob 13.45
2 W 120.93 93.79 Mike R. 27.14
3 W 122.93 75.52 Pulley 47.41
4 W 130.98 106.49 Ed 24.49
5 L 106.90 118.05 Babel -11.15
6 W 112.25 74.38 Rob 37.87
7 L 52.19 89.05 Matt -36.86 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 93.68 69.98 Scott 23.70
9 Kevin
10 Pat
11 Richie
12 Schertz
13 Dave
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.23076923076923520.8%382.5299145299145597.5774385748733660.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.1924967808486400.4%96.20512820512818140.474387141410412.9%153.47008547008548135.25015082716016211.6%210.73504273504273116.80393918118892326.4%268.085.85941927236439433.0%325.264957264957371.9999999999999950.0%382.5299145299145553.9241079189774764.9%439.79487179487177130.843742311436270.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728423rd179.5483516483516650.81656804733728431st263.449450549450555.84615384615381141st347.35054945054945.84615384615381152nd431.251648351648328.33136094674557665th515.152747252747295.786982248520775th599.05384615384695.786982248520785th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289923rd179.5483516483516650.81656804733728432nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557642nd347.350549450549428.33136094674557653rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728465th515.152747252747295.786982248520775th599.05384615384695.786982248520786th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289923rd179.5483516483516650.81656804733728433rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728443rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728454th431.251648351648373.3017751479289966th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Saquon Barkley RB
2.05 19 Patrick Mahomes II QB
3.10 38 Jonathan Taylor K RB
4.05 47 Diontae Johnson WR
5.10 66 Will Fuller V WR
6.05 75 Raheem Mostert RB
7.10 94 Henry Ruggs III WR
8.05 103 Rob Gronkowski TE
9.10 122 Justin Jefferson K WR
10.05 131 Nyheim Hines RB
11.10 150 Parris Campbell WR
12.05 159 Austin Hooper TE
13.10 178 Baltimore DEF
14.05 187 Brandon McManus K
15.10 206 Allen Lazard WR
16.05 215 Daniel Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.62934.77692307692307694.0450495638885110.78987.4692307692307683.3886671519939620.805140.1615384615384482.350352968270930.860192.8538461538461878.6998588907603740.000245.54615384615386135.935757237459750.673298.238461538461591.1159106034908560.000350.93076923076916135.935757237459770.362403.6230769230769111.860335031978980.00034.77692307692307652.15434189031732610.00087.4692307692307630.84157706652821720.000140.1615384615384428.76494869908209830.000192.8538461538461821.46396054406102440.592245.5461538461538696.5151443588507350.000298.238461538461546.296063969521976-0.040350.93076923076916138.5832632341144770.000403.623076923076987.784912826498098Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678836.2048076923076998.6272189349112411191.0605769230769282.6508875739645211145.9163461538461582.6508875739645311200.7721153846153882.650887573964540255.6278846153846141.2307692307692356310.48365384615386109.2781065088757460365.3394230769231141.2307692307692375420.1951923076923114.603550295857998036.2048076923076956.023668639053241091.0605769230769224.07100591715975220145.9163461538461524.07100591715975230200.7721153846153824.07100591715975243255.6278846153846125.2544378698224850310.4836538461538677.3254437869822560365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.195192307692387.976331360946748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Derrek 6-2 5th 106.14 0.584 23.00 12-2 1st 3rd place
1 993 2012 Ed 6-2 4th 106.52 0.584 25.48 8-5 4th 4th place
2 990 2014 Matt 5-3 3rd 106.49 0.587 21.76 7-6 6th 4th place
3 981 2016 Rabbit 4-4 6th 105.82 0.583 15.03 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 976 2023 Babel 5-3 5th 110.49 0.586 24.01 9-5 3rd 5th place
5 975 2022 Dave 3-5 11th 104.12 0.587 18.16 8-6 3rd 3rd place
6 973 2015 Dave 3-5 10th 105.91 0.593 26.40 6-7 8th
7 973 2021 Kevin 5-3 8th 110.42 0.586 19.92 5-9 9th
8 972 2011 Babel 5-3 2nd 106.09 0.586 11.36 7-6 7th
9 967 2024 Mike R. 4-4 5th 108.89 0.593 21.37 9-5 2nd
10 967 2016 Schertz 4-4 5th 106.80 0.596 20.28 7-6 5th 4th place