2022 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,175.96 points

4th place

6.67 expected wins (0.607)

87-56 all-play record (0.608)

+12.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 W 121.68 98.61 Pat 23.07
6 L 81.37 113.64 Rob -32.27
7 L 121.18 139.37 Kevin -18.19
8 W 100.47 97.78 Babel 2.69
9 W 109.53 72.02 Matt 37.51
10 W 138.98 103.22 Richie 35.76 Team Blangums
11 L 106.77 132.12 Schertz -25.35
12 Scott
13 Pulley
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923525.8%289.47435897435978.9338864193472660.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2306750655420400.0%74.73076923076923141.2243727257461210.1%117.67948717948717141.0745595791837620.7%160.62820512820514139.4877249834798434.2%203.57692307692307131.0773311981477413.7%246.52564102564102108.2205496404070650.0%289.47435897435916.637003607925294628.7%332.4230769230769672.0718.6%375.371794871794996.3125013042604286.8%418.3205128205129124.8201070617150291.3%461.26923076923083138.1355688128566100.1%504.21794871794873140.9977003272555311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124129th129.2076923076923185.727810650887638th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041558th305.4163.2426035502958567th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041577th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124194th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124127th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041546th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124157th305.4140.75739644970415610th364.1307692307692208.213017751479377th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041584th481.5923076923076673.3017751479289993rd540.323076923076950.816568047337284104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th70.4769230769230995.786982248520728th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041557th305.4140.7573964497041567th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041577th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124194th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.3017751479289911Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.95627.5916083916083975.0353510573471110.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.205104.23496503496503127.0607058732469230.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.858180.8783216783216481.865241455852150.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.534295.8433566433567104.2300073531196380.697334.16503496503592.990803352917690.965372.486713286713374.45577633135086100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.591608391608398.83993288392500210.28565.91328671328671121.4695143989300320.000104.23496503496503112.890642515724630.440142.55664335664335110.798520914410640.000180.8783216783216422.4997136809349650.230219.19999999999996125.3333459055717860.854257.521678321678382.0925256621251370.000295.843356643356767.2292454754700480.000334.16503496503544.75083747506596490.000372.48671328671337.680783431932497100.651410.808391608391696.150053820112911Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111328.72447552447552372.01068.61958041958042141.2307692307692322108.5146853146853130.5798816568047330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923411188.3048951048950882.650887573964550228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692373307.9902097902098125.25443786982248811347.885314685314782.6508875739645913387.780419580419672.0100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.7244755244755232.76923076923077361568.61958041958042114.6035502958579920108.5146853146853119.9289940828402335148.40979020979017114.6035502958579940188.3048951048950824.07100591715975253228.2125.25443786982248612268.0951048951048477.3254437869822570307.9902097902098109.2781065088757480347.885314685314724.07100591715975290387.78041958041962.7692307692307736109427.6755244755244793.3017751479289911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 6-5 4th 106.91 0.607 20.12 8-6 4th 4th place
1 988 2013 Pulley 7-4 2nd 104.76 0.605 20.21 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 983 2015 Dave 5-6 8th 105.27 0.606 24.95 6-7 8th
3 983 2024 Rob 9-2 1st 106.10 0.612 18.73 12-2 1st
4 981 2024 Rabbit 4-7 10th 108.07 0.603 16.02 6-8 8th
5 980 2020 Schertz 5-6 8th 107.51 0.610 15.04 6-7 9th
6 974 2011 Rabbit 6-5 3rd 109.24 0.609 26.02 8-5 2nd Blingabowl IV champion
7 968 2022 Rob 7-4 1st 105.08 0.615 15.81 10-4 1st 2nd place
8 966 2022 Scott 6-5 3rd 107.09 0.593 22.65 6-8 10th
9 962 2024 Richie 7-4 3rd 111.44 0.603 26.37 8-6 5th
10 960 2023 Babel 8-3 1st 108.62 0.593 22.87 9-5 3rd 5th place