2022 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,175.96 points (106.91 average)

4th place

6.68 expected wins (0.608)

87-56 all-play record (0.608)

+13.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 W 121.68 98.61 Pat 23.07
6 L 81.37 113.64 Rob -32.27
7 L 121.18 139.37 Kevin -18.19
8 W 100.47 97.78 Babel 2.69
9 W 109.53 72.02 Matt 37.51
10 W 138.98 103.22 Richie 35.76 Team Blangums
11 L 106.77 132.12 Schertz -25.35
12 Scott
13 Pulley
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923525.8%289.47435897435979.3310523083576860.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307085555389700.0%74.73076923076923141.2258509116538210.1%117.67948717948717141.0939619117145620.7%160.62820512820514139.6028344410571534.1%203.57692307692307131.4282576744581413.5%246.52564102564102108.7840075590195350.0%289.47435897435917.43133538594614628.9%332.4230769230769672.0718.8%375.371794871794996.286783955604586.8%418.3205128205129124.9514175888429291.3%461.26923076923083138.21690385232276100.1%504.21794871794873141.0100346818987311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124129th129.2076923076923185.727810650887638th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041558th305.4163.2426035502958567th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041577th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124194th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124127th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041546th246.66923076923075118.2721893491124157th305.4140.75739644970415610th364.1307692307692208.213017751479377th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041584th481.5923076923076673.3017751479289993rd540.323076923076950.816568047337284104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899111st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th70.4769230769230995.786982248520728th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041557th305.4140.7573964497041567th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041577th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124194th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.3017751479289911Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.96427.5916083916083974.5227615495729910.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.193104.23496503496503127.902059360561830.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.857180.8783216783216481.9084701318097950.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.544295.8433566433567103.5391516412895580.692334.16503496503593.3236742209605790.973372.486713286713373.88127579070847100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.591608391608397.81475386837675510.28265.91328671328671121.7024151246162420.000104.23496503496503114.5733494903543630.457142.55664335664335109.6019422988168840.000180.8783216783216422.58617103285034550.223219.19999999999996125.8140037148753160.853257.521678321678382.1728519591980370.000295.843356643356765.8475340518098780.000334.16503496503545.4165792111519190.000372.48671328671336.531782350647717100.646410.808391608391696.5132546206749311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111328.72447552447552372.01068.61958041958042141.2307692307692322108.5146853146853130.5798816568047330148.40979020979017141.23076923076923411188.3048951048950882.650887573964550228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692373307.9902097902098125.25443786982248811347.885314685314782.6508875739645913387.780419580419672.0100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.7244755244755232.76923076923077361568.61958041958042114.6035502958579920108.5146853146853119.9289940828402335148.40979020979017114.6035502958579940188.3048951048950824.07100591715975253228.2125.25443786982248612268.0951048951048477.3254437869822570307.9902097902098109.2781065088757480347.885314685314724.07100591715975290387.78041958041962.7692307692307736109427.6755244755244793.3017751479289911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 6-5 4th 106.91 0.608 20.12 8-6 4th 4th place
1 983 2020 Schertz 5-6 8th 107.51 0.610 15.04 6-7 9th
2 983 2024 Rob 9-2 1st 106.10 0.613 18.73 12-2 1st 2nd place
3 980 2024 Rabbit 4-7 10th 108.07 0.604 16.02 6-8 8th
4 977 2015 Dave 5-6 8th 105.27 0.604 24.95 6-7 8th
5 976 2013 Pulley 7-4 2nd 104.76 0.600 20.21 8-5 3rd 3rd place
6 975 2022 Rob 7-4 1st 105.08 0.612 15.81 10-4 1st 2nd place
7 971 2011 Rabbit 6-5 3rd 109.24 0.611 26.02 8-5 2nd Blingabowl IV champion
8 966 2024 Richie 7-4 3rd 111.44 0.606 26.37 8-6 5th 5th place
9 965 2022 Scott 6-5 3rd 107.09 0.593 22.65 6-8 10th
10 957 2008 Rob 7-4 4th 99.59 0.612 17.38 9-4 2nd 2nd place