2022 Derrek (through 13 weeks)

7-6 (0.538), 1,379.26 points

5th place

7.68 expected wins (0.591)

100-69 all-play record (0.592)

+11.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 W 121.68 98.61 Pat 23.07
6 L 81.37 113.64 Rob -32.27
7 L 121.18 139.37 Kevin -18.19
8 W 100.47 97.78 Babel 2.69
9 W 109.53 72.02 Matt 37.51
10 W 138.98 103.22 Richie 35.76 Team Blangums
11 L 106.77 132.12 Schertz -25.35
12 W 115.08 114.94 Scott 0.14
13 L 88.22 92.35 Pulley -4.13
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923623.8%286.406593406593477.972503286404870.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307398761729500.0%65.52747252747253141.2289570781446710.0%102.34065934065934141.1878719272527320.2%139.15384615384613140.7208406226540731.3%175.96703296703296137.773157932046545.4%212.7802197802198126.92518103301232514.1%249.5934065934066103.7657390356043360.0%286.406593406593414.714237342040377726.1%323.219780219780271.99999999999999818.4%360.03296703296792.4128348584828798.2%396.8461538461538119.49118133736076102.2%433.6593406593406135.3825152489951110.3%470.4725274725274140.3696395030281120.0%507.2857142857143141.1777796365187513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124129th109.6307692307692185.727810650887638th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041558th256.4576923076923163.2426035502958567th305.4140.7573964497041577th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124194th452.22692307692373.30177514792899104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284124th599.05384615384673.30177514792899131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124127th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041546th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124157th256.4576923076923140.75739644970415610th305.4208.213017751479377th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041584th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289993rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899112nd550.111538461538428.331360946745576125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th60.6884615384615395.786982248520728th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041557th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041567th305.4140.7573964497041577th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124194th452.22692307692373.30177514792899104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899114th550.111538461538473.30177514792899124th599.05384615384673.3017751479289913Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.94824.6437869822485275.6159418640857110.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.19689.49585798816568127.641296679985530.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.849154.3479289940828282.445832262590750.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.526251.62603550295853104.8105981598582280.688284.052071005917193.571394159656290.956316.478106508875775.03636713808945100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.772381.3301775147928787.75291847906627120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485210.00111449740219910.27757.069822485207105122.0501052056686120.00089.49585798816568114.0518241292017830.431121.92189349112428111.379111721149240.000154.3479289940828223.66089529441215750.221186.7739644970414125.9139367123103760.846219.282.6731164688637370.000251.6260355029585368.390427088947280.000284.052071005917145.9120190885431590.000316.47810650887578.841965045409665100.643348.904142011834396.7306446268515110.000381.3301775147928734.27506772736329120.329413.75621301775146118.4817431671818213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131325.65562130177514572.01059.413017751479295141.230769230769232293.17041420118342130.5798816568047330126.92781065088758141.23076923076923411160.685207100591782.650887573964550194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692373261.9573964497041125.25443786982248811295.714792899408382.6508875739645913329.4721893491123472.0100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231110396.986982248520787.97633136094674120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.6556213017751452.76923076923077361559.413017751479295114.603550295857992093.17041420118342119.9289940828402335126.92781065088758114.6035502958579940160.685207100591724.07100591715975253194.44260355029584125.25443786982248612228.277.3254437869822570261.9573964497041109.2781065088757480295.714792899408324.07100591715975290329.472189349112342.7692307692307736109363.229585798816593.30177514792899110396.986982248520734.72189349112425123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 7-6 5th 106.10 0.591 19.34 8-6 4th 4th place
1 990 2016 Pulley 8-5 3rd 106.21 0.588 21.41 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 985 2020 Schertz 6-7 9th 105.89 0.588 15.51 6-7 9th
3 983 2009 Matt 9-4 2nd 106.07 0.584 17.98 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
4 977 2022 Rob 9-4 1st 104.32 0.594 14.89 10-4 1st 2nd place
5 975 2013 Dave 7-6 5th 105.60 0.597 25.03 7-6 5th 4th place
6 974 2024 Dave 9-4 2nd 108.93 0.595 22.86 9-5 3rd
7 974 2019 Derrek 7-6 6th 106.34 0.582 16.08 7-6 6th 3rd place
8 969 2016 Schertz 7-6 5th 106.72 0.605 19.33 7-6 5th 4th place
9 969 2016 Rob 8-5 4th 104.57 0.579 18.82 8-5 4th 5th place
10 968 2022 Scott 6-7 9th 106.15 0.577 21.65 6-8 10th