2022 Derrek (through 13 weeks)

7-6 (0.538), 1,379.26 points (106.10 average)

5th place

7.69 expected wins (0.591)

100-69 all-play record (0.592)

+12.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 W 121.68 98.61 Pat 23.07
6 L 81.37 113.64 Rob -32.27
7 L 121.18 139.37 Kevin -18.19
8 W 100.47 97.78 Babel 2.69
9 W 109.53 72.02 Matt 37.51
10 W 138.98 103.22 Richie 35.76 Team Blangums
11 L 106.77 132.12 Schertz -25.35
12 W 115.08 114.94 Scott 0.14
13 L 88.22 92.35 Pulley -4.13
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923623.9%286.406593406593478.1365933088184670.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307482237247300.0%65.52747252747253141.2292940089549210.0%102.34065934065934141.1924345981704520.2%139.15384615384613140.7509074481052431.3%175.96703296703296137.883442018311745.3%212.7802197802198127.16280319845293514.1%249.5934065934066104.0584682004758960.0%286.406593406593415.042417386867697726.2%323.219780219780271.99999999999999818.4%360.03296703296792.4486965118663398.2%396.8461538461538119.62799861134448102.2%433.6593406593406135.48668448669505110.3%470.4725274725274140.4004074278251120.0%507.2857142857143141.1809498919760413Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124129th109.6307692307692185.727810650887638th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041558th256.4576923076923163.2426035502958567th305.4140.7573964497041577th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124194th452.22692307692373.30177514792899104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284124th599.05384615384673.30177514792899131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124127th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041546th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124157th256.4576923076923140.75739644970415610th305.4208.213017751479377th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041584th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289993rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899112nd550.111538461538428.331360946745576125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th60.6884615384615395.786982248520728th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041557th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041567th305.4140.7573964497041577th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124194th452.22692307692373.30177514792899104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899114th550.111538461538473.30177514792899124th599.05384615384673.3017751479289913Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.95524.6437869822485275.09250556979210.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.18489.49585798816568128.4718033807807830.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.849154.3479289940828282.4782141520287850.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.536251.62603550295853104.1088956615085480.684284.052071005917193.8934182411795790.965316.478106508875774.45101981092748100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.767381.3301775147928788.15347938554488120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.643786982248528.95424190881476510.27457.069822485207105122.2721591448352420.00089.49585798816568115.7128375307923730.449121.92189349112428110.1716863190358940.000154.3479289940828223.7256590732883450.214186.7739644970414126.3837477350943260.845219.282.7425959794170270.000251.6260355029585366.9870220922478780.000284.052071005917146.5560672515899290.000316.47810650887577.671270391085727100.638348.904142011834397.08299864089395110.000381.3301775147928735.07618954032054120.328413.75621301775146118.5496766775313513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131325.65562130177514572.01059.413017751479295141.230769230769232293.17041420118342130.5798816568047330126.92781065088758141.23076923076923411160.685207100591782.650887573964550194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692373261.9573964497041125.25443786982248811295.714792899408382.6508875739645913329.4721893491123472.0100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231110396.986982248520787.97633136094674120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.6556213017751452.76923076923077361559.413017751479295114.603550295857992093.17041420118342119.9289940828402335126.92781065088758114.6035502958579940160.685207100591724.07100591715975253194.44260355029584125.25443786982248612228.277.3254437869822570261.9573964497041109.2781065088757480295.714792899408324.07100591715975290329.472189349112342.7692307692307736109363.229585798816593.30177514792899110396.986982248520734.72189349112425123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 7-6 5th 106.10 0.591 19.34 8-6 4th 4th place
1 988 2016 Pulley 8-5 3rd 106.21 0.588 21.41 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 985 2009 Matt 9-4 2nd 106.07 0.585 17.98 9-4 2nd Blingabowl II champion
3 982 2020 Schertz 6-7 9th 105.89 0.587 15.51 6-7 9th
4 980 2022 Rob 9-4 1st 104.32 0.593 14.89 10-4 1st 2nd place
5 976 2013 Dave 7-6 5th 105.60 0.597 25.03 7-6 5th 4th place
6 974 2011 Rob 7-6 4th 109.31 0.589 23.31 7-6 4th 4th place
7 974 2016 Schertz 7-6 5th 106.72 0.603 19.33 7-6 5th 4th place
8 973 2024 Dave 9-4 2nd 108.93 0.596 22.86 9-5 3rd Blingabowl XVII champion
9 970 2016 Rob 8-5 4th 104.57 0.580 18.82 8-5 4th 5th place
10 967 2022 Scott 6-7 9th 106.15 0.577 21.65 6-8 10th