2023 Derrek

5-9 (0.357), 1,248.34 points

12th place

4.90 expected wins (0.350)

69-113 all-play record (0.379)

+1.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 L 90.50 151.68 Rob -61.18
12 W 126.73 112.58 Babel 14.15
13 L 59.64 78.77 Scott -19.13 Slapped Heartbeat
14 W 81.88 74.77 Rabbit 7.11

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.23076923076923425.8%199.2820512820512772.050.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.0989327343791300.7%61.84615384615385139.2372382301596214.2%96.2051282051282129.8244917970997212.7%130.56410256410257107.18170096400118322.6%164.9230769230769680.5866510751390540.0%199.282051282051272.7692307692307736519.6%233.641025641025788.61065342125599610.1%268.0114.2063278456372673.5%302.3589743589743131.9052604339840780.8%336.71794871794873139.1299139583569590.1%371.0769230769231140.94064686485225100.0%405.4358974358974141.20912499245568110.0%439.7948717948718141.23009472334644120.0%474.15384615384613141.2307605411023130.0%508.5128205128205141.2307691929223714Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th56.92366863905325275.6686390532544211th102.10118343195265230.698224852071312th147.27869822485206253.18343195266272411th192.45621301775148230.698224852071512th237.6337278106509253.18343195266272610th282.8112426035503208.2130177514793712th327.98875739644967253.18343195266272812th373.16627218934906253.18343195266272912th418.3437869822485253.183431952662721012th463.5213017751479253.183431952662721112th508.6988165680473253.183431952662721213th553.8763313609467275.66863905325441313th599.053846153846275.66863905325441412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th56.92366863905325275.6686390532544212th102.10118343195265253.18343195266272312th147.27869822485206253.18343195266272411th192.45621301775148230.698224852071511th237.6337278106509230.698224852071611th282.8112426035503230.698224852071713th327.98875739644967275.6686390532544813th373.16627218934906275.6686390532544912th418.3437869822485253.183431952662721012th463.5213017751479253.183431952662721112th508.6988165680473253.183431952662721213th553.8763313609467275.66863905325441312th599.053846153846253.183431952662721412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th56.92366863905325275.6686390532544211th102.10118343195265230.698224852071312th147.27869822485206253.18343195266272412th192.45621301775148253.18343195266272512th237.6337278106509253.18343195266272611th282.8112426035503230.698224852071712th327.98875739644967253.18343195266272812th373.16627218934906253.18343195266272913th418.3437869822485275.66863905325441013th463.5213017751479275.66863905325441111th508.6988165680473230.6982248520711213th553.8763313609467275.66863905325441313th599.053846153846275.668639053254414Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00023.485714285714284141.2307692307692310.00053.5956043956044141.2307692307692320.00083.70549450549449141.2307692307692330.000113.81538461538459141.2307692307692340.729143.925274725274790.784169938494150.381174.03516483516484114.8308389621821760.000204.1450549450549141.2307692307692370.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.000264.36483516483514141.2307692307692390.333294.4747252747253118.18328100470957100.000324.58461538461535141.23076923076923110.868354.6945054945054581.17004801314434120.000384.80439560439555141.23076923076923130.208414.91428571428565126.8541734740262140.02323.485714285714284139.6275458665712710.31253.5956043956044119.603807293916120.45783.70549450549449109.6260306385294730.211113.81538461538459126.6268892677531740.000143.925274725274740.3375706462189950.000174.0351648351648488.4309086935951160.642204.145054945054996.8072014047297770.016234.25494505494504140.1048426997446780.373264.36483516483514115.3876852675511390.000294.474725274725395.13579277864991100.338324.58461538461535117.8196262746727110.000354.6945054945054521.10932679551945120.009384.80439560439555140.59350374323174130.000414.91428571428565112.4775777172831814Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314024.449999999999996141.230769230769231055.79615384615384141.230769230769232087.14230769230768141.2307692307692330118.48846153846152141.2307692307692348149.8346153846153898.6272189349112458181.1807692307692498.6272189349112460212.52692307692305141.2307692307692370243.87307692307692141.2307692307692380275.21923076923076141.2307692307692393306.56538461538463125.25443786982248100337.91153846153844141.230769230769231110369.257692307692387.97633136094674120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923133431.95125.2544378698224814224.449999999999996130.579881656804731255.79615384615384130.579881656804732487.14230769230768119.9289940828402333118.48846153846152125.2544378698224840149.8346153846153856.0236686390532450181.1807692307692456.0236686390532469212.5269230769230593.3017751479289970243.87307692307692141.2307692307692389275.2192307692307693.3017751479289990306.56538461538463109.27810650887574108337.9115384615384498.62721893491124110369.257692307692334.72189349112425120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923130431.95109.2781065088757414All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 5-9 12th 89.17 0.350 18.70
1 988 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97
2 988 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62
3 985 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15
4 980 2014 Schertz 5-8 13th 87.26 0.345 16.95
5 977 2016 Richie 5-8 12th 88.10 0.342 17.42
6 977 2020 Pat 5-8 12th 89.15 0.341 16.59
7 968 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09
8 967 2017 Allen 5-8 12th 85.50 0.353 12.53
9 967 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21
10 967 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78