2023 Derrek (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,166.46 points

13th place

4.64 expected wins (0.357)

66-103 all-play record (0.391)

+6.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 L 90.50 151.68 Rob -61.18
12 W 126.73 112.58 Babel 14.15
13 L 59.64 78.77 Scott -19.13 Slapped Heartbeat
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923325.0%175.9670329670329674.2990213828337440.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572141.0467990073049701.0%65.52747252747253138.564910937118615.4%102.34065934065934126.73237925060374215.2%139.15384615384613100.5828305792336930.0%175.967032967032967.36727353489826425.9%212.780219780219872.0517.4%249.593406593406694.8206195249451667.6%286.4065934065934120.9992127004521872.1%323.2197802197802135.643708861127280.3%360.032967032967140.3192516803512190.0%396.8461538461538141.15587221983856100.0%433.6593406593406141.22873624130744110.0%470.4725274725274141.23074895381382120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307691694807413Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544211th109.6307692307692230.698224852071312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272610th305.4208.2130177514793712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071611th305.4230.698224852071713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544211th109.6307692307692230.698224852071312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711213th599.053846153846275.668639053254413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.725154.3479289940828291.0491014364694850.378186.7739644970414115.0957704601575560.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.329316.4781065088757118.44821250268495100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.864381.3301775147928781.43497951111972120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.01924.64378698224852139.8924773645466610.30957.069822485207105119.8687387918914720.45389.49585798816568109.8909621365048430.207121.92189349112428126.8918207657285440.000154.3479289940828240.8674336421697450.000186.773964497041488.9607716895458760.638219.297.0721329027051570.012251.62603550295853140.3697741977200680.369284.0520710059171115.652616765526590.000316.478106508875795.66565577460067100.334348.9041420118343118.08455777264808110.000381.3301775147928721.639189791470216120.005413.75621301775146140.8584352412070813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692348160.685207100591798.6272189349112458194.4426035502958498.6272189349112460228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692393329.47218934911234125.25443786982248100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231110396.986982248520787.97633136094674120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313225.655621301775145130.579881656804731259.413017751479295130.579881656804732493.17041420118342119.9289940828402333126.92781065088758125.2544378698224840160.685207100591756.0236686390532450194.4426035502958456.0236686390532469228.293.3017751479289970261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408393.3017751479289990329.47218934911234109.27810650887574108363.229585798816598.62721893491124110396.986982248520734.72189349112425120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 4-9 13th 89.73 0.357 19.29 5-9 12th
1 990 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.355 19.15 4-9 12th
2 985 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62 5-8 10th
3 982 2022 Pat 7-6 6th 89.17 0.361 15.24 8-6 6th 6th place
4 980 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21 5-8 11th
5 979 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.362 16.28 5-8 13th
6 979 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.363 16.09 7-6 7th
7 978 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78 6-7 10th
8 971 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.349 14.97 3-10 14th
9 970 2023 Scott 7-6 8th 90.97 0.369 19.44 8-6 7th
10 969 2010 Pat 3-10 12th 84.05 0.355 20.89 3-10 12th