2023 Derrek (through 13 weeks)

4-9 (0.308), 1,166.46 points (89.73 average)

13th place

4.68 expected wins (0.360)

66-103 all-play record (0.391)

+6.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 W 113.48 102.03 Richie 11.45
6 W 92.96 66.01 Schertz 26.95
7 L 108.07 110.92 Matt -2.85
8 L 61.10 123.92 Kevin -62.82 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 92.49 123.32 Pulley -30.83
10 W 90.10 70.05 Dave 20.05
11 L 90.50 151.68 Rob -61.18
12 W 126.73 112.58 Babel 14.15
13 L 59.64 78.77 Scott -19.13 Slapped Heartbeat
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923324.7%175.9670329670329675.4881560610410440.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.1%28.71428571428572141.0581053842954601.0%65.52747252747253138.6929858398725615.2%102.34065934065934127.32376475727135214.8%139.15384615384613101.8611404081080730.0%175.967032967032969.745542891312851426.0%212.780219780219872.0517.8%249.593406593406693.827532312306467.9%286.4065934065934120.0537410683685172.3%323.2197802197802135.2064378830295480.4%360.032967032967140.2061980661063790.0%396.8461538461538141.13970674857705100.0%433.6593406593406141.22760103939527110.0%470.4725274725274141.2307250606424120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307690270548613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544211th109.6307692307692230.698224852071312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272610th305.4208.2130177514793712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544212th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272411th207.5153846153846230.698224852071511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071611th305.4230.698224852071713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544912th452.226923076923253.183431952662721012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544211th109.6307692307692230.698224852071312th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.18343195266272611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441111th550.1115384615384230.6982248520711213th599.053846153846275.668639053254413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
7
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.718154.3479289940828291.5448123150557850.393186.7739644970414114.0086032086060560.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.334316.4781065088757118.1203551633308100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.868381.3301775147928781.13314053065847120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.02524.64378698224852139.487441166394610.30757.069822485207105120.0006924326698120.45889.49585798816568109.4999777325856830.196121.92189349112428127.6334417846335640.000154.3479289940828241.8588553993423350.000186.773964497041486.7864371864428760.629219.297.6958481162654170.017251.62603550295853140.033029342221980.386284.0520710059171114.4882528101333690.000316.478106508875795.00994109589237100.341348.9041420118343117.63699236408061110.000381.3301775147928721.035511830547705120.009413.75621301775146140.5811972133093413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692348160.685207100591798.6272189349112458194.4426035502958498.6272189349112460228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692393329.47218934911234125.25443786982248100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231110396.986982248520787.97633136094674120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313225.655621301775145130.579881656804731259.413017751479295130.579881656804732493.17041420118342119.9289940828402333126.92781065088758125.2544378698224840160.685207100591756.0236686390532450194.4426035502958456.0236686390532469228.293.3017751479289970261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408393.3017751479289990329.47218934911234109.27810650887574108363.229585798816598.62721893491124110396.986982248520734.72189349112425120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 4-9 13th 89.73 0.360 19.29 5-9 12th
1 988 2022 Pat 7-6 6th 89.17 0.359 15.24 8-6 6th 6th place
2 987 2019 Rob 5-8 13th 91.04 0.359 16.28 5-8 13th
3 986 2023 Scott 7-6 8th 90.97 0.365 19.44 8-6 7th
4 982 2016 Pat 7-6 7th 88.96 0.364 16.09 7-6 7th
5 979 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78 6-7 10th
6 978 2011 Pulley 5-8 10th 90.96 0.352 18.62 5-8 10th
7 978 2011 Pat 5-8 11th 87.91 0.358 24.21 5-8 11th
8 971 2023 Richie 4-9 12th 91.09 0.366 12.88 4-10 13th
9 970 2016 Derrek 3-10 14th 88.82 0.351 14.97 3-10 14th
10 967 2009 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.20 0.347 19.15 4-9 12th