2023 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

0-4 (0.000), 331.39 points (82.85 average)

12th place

1.02 expected wins (0.255)

11-41 all-play record (0.212)

+6.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 63.20 83.70 Dave -20.50
2 L 88.68 99.99 Pat -11.31
3 L 97.50 102.60 Ed -5.10
4 L 82.01 123.59 Mike R. -41.58
5 Richie
6 Schertz
7 Matt
8 Kevin
9 Pulley
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Babel
13 Scott
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123428.0%61.84615384615385498.754310168220100.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.0%61.84615384615385456.277851105670976045.7%164.9230769230769372.0122.5%268.00000000000006107.0638900234041823.7%371.0769230769231135.6936468140860430.1%474.1538461538462141.075745995527774Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544211th403.28461538461534230.698224852071312th599.053846153846253.18343195266272412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544212th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272312th599.053846153846253.18343195266272412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544211th403.28461538461534230.698224852071312th599.053846153846253.183431952662724Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Jonathan Taylor RB
2.04 18 Josh Jacobs RB
3.11 39 Hollywood Brown WR
4.04 46 Patrick Mahomes II K QB
5.11 67 Skyy Moore WR
6.04 74 Dallas Goedert TE
7.11 95 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
8.04 102 Allen Lazard WR
9.11 123 Alexander Mattison K RB
10.04 130 Elijah Moore WR
11.11 151 Michael Gallup WR
12.04 158 Ty Chandler RB
13.11 179 Kyler Murray QB
14.04 186 Kenyan Drake RB
15.11 207 Cincinnati DEF
16.04 214 Brett Maher K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.03461.12307692307692138.886319122125210.315166.5076923076923119.399570388400420.467271.89230769230767108.8988556883162930.205377.276923076923127.032319740364174Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234263.6326923076923130.5798816568047312173.34423076923076130.5798816568047324283.0557692307692119.9289940828402333392.76730769230767125.254437869822484All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Derrek 0-4 12th 82.85 0.255 12.60 5-9 12th
1 985 2019 Dave 0-4 14th 84.47 0.256 9.08 6-7 10th
2 971 2022 Pat 1-3 14th 79.57 0.248 13.40 8-6 6th 6th place
3 947 2022 Babel 1-3 13th 82.61 0.280 11.37 3-11 14th
4 942 2024 Matt 0-4 14th 77.53 0.237 12.65 8-6 6th 6th place
5 941 2010 Rob 0-4 12th 71.84 0.252 17.15 6-7 7th
6 932 2019 Babel 2-2 11th 83.04 0.228 5.87 8-5 5th 5th place
7 931 2010 Pulley 2-2 8th 76.32 0.240 6.43 8-5 4th 5th place
8 929 2015 Allen 1-3 13th 79.52 0.284 12.17 4-9 13th
9 928 2020 Dave 1-3 13th 86.89 0.231 16.09 3-10 14th
10 902 2009 Pulley 0-4 12th 73.89 0.233 21.35 4-9 12th