2025 Derrek

3-9 (0.250), 1,109.25 points (92.44 average)

12th place

5.03 expected wins (0.419)

69-87 all-play record (0.442)

+15.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 73.23 83.03 Schertz -9.80
6 L 114.40 117.55 Dave -3.15
7 L 94.90 166.57 Mike R. -71.67
8 L 81.84 92.82 Richie -10.98
9 L 93.37 93.89 Pat -0.52
10 W 107.37 68.07 Scott 39.30
11 L 103.30 105.08 Ed -1.78
12 L 58.25 124.16 Pulley -65.91 Slapped Heartbeat
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%41.37278106508876141.2307692307692300.0%95.81065088757397141.2307692307692310.0%150.24852071005915141.23076923076923210.8%204.68639053254438113.1245825086354630.0%259.1242603550296141.2307692307692340.0%313.56213017751486141.2307692307692350.0%368.0141.2307692307692360.0%422.4378698224852141.2307692307692370.0%476.87573964497045141.2307692307692380.0%531.3136094674556141.2307692307692390.0%585.7514792899409141.23076923076923100.0%640.189349112426141.23076923076923110.0%694.6272189349113141.23076923076923120.0%41.37278106508876141.131412478536500.6%95.81065088757397139.7855724623079513.3%150.24852071005915132.5890156131769420.0%204.6863905325443885.01839578650169321.3%259.124260355029685.89132309332078426.7%313.5621301775148672.0521.6%368.085.22333188222393611.2%422.4378698224852112.0444096798182973.7%476.87573964497045131.6593733939777580.7%531.3136094674556139.3428383470845290.1%585.7514792899409141.0235958674782100.0%640.189349112426141.21989725378057110.0%694.6272189349113141.2305893176948612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th65.13776223776223208.213017751479326th118.52937062937062118.27218934911241310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793412th225.3125874125874253.18343195266272510th278.7041958041958208.213017751479369th332.09580419580413185.7278106508876710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.2130177514793124th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th65.13776223776223208.213017751479325th118.5293706293706295.786982248520739th171.92097902097902185.7278106508876413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544511th278.7041958041958230.698224852071612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721112th599.053846153846253.18343195266272124th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th65.13776223776223208.213017751479326th118.52937062937062118.27218934911241311th171.92097902097902230.698224852071413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544510th278.7041958041958208.213017751479369th332.09580419580413185.7278106508876710th385.4874125874125208.2130177514793810th438.87902097902094208.2130177514793910th492.27062937062936208.21301775147931010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931110th599.053846153846208.213017751479312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.57137.853846153846156101.7193921427621610.00089.00769230769231141.2307692307692320.819140.1615384615384484.5375182954014730.000191.3153846153846141.2307692307692340.000242.46923076923073141.2307692307692350.000293.62307692307695141.2307692307692360.000344.7769230769231141.2307692307692370.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692380.000447.0846153846154141.2307692307692390.640498.2384615384615496.93695970735067100.000549.3923076923077141.23076923076923110.000600.5461538461539141.23076923076923120.00037.85384615384615662.20801505475509410.31789.00769230769231119.2530043559420420.000140.1615384615384427.84426736003369730.109191.3153846153846133.6634450800936240.134242.46923076923073131.933942354138550.750293.6230769230769589.3026353830385960.459344.7769230769231109.4796062019388870.218395.9307692307692126.1531049878248880.424447.0846153846154111.8944208356911190.000498.2384615384615452.64315018393211100.562549.3923076923077102.30812996749611110.028600.5461538461539139.3025261277453512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121038.9211538461538487.976331360946741091.5173076923077141.23076923076923211144.113461538461582.650887573964530196.7096153846154141.2307692307692340249.30576923076924141.2307692307692350301.901923076923141.2307692307692360354.4980769230769141.2307692307692370407.09423076923076141.2307692307692380459.6903846153845141.23076923076923910512.286538461538587.97633136094674100564.8826923076923141.23076923076923110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312038.9211538461538434.721893491124251391.5173076923077125.2544378698224820144.113461538461524.07100591715975230196.7096153846154141.2307692307692342249.30576923076924130.5798816568047359301.90192307692393.3017751479289967354.4980769230769103.9526627218934973407.09423076923076125.2544378698224886459.6903846153845109.2781065088757490512.286538461538534.72189349112425108564.882692307692398.62721893491124110617.4788461538461141.2307692307692312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 3-9 12th 92.44 0.419 17.81
1 982 2024 Scott 4-8 12th 92.79 0.418 25.11 5-9 12th
2 982 2019 Dave 5-7 11th 93.07 0.415 21.11 6-7 10th
3 981 2022 Richie 5-7 13th 92.65 0.413 14.76 6-8 13th
4 969 2014 Kevin 3-9 14th 91.95 0.428 23.80 4-9 14th
5 968 2017 Richie 5-7 10th 89.17 0.418 26.16 6-7 8th
6 968 2014 Richie 5-7 10th 91.70 0.407 20.35 6-7 9th
7 965 2012 Schertz 4-8 10th 90.21 0.425 25.74 5-8 9th
8 961 2021 Mike R. 3-9 10th 94.15 0.432 21.12 4-10 11th
9 955 2023 Dave 6-6 8th 96.76 0.430 21.17 6-8 10th
10 954 2010 Matt 4-8 9th 96.18 0.431 22.19 5-8 9th