2026 Derrek

1-5 (0.167), 563.12 points (93.85 average)

13th place

2.35 expected wins (0.391)

31-47 all-play record (0.397)

+42.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.52 133.20 Pat -32.68
2 W 127.74 107.69 Ed 20.05 Team Blangums
3 L 103.48 111.71 Kevin -8.23
4 L 84.02 143.23 Babel -59.21
5 L 82.46 143.08 Mike R. -60.62
6 L 64.90 82.16 Richie -17.26
7 Rob
8 Dave
9 Pat
10 Schertz
11 Pulley
12 Scott
13 Matt
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.23076923076923017.3%165.80219780219778109.3823818964992810.0%266.90109890109886141.2307692307692320.0%368.0141.2307692307692330.0%469.09890109890114141.2307692307692340.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692362.0%64.7032967032967137.617754188574500.0%165.8021978021977877.53399456222932137.7%266.9010989010988672.0231.3%368.083.65285916120945310.3%469.09890109890114122.2497744301898741.3%570.1978021978022138.8665861749110550.0%671.2967032967032141.16621099965736Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th129.207692307692395.786982248520725th246.6692307692307595.786982248520738th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958549th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876510th599.053846153846208.2130177514793610th11.746153846153845208.213017751479316th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124127th246.66923076923075140.75739644970415310th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793412th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272513th599.053846153846275.668639053254468th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958514th129.207692307692373.3017751479289924th246.6692307692307573.3017751479289939th364.1307692307692185.727810650887649th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876510th599.053846153846208.21301775147936Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Bijan Robinson RB
2.13 27 Davante Adams WR
3.02 30 Terry McLaurin WR
4.13 55 Jalen Hurts QB
5.02 58 Ladd McConkey K×2 WR
6.13 83 Zach Charbonnet RB
7.02 86 Jordan Mason RB
8.13 111 Colston Loveland K TE
9.02 114 Romeo Doubs WR
10.13 139 Rashid Shaheed WR
11.02 142 Brian Robinson, Jr. RB
12.13 167 Dontayvion Wicks WR
13.02 170 Sam Darnold QB
14.13 195 New England DEF
15.02 198 Alvin Kamara RB
16.13 223 Harrison Butker K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00063.430769230769236141.2307692307692310.858165.7384615384615481.7974854408131920.000268.04615384615386141.2307692307692330.000370.3538461538461141.2307692307692340.000472.66153846153844141.2307692307692350.000574.9692307692308141.2307692307692360.48963.430769230769236107.3787679433713210.000165.7384615384615422.36420165085715420.553268.04615384615386102.9510418409853430.215370.3538461538461126.3770811476850340.197472.66153846153844127.6203385361308250.036574.9692307692308138.74537065255196Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456065.21923076923076141.23076923076923113170.4115384615384472.020275.6038461538461141.2307692307692330380.79615384615386141.2307692307692340485.9884615384615141.2307692307692350591.1807692307692141.230769230769236665.21923076923076109.2781065088757410170.411538461538442.769230769230773628275.603846153846198.6272189349112432380.79615384615386130.5798816568047341485.9884615384615135.9053254437869851591.1807692307692135.905325443786986All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Derrek 1-5 13th 93.85 0.391 19.79
1 982 2024 Matt 2-4 10th 91.14 0.391 23.14 8-6 6th 6th place
2 981 2025 Ed 1-5 14th 93.31 0.395 15.23 6-8 9th
3 978 2025 Matt 2-4 12th 92.55 0.398 18.59 4-10 11th
4 974 2023 Dave 3-3 10th 93.62 0.401 17.25 6-8 10th
5 970 2021 Pulley 2-4 10th 96.21 0.385 15.55 5-9 10th
6 966 2018 Babel 2-4 12th 97.90 0.384 18.21 4-9 12th
7 965 2009 Ed 3-3 8th 91.87 0.397 11.70 7-6 4th 6th place
8 959 2013 Richie 4-2 5th 93.39 0.410 20.71 6-7 10th
9 956 2024 Dave 3-3 9th 93.85 0.413 20.50 9-5 3rd Blingabowl XVII champion
10 954 2017 Richie 2-4 10th 84.57 0.388 18.48 6-7 8th