2009 Ed

7-6 (0.538), 1,322.97 points (101.77 average)

4th place (regular season)

6th place (playoffs)

6.39 expected wins (0.491)

69-74 all-play record (0.483)

-12.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.78 98.07 Derrek 5.71
2 L 100.92 101.26 Babel -0.34
3 L 93.65 104.58 Rob -10.93
4 W 73.75 68.02 Pulley 5.73
5 W 78.27 65.14 Allen 13.13
6 L 100.86 101.57 Matt -0.71
7 L 68.58 83.95 Rabbit -15.37 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 108.22 81.28 Kevin 26.94
9 W 121.30 111.26 Dave 10.04
10 W 172.68 76.44 Pat 96.24 Team Blangums
11 W 116.68 106.92 Mike R. 9.76
12 L 96.63 105.29 Derrek -8.66
13 L 87.65 135.11 Babel -47.46
14 L 95.21 129.47 Derrek -34.26 Quarterfinals
15 L 89.32 99.36 Kevin -10.04 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923624.4%286.406593406593475.3189259426476270.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.229735689507500.0%65.52747252747253141.1769236457389510.3%102.34065934065934140.4381429929968622.0%139.15384615384613135.8073833423506537.6%175.96703296703296120.67602857698057417.5%212.780219780219893.96091054861552525.6%249.593406593406672.0000000000000160.0%286.40659340659349.407082654526022715.1%323.2197802197802100.5025711317251285.9%360.032967032967125.2663220802459191.4%396.8461538461538137.44398719650607100.2%433.6593406593406140.72735649357935110.0%470.4725274725274141.19733441404725120.0%507.2857142857143141.2299272092991513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384585.5664335664335714th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335727th109.6307692307692165.286713286713339th158.5730769230769218.43356643356645410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993510th256.4576923076923245.006993006993610th305.4245.006993006993711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196810th403.28461538461534245.00699300699397th452.226923076923165.2867132867133106th501.16923076923075138.71328671328675116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675128th599.053846153846191.8601398601399134th11.74615384615384585.5664335664335714th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335728th109.6307692307692191.860139860139939th158.5730769230769218.4335664335664545th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601658th256.4576923076923191.8601398601399610th305.4245.00699300699377th354.3423076923077165.286713286713387th403.28461538461534165.286713286713393rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015103rd501.1692307692307558.993006993007015113rd550.111538461538458.993006993007015124th599.05384615384685.56643356643357134th11.74615384615384585.5664335664335713rd60.6884615384615358.99300699300701525th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601639th158.5730769230769218.43356643356645410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993510th256.4576923076923245.006993006993611th305.4271.5804195804196711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196811th403.28461538461534271.580419580419693rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015103rd501.1692307692307558.993006993007015113rd550.111538461538458.993006993007015125th599.053846153846112.1398601398601613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Randy Moss K WR
2.03 15 Greg Jennings WR
3.10 34 T.J. Houshmandzadeh WR
4.03 39 Darren McFadden RB
5.10 58 Knowshon Moreno RB
6.03 63 Reggie Bush RB
7.10 82 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
8.03 87 Jay Cutler QB
9.10 106 Chris Johnson K RB
10.03 111 Jerious Norwood RB
11.10 130 Matt Hasselbeck QB
12.03 135 Mark Clayton WR
13.10 154 Dustin Keller TE
14.03 159 San Diego DEF
15.10 178 Jerome Harrison RB
16.03 183 Nate Kaeding K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.58524.64378698224852100.7296539480739610.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.098121.92189349112428134.4551654871808440.138154.34792899408282131.6894360763035450.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.667251.6260355029585395.0553806283902880.866284.052071005917181.276019548878590.971316.478106508875774.01869638201032100.819348.904142011834384.55456661097367110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485260.2285386653786910.52357.069822485207105105.0113020796467320.38989.49585798816568114.3327162260604630.000121.92189349112428127.6795617435924640.000154.34792899408282122.1481029218378250.520186.7739644970414105.202957622573160.060219.2137.072059193403570.000251.6260355029585348.8799920260113280.000284.052071005917121.32126986698776290.000316.47810650887576.806623533251411100.000348.904142011834327.87836399117809110.457381.33017751479287109.56999499111748120.296413.75621301775146120.7403458824159413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213825.65562130177514590.881118881118881059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692331126.92781065088758134.9370629370629341160.6852071005917134.9370629370629350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692377261.957396449704197.17482517482517810295.714792899408378.2937062937063911329.4721893491123472.0109363.229585798816584.58741258741259110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514540.531468531468531659.413017751479295103.468531468531472393.17041420118342122.3496503496503530126.92781065088758128.6433566433566440160.6852071005917128.6433566433566455194.44260355029584109.7622377622377660228.2141.2307692307692370261.957396449704153.1188811188811280295.714792899408315.3566433566433690329.472189349112342.7692307692307736100363.229585798816527.944055944055947115396.9869822485207109.76223776223776123430.74437869822486122.3496503496503513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Ed 7-6 4th 101.77 0.491 25.43 6th place
1 988 2020 Richie 7-6 7th 101.92 0.495 27.21
2 980 2013 Babel 4-9 13th 99.53 0.492 30.92
3 972 2024 Schertz 7-7 7th 99.35 0.495 20.41
4 972 2022 Kevin 6-8 12th 96.86 0.492 21.91
5 966 2019 Babel 8-5 5th 100.69 0.485 16.71 5th place
6 965 2024 Ed 6-8 9th 100.26 0.488 14.70
7 964 2011 Kevin 6-7 8th 103.99 0.505 24.96
8 963 2012 Babel 6-7 6th 96.69 0.493 18.92 2nd place
9 962 2018 Rob 8-5 5th 102.91 0.479 20.94 5th place
10 962 2022 Matt 6-8 11th 98.05 0.484 21.17