2009 Ed

7-6 (0.538), 1,322.97 points

4th place (regular season)

6th place (playoffs)

6.43 expected wins (0.495)

69-74 all-play record (0.483)

-11.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.78 98.07 Derrek 5.71
2 L 100.92 101.26 Babel -0.34
3 L 93.65 104.58 Rob -10.93
4 W 73.75 68.02 Pulley 5.73
5 W 78.27 65.14 Allen 13.13
6 L 100.86 101.57 Matt -0.71
7 L 68.58 83.95 Rabbit -15.37 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 108.22 81.28 Kevin 26.94
9 W 121.30 111.26 Dave 10.04
10 W 172.68 76.44 Pat 96.24 Team Blangums
11 W 116.68 106.92 Mike R. 9.76
12 L 96.63 105.29 Derrek -8.66
13 L 87.65 135.11 Babel -47.46
14 L 95.21 129.47 Derrek -34.26 Quarterfinals
15 L 89.32 99.36 Kevin -10.04 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923624.2%286.406593406593474.1761973895526470.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.230203503830900.0%65.52747252747253141.1735503138808410.3%102.34065934065934140.3711426735186822.0%139.15384615384613135.5456438138983237.5%175.96703296703296120.33026483415686417.0%212.780219780219893.94815766641138525.0%249.593406593406672.060.0%286.40659340659347.1216255483360555715.5%323.219780219780298.2264209955633686.5%360.032967032967123.2976073345721891.7%396.8461538461538136.5576501649674100.3%433.6593406593406140.5202090360393110.0%470.4725274725274141.17475827759708120.0%507.2857142857143141.2290452298813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384585.5664335664335713rd60.6884615384615358.99300699300701525th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601639th158.5730769230769218.43356643356645410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993510th256.4576923076923245.006993006993610th305.4245.006993006993711th354.3423076923077271.580419580419689th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664597th452.226923076923165.2867132867133106th501.16923076923075138.71328671328675115th550.1115384615384112.13986013986016128th599.053846153846191.8601398601399134th11.74615384615384585.5664335664335714th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335728th109.6307692307692191.860139860139939th158.5730769230769218.4335664335664545th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601658th256.4576923076923191.8601398601399610th305.4245.00699300699377th354.3423076923077165.286713286713387th403.28461538461534165.286713286713393rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015103rd501.1692307692307558.993006993007015113rd550.111538461538458.993006993007015124th599.05384615384685.56643356643357134th11.74615384615384585.5664335664335713rd60.6884615384615358.99300699300701525th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601639th158.5730769230769218.43356643356645410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993510th256.4576923076923245.006993006993611th305.4271.5804195804196711th354.3423076923077271.5804195804196811th403.28461538461534271.580419580419693rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015103rd501.1692307692307558.993006993007015113rd550.111538461538458.993006993007015125th599.053846153846112.1398601398601613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Randy Moss K WR
2.03 15 Greg Jennings WR
3.10 34 T.J. Houshmandzadeh WR
4.03 39 Darren McFadden RB
5.10 58 Knowshon Moreno RB
6.03 63 Reggie Bush RB
7.10 82 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
8.03 87 Jay Cutler QB
9.10 106 Chris Johnson K RB
10.03 111 Jerious Norwood RB
11.10 130 Matt Hasselbeck QB
12.03 135 Mark Clayton WR
13.10 154 Dustin Keller TE
14.03 159 San Diego DEF
15.10 178 Jerome Harrison RB
16.03 183 Nate Kaeding K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.57624.64378698224852101.3337950246127410.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.122121.92189349112428132.8126575934293540.174154.34792899408282129.210202924001650.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.656251.6260355029585395.7880603915504680.837284.052071005917183.298793256846790.988316.478106508875772.80962713734571100.785348.904142011834386.9126121365881110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485261.43682081845625510.52457.069822485207105104.9476139043541420.40589.49585798816568113.1866663817519930.000121.92189349112428124.3945459560894740.000154.34792899408282117.1896366172339750.523186.7739644970414105.0385275868633760.077219.2135.9264512193700570.000251.6260355029585350.3453515523316980.000284.052071005917125.3668172829241690.000316.47810650887574.388485043922202100.000348.904142011834332.59445504240696110.455381.33017751479287109.74331065671538120.310413.75621301775146119.7665441533566213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213825.65562130177514590.881118881118881059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692331126.92781065088758134.9370629370629341160.6852071005917134.9370629370629350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692377261.957396449704197.17482517482517810295.714792899408378.2937062937063911329.4721893491123472.0109363.229585798816584.58741258741259110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514540.531468531468531659.413017751479295103.468531468531472393.17041420118342122.3496503496503530126.92781065088758128.6433566433566440160.6852071005917128.6433566433566455194.44260355029584109.7622377622377660228.2141.2307692307692370261.957396449704153.1188811188811280295.714792899408315.3566433566433690329.472189349112342.7692307692307736100363.229585798816527.944055944055947115396.9869822485207109.76223776223776123430.74437869822486122.3496503496503513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Ed 7-8 4th 100.50 0.480 23.92 6th place
1 994 2020 Richie 7-6 7th 101.92 0.494 27.21
2 978 2013 Rob 8-5 2nd 99.12 0.500 24.52 2nd place
3 976 2024 Schertz 7-7 7th 99.35 0.492 20.41
4 973 2019 Rabbit 6-7 7th 102.30 0.503 29.97
5 969 2013 Babel 4-9 13th 99.53 0.489 30.92
6 968 2019 Babel 8-5 5th 100.69 0.490 16.71 5th place
7 966 2012 Babel 6-7 6th 96.69 0.494 18.92 2nd place
8 966 2015 Babel 5-8 10th 98.55 0.505 26.13
9 966 2015 Schertz 9-4 2nd 101.30 0.509 27.25 2nd place
10 965 2018 Rob 8-5 5th 102.91 0.484 20.94 5th place