2011 Ed

9-4 (0.692), 1,327.75 points

1st place (regular season)

3rd place (playoffs)

6.60 expected wins (0.508)

74-69 all-play record (0.517)

-21.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 94.22 112.66 Matt -18.44
2 W 121.70 101.09 Pulley 20.61
3 W 123.82 108.58 Mike R. 15.24 Team Blangums
4 W 115.80 90.08 Kevin 25.72
5 L 94.50 117.74 Rabbit -23.24
6 L 69.43 99.76 Derrek -30.33 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 93.93 48.73 Pat 45.20
8 W 95.88 79.58 Rob 16.30
9 W 133.41 64.51 Babel 68.90 Team Blangums
10 W 75.87 73.97 Dave 1.90
11 W 102.14 92.49 Allen 9.65
12 L 96.23 118.49 Rabbit -22.26
13 W 110.82 92.13 Babel 18.69
15 L 88.17 118.64 Matt -30.47 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692388.0%360.032967032967118.7697927409142490.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2278924304903600.0%65.52747252747253141.1547395004050710.3%102.34065934065934140.3992089363641821.8%139.15384615384613136.253223922330736.5%175.96703296703296123.07183054148587415.2%212.780219780219898.61735023949129523.6%249.593406593406674.97247918044557624.6%286.406593406593472.0717.3%323.219780219780292.6545651262789880.0%360.03296703296796.3088162510592692.3%396.8461538461538134.68987575119286100.4%433.6593406593406140.13513835676883110.0%470.4725274725274141.14262920905207120.0%507.2857142857143141.2283426638260813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th60.68846153846153165.286713286713323rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701532nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804343rd207.515384615384658.99300699300701557th256.4576923076923165.286713286713368th305.4191.860139860139978th354.3423076923077191.860139860139983rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701596th452.226923076923138.71328671328675107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133128th599.053846153846191.8601398601399139th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664516th60.68846153846153138.7132867132867522nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804332nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804345th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601658th256.4576923076923191.860139860139966th305.4138.7132867132867574th354.342307692307785.5664335664335782nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804391st452.2269230769235.846153846153868101st501.169230769230755.846153846153868111st550.11153846153845.846153846153868121st599.0538461538465.846153846153868139th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th60.68846153846153165.286713286713323rd109.630769230769258.99300699300701532nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804344th207.515384615384685.5664335664335758th256.4576923076923191.860139860139968th305.4191.860139860139977th354.3423076923077165.286713286713384th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335797th452.226923076923165.2867132867133106th501.16923076923075138.71328671328675118th550.1115384615384191.8601398601399128th599.053846153846191.860139860139913Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Roddy White K WR
2.02 14 Matt Forte RB
3.11 35 Ryan Mathews RB
4.02 38 Brandon Marshall WR
5.11 59 Matt Schaub QB
6.02 62 Santana Moss WR
7.11 83 Shonn Greene K RB
8.02 86 Michael Crabtree WR
9.11 107 Lance Moore WR
10.02 110 Tony Moeaki TE
11.11 131 Thomas Jones RB
12.02 134 Earl Bennett WR
13.11 155 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
14.02 158 Colt McCoy QB
15.11 179 New York DEF
16.02 182 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.80957.06982248520710585.2513248532365520.82689.4958579881656884.0126259290484830.742121.9218934911242889.853830030265740.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.380219.2114.9232779821824770.413251.62603550295853112.6504359194520480.889284.052071005917179.68286179954790.112316.4781065088757133.44694079343557100.516348.9041420118343105.53644026310575110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.667413.7562130177514695.03590993329112130.38424.64378698224852114.6164443037138610.00057.06982248520710529.27188047570389520.00089.4958579881656826.79448262732772430.000121.9218934911242838.4768908297621840.390154.34792899408282114.2414253633633350.051186.7739644970414137.674427030114260.000219.288.6157867335957170.000251.6260355029585384.0701026081348380.000284.052071005917118.13495436832475690.000316.4781065088757125.6631123561019100.000348.904142011834369.84211129544227110.419381.33017751479287112.19586750690594120.000413.7562130177514648.84105063581300513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231859.41301775147929590.8811188811188821193.1704142011834272.037126.9278106508875897.1748251748251740160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692366228.2103.4685314685314776261.9573964497041103.46853146853147811295.714792899408372.092329.47218934911234128.64335664335664106363.2295857988165103.46853146853147110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923127430.7443786982248697.1748251748251713325.655621301775145122.349650349650351059.41301775147929540.531468531468532093.170414201183422.769230769230773630126.9278106508875853.1188811188811244160.6852071005917116.0559440559440550194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.265.7062937062937270261.957396449704165.7062937062937280295.71479289940832.769230769230773690329.47218934911234116.05594405594405100363.229585798816565.70629370629372113396.9869822485207122.34965034965035120430.7443786982248653.1188811188811213All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Ed 9-5 1st 101.14 0.492 17.52 3rd place
1 995 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.509 17.48
2 980 2018 Ed 6-7 9th 106.23 0.506 18.23
3 978 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.509 13.61
4 978 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.515 19.33
5 975 2011 Kevin 6-7 8th 103.99 0.509 24.96
6 975 2009 Rob 8-5 3rd 99.30 0.504 14.74 4th place
7 975 2015 Schertz 9-4 2nd 101.30 0.509 27.25 2nd place
8 972 2010 Pulley 8-5 4th 96.94 0.508 21.32 5th place
9 972 2010 Derrek 7-6 5th 97.31 0.512 18.37 3rd place
10 967 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.523 17.34