2021 Ed (through 6 weeks)

2-4 (0.333), 613.26 points

9th place

2.83 expected wins (0.472)

36-42 all-play record (0.462)

+11.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 Richie
8 Schertz
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Mike R.
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.23076923076923127.3%194.373626373626486.9879663292545920.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692361.2%47.120879120879124138.8875665834236809.7%120.74725274725276121.991668379093110.0%194.373626373626432.74516342773994234.8%268.072.0321.1%341.626373626373699.3644852914232845.5%415.2527472527472130.213435880559550.5%488.8791208791208140.32720058630776Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415210th246.66923076923075208.213017751479339th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876410th481.59230769230766208.213017751479358th599.053846153846163.2426035502958568th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124129th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876311th364.1307692307692230.698224852071411th481.59230769230766230.69822485207159th599.053846153846185.727810650887665th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415210th246.66923076923075208.213017751479339th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876410th481.59230769230766208.213017751479359th599.053846153846185.72781065088766Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.308113.8153846153846119.9234160455434220.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692350.801394.841025641025685.762599842704960.61243.5589743589743698.8314417034049310.000113.815384615384698.6160628603176120.126184.07179487179485132.503596862756430.558254.32820512820513102.5702668965965140.427324.58461538461535111.6389067268909750.000394.841025641025630.2944304546405766Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692315118.48846153846152114.6035502958579920191.62948717948714141.2307692307692330264.7705128205128141.2307692307692340337.9115384615384141.23076923076923510411.0525641025641387.976331360946746945.34743589743588693.3017751479289910118.4884615384615287.9763313609467423191.62948717948714125.2544378698224837264.7705128205128103.9526627218934942337.9115384615384130.5798816568047350411.0525641025641334.721893491124256All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 2-4 9th 102.21 0.472 14.29 6-8 8th
1 973 2014 Schertz 5-1 3rd 97.13 0.470 14.93 5-8 13th
2 971 2020 Rabbit 2-4 12th 104.44 0.471 22.60 6-7 10th
3 968 2020 Derrek 3-3 9th 100.58 0.465 20.02 8-5 5th 5th place
4 966 2018 Rabbit 3-3 8th 105.78 0.476 20.64 7-6 7th
5 965 2024 Kevin 1-5 13th 98.31 0.469 20.96 5-9 11th
6 960 2020 Richie 4-2 3rd 100.67 0.482 21.75 7-6 7th
7 960 2012 Babel 2-4 10th 96.59 0.465 15.77 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 959 2011 Derrek 4-2 3rd 102.64 0.484 22.53 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 951 2023 Pat 3-3 8th 96.82 0.467 22.79 5-9 11th
10 949 2011 Matt 3-3 9th 102.09 0.497 14.93 7-6 6th 2nd place