2011 Derrek (through 6 weeks)

4-2 (0.667), 615.85 points (102.64 average)

3rd place

2.89 expected wins (0.482)

35-31 all-play record (0.530)

+0.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 Matt
8 Pulley
9 Mike R.
10 Kevin
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.23076923076923323.5%341.626373626373697.4358388814419240.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.6%47.120879120879124140.0602792022196507.5%120.74725274725276127.2826758865544125.8%194.373626373626493.2746261331002237.2%268.072.030.0%341.626373626373653.6409085321146245.4%415.2527472527472131.2443333835140650.0%488.8791208791208141.230769230769236Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th129.2076923076923245.00699300699328th246.66923076923075191.8601398601399310th364.1307692307692245.00699300699348th481.59230769230766191.8601398601399510th599.053846153846245.006993006993612th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th129.2076923076923191.860139860139925th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601637th364.1307692307692165.286713286713347th481.59230769230766165.286713286713353rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015612th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th129.2076923076923218.4335664335664527th246.66923076923075165.286713286713338th364.1307692307692191.860139860139948th481.59230769230766191.860139860139959th599.053846153846218.433566433566456Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436137.8821016295068210.880113.815384615384678.4245257113831720.639184.0717948717948594.7191511733645230.000254.32820512820513137.8821016295068240.591324.5846153846153597.9321005195584750.434394.8410256410256108.588136308094596-0.02543.55897435897436139.5564354301380410.000113.815384615384618.96694979325951620.000184.0717948717948551.55620071722222530.372254.32820512820513112.7392140296777740.000324.5846153846153557.9820994096101450.000394.841025641025679.294170986682376Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456045.347435897435886141.23076923076923110118.4884615384615278.293706293706328191.6294871794871490.8811188811188830264.7705128205128141.2307692307692349337.911538461538484.5874125874125955411.05256410256413109.762237762237766045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.4884615384615215.3566433566433620191.6294871794871440.5314685314685333264.7705128205128122.3496503496503540337.911538461538427.94405594405594750411.0525641025641378.293706293706316All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 4-2 3rd 102.64 0.482 22.53 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 985 2020 Richie 4-2 3rd 100.67 0.485 21.75 7-6 7th
2 978 2011 Kevin 3-3 7th 107.04 0.483 23.46 6-7 8th
3 974 2024 Richie 3-3 7th 102.43 0.490 27.43 8-6 5th 5th place
4 973 2020 Rabbit 2-4 12th 104.44 0.472 22.60 6-7 10th
5 967 2018 Rabbit 3-3 8th 105.78 0.474 20.64 7-6 7th
6 959 2021 Ed 2-4 9th 102.21 0.471 14.29 6-8 8th
7 958 2023 Pat 3-3 8th 96.82 0.473 22.79 5-9 11th
8 955 2013 Rob 3-3 8th 101.99 0.470 32.28 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 953 2011 Matt 3-3 9th 102.09 0.497 14.93 7-6 6th 2nd place
10 949 2018 Scott 3-3 7th 106.90 0.495 18.19 6-7 8th