2009 Allen

6-7 (0.462), 1,272.53 points

7th place

6.29 expected wins (0.484)

66-77 all-play record (0.462)

+6.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 101.19 82.27 Mike R. 18.92
2 L 96.95 113.43 Derrek -16.48
3 W 107.45 98.81 Babel 8.64
4 L 101.62 118.20 Rob -16.58
5 L 65.14 78.27 Ed -13.13 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 82.35 85.04 Pulley -2.69 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 109.55 133.67 Matt -24.12
8 W 111.64 108.57 Rabbit 3.07
9 L 89.74 94.23 Kevin -4.49
10 W 128.82 110.58 Dave 18.24
11 W 115.22 105.32 Pat 9.90
12 W 90.16 66.63 Mike R. 23.53
13 L 72.70 123.66 Derrek -50.96

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923524.7%249.593406593406671.9999999999999960.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2230635945628600.1%65.52747252747253141.0566776366525210.6%102.34065934065934139.6375819901518622.9%139.15384615384613133.2265886181792238.9%175.96703296703296116.36442172469111418.1%212.780219780219890.6457879343788950.0%249.59340659340662.769230769230745622.9%286.406593406593476.98313807468345714.3%323.2197802197802101.1210394738590785.9%360.032967032967124.7968890791118991.5%396.8461538461538137.01597510931106100.2%433.6593406593406140.60897009759765110.0%470.4725274725274141.18566465682423120.0%507.2857142857143141.2296215359830913Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th60.68846153846153165.286713286713322nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804336th158.5730769230769138.7132867132867548th207.5153846153846191.860139860139959th256.4576923076923218.4335664335664569th305.4218.4335664335664576th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867587th403.28461538461534165.286713286713396th452.226923076923138.71328671328675105th501.16923076923075112.13986013986016114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357129th599.053846153846218.43356643356645136th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th60.68846153846153165.286713286713322nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804338th158.5730769230769191.8601398601399410th207.5153846153846245.006993006993511th256.4576923076923271.5804195804196611th305.4271.580419580419679th354.3423076923077218.43356643356645810th403.28461538461534245.006993006993910th452.226923076923245.006993006993107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133115th550.1115384615384112.13986013986016127th599.053846153846165.2867132867133136th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th60.68846153846153165.286713286713322nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804336th158.5730769230769138.7132867132867548th207.5153846153846191.860139860139959th256.4576923076923218.4335664335664569th305.4218.4335664335664577th354.3423076923077165.286713286713388th403.28461538461534191.860139860139997th452.226923076923165.2867132867133106th501.16923076923075138.71328671328675116th550.1115384615384138.71328671328675129th599.053846153846218.4335664335664513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Peyton Manning K QB
2.05 17 Terrell Owens WR
3.08 32 Roy Williams WR
4.05 41 Jonathan Stewart RB
5.08 56 Owen Daniels TE
6.05 65 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.08 80 LenDale White RB
8.05 89 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
9.08 104 DeAngelo Williams K RB
10.05 113 Bobby Engram WR
11.08 128 New York DEF
12.05 137 Jason Campbell QB
13.08 152 Robbie Gould K
14.05 161 Nate Washington WR
15.08 176 Isaac Bruce WR
16.05 185 Bo Scaife TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.53024.64378698224852104.5385023330626710.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.64789.4958579881656896.4244561691149930.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.710251.6260355029585392.094692039613580.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.892316.478106508875779.4690543811459100.766348.904142011834388.1967679020308110.345381.33017751479287117.33460314623505120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485267.8462354353560910.45957.069822485207105109.4705696091877220.00089.4958579881656851.6181431074607730.538121.92189349112428104.00438444832140.049154.34792899408282137.8356385520636450.228186.7739644970414125.4259208895554160.679219.294.1970709476391670.000251.6260355029585342.9586148484577780.338284.0520710059171117.8118999794084490.000316.478106508875717.707339531522578100.000348.904142011834335.16276657329237110.000381.3301775147928793.43843706170087120.112413.75621301775146133.4490533709938813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213625.655621301775145103.468531468531471059.413017751479295141.230769230769232993.1704142011834284.5874125874125930126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692379261.957396449704184.5874125874125980295.7147928994083141.23076923076923910329.4721893491123478.2937062937063108363.229585798816590.88111888111888111396.9869822485207134.93706293706293120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514565.706293706293721559.413017751479295109.762237762237762093.1704142011834227.94405594405594736126.92781065088758103.4685314685314740160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692368228.290.8811188811188870261.957396449704127.94405594405594783295.7147928994083122.3496503496503590329.4721893491123415.35664335664336100363.229585798816540.53146853146853110396.9869822485207128.64335664335664121430.74437869822486134.9370629370629313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Allen 6-7 7th 97.89 0.484 17.04
1 991 2014 Mike R. 6-7 7th 97.38 0.484 20.41
2 988 2014 Ed 6-7 8th 96.93 0.488 16.33
3 987 2022 Matt 6-8 11th 98.05 0.482 21.17
4 983 2021 Pat 3-11 12th 98.77 0.478 16.52
5 980 2022 Kevin 6-8 12th 96.86 0.487 21.91
6 977 2019 Babel 8-5 5th 100.69 0.490 16.71 5th place
7 976 2015 Rabbit 5-8 11th 95.43 0.488 19.68
8 975 2024 Ed 6-8 9th 100.26 0.490 14.70
9 972 2017 Pat 6-7 7th 94.37 0.490 18.66
10 971 2018 Rob 8-5 5th 102.91 0.484 20.94 5th place