2011 Allen (through 6 weeks)

4-2 (0.667), 644.97 points

1st place

3.44 expected wins (0.573)

41-25 all-play record (0.621)

-56.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.32 62.28 Derrek 58.04
2 W 114.87 70.57 Matt 44.30
3 L 72.00 93.59 Pat -21.59 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 122.44 76.34 Pulley 46.10
5 W 106.18 84.89 Rob 21.29
6 L 109.16 113.43 Mike R. -4.27
7 Babel
8 Kevin
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.23076923076923334.5%341.626373626373672.040.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.3%47.120879120879124140.6973465835578703.2%120.74725274725276134.88619966263536114.5%194.3736263736264112.08636851212196232.2%268.076.6841006413406830.0%341.62637362637362.7692307692307736414.8%415.2527472527472111.5958363183155350.6%488.8791208791208140.120810603169456Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804327th246.66923076923075165.286713286713334th364.130769230769285.5664335664335744th481.5923076923076685.5664335664335753rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701562nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804312nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804326th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867533rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701541st481.592307692307665.84615384615386851st599.0538461538465.84615384615386862nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804313rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701528th246.66923076923075191.860139860139935th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601646th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867554th599.05384615384685.566433566433576Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Drew Brees QB
2.04 16 Steven Jackson RB
3.09 33 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Jonathan Stewart RB
6.04 64 Pierre Thomas RB
7.09 81 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
8.04 88 Santonio Holmes K WR
9.09 105 Willis McGahee RB
10.04 112 New York DEF
11.09 129 Robert Meachem WR
12.04 136 Matt Cassel QB
13.09 153 Chris Cooley TE
14.04 160 Marshawn Lynch K RB
15.09 177 Robbie Gould K
16.04 184 Montario Hardesty RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.76343.5589743589743688.4378567099348310.695113.815384615384693.1426397797868620.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.781254.3282051282051387.1423367341784940.556324.58461538461535102.7340332845093150.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.00043.5589743589743635.6449441891004610.000113.815384615384645.0545103288044820.040184.07179487179485138.4858389312591430.000254.3282051282051333.0539042375877640.000324.5846153846153564.2372973382493950.607394.841025641025699.233856507904436Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234561045.34743589743588678.293706293706316118.48846153846152103.4685314685314720191.62948717948714141.23076923076923310264.770512820512878.293706293706347337.911538461538497.1748251748251750411.05256410256413141.230769230769236045.34743589743588615.3566433566433610118.4884615384615265.7062937062937220191.62948717948714141.2307692307692330264.770512820512815.3566433566433640337.911538461538453.1188811188811258411.0525641025641390.881118881118886All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Allen 4-2 1st 107.50 0.573 16.87 7-6 5th 5th place
1 987 2021 Mike R. 1-5 11th 109.51 0.574 14.77 4-10 11th
2 983 2020 Schertz 3-3 6th 108.89 0.568 16.24 6-7 9th
3 981 2018 Pulley 4-2 5th 110.95 0.574 14.36 9-4 3rd 6th place
4 971 2009 Derrek 3-3 6th 102.40 0.574 13.10 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 969 2012 Ed 4-2 4th 108.52 0.572 28.90 8-5 4th 4th place
6 967 2014 Rabbit 5-1 2nd 104.99 0.584 17.49 10-3 1st 2nd place
7 960 2011 Mike R. 3-3 6th 109.54 0.559 18.65 6-7 9th
8 960 2022 Dave 2-4 11th 102.25 0.579 20.57 8-6 3rd 3rd place
9 958 2019 Derrek 3-3 5th 106.75 0.586 9.67 7-6 6th 3rd place
10 953 2019 Pat 3-3 6th 106.08 0.555 14.60 6-7 9th