2009 Derrek (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 614.38 points (102.40 average)

6th place

3.48 expected wins (0.579)

37-29 all-play record (0.561)

-7.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 Pat
8 Mike R.
9 Pulley
10 Babel
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923232.3%268.074.1599336610858430.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.2%47.120879120879124140.797703889649702.9%120.74725274725276135.1589545473999114.5%194.3736263736264111.0899001093922720.0%268.07.089098091402462333.4%341.626373626373672.0414.8%415.2527472527472110.5921128198077251.9%488.8791208791208137.245150412126126Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804328th246.66923076923075191.860139860139933rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701542nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804353rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701568th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701529th246.66923076923075218.4335664335664535th364.1307692307692112.1398601398601643rd481.5923076923076658.99300699300701556th599.053846153846138.7132867132867568th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd129.207692307692332.4195804195804328th246.66923076923075191.860139860139933rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701542nd481.5923076923076632.4195804195804354th599.05384615384685.566433566433576Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.777113.815384615384687.4675484784108620.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.861254.3282051282051381.6151859806887940.691324.5846153846153593.3793717246737250.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.50343.55897435897436106.3804785136464710.000113.815384615384633.704327726052520.176184.07179487179485129.0132994069614730.000254.3282051282051321.9996027306083640.000324.5846153846153545.5279742185782150.468394.8410256410256108.856846313345976Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456045.347435897435886141.23076923076923110118.4884615384615278.293706293706320191.62948717948714141.23076923076923311264.770512820512872.049337.911538461538484.5874125874125950411.05256410256413141.230769230769236445.347435897435886116.0559440559440510118.4884615384615215.3566433566433621191.62948717948714134.9370629370629330264.77051282051282.769230769230773640337.911538461538427.94405594405594752411.05256410256413128.643356643356646All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 3-3 6th 102.40 0.579 13.10 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 974 2019 Derrek 3-3 5th 106.75 0.579 9.67 7-6 6th 3rd place
2 973 2014 Rabbit 5-1 2nd 104.99 0.584 17.49 10-3 1st 2nd place
3 970 2022 Dave 2-4 11th 102.25 0.572 20.57 8-6 3rd 3rd place
4 969 2024 Scott 3-3 8th 101.69 0.582 23.99 5-9 12th
5 966 2011 Allen 4-2 1st 107.50 0.582 16.87 7-6 5th 5th place
6 961 2009 Mike R. 2-4 10th 101.30 0.563 12.67 5-8 10th
7 957 2021 Mike R. 1-5 11th 109.51 0.574 14.77 4-10 11th
8 947 2015 Mike R. 4-2 3rd 101.08 0.558 15.14 8-5 4th 6th place
9 946 2020 Schertz 3-3 6th 108.89 0.568 16.24 6-7 9th
10 945 2009 Babel 2-4 9th 101.47 0.562 4.63 5-8 9th