2012 Allen (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 895.68 points

9th place

4.40 expected wins (0.489)

51-66 all-play record (0.436)

+2.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.76 87.05 Ed -5.29
2 W 147.72 108.53 Pat 39.19 Team Blangums
3 L 86.43 100.96 Pulley -14.53
4 W 131.94 101.92 Rob 30.02
5 L 90.10 101.09 Rabbit -10.99
6 W 89.04 81.48 Kevin 7.56
7 L 80.58 95.14 Matt -14.56
8 L 106.44 119.41 Mike R. -12.97
9 L 81.67 87.43 Babel -5.76
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Richie
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923218.8%190.692307692307799.3098510461169930.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.2%87.61538461538464140.736454235524914.8%139.15384615384616130.6223115954589420.0%190.692307692307757.38893286146474331.0%242.2307692307692572.0427.1%293.769230769230880.8439500435712513.6%345.3076923076923110.9979169729309763.9%396.8461538461538132.4840440747610470.6%448.3846153846154139.8695022671079580.0%499.9230769230769141.142481990918849Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289924th158.573076923076973.3017751479289934th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289945th305.495.786982248520756th378.8134615384615118.2721893491124166th452.226923076923118.2721893491124177th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041587th599.053846153846140.75739644970415913th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289928th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958535th231.9865384615384695.786982248520747th305.4140.7573964497041556th378.8134615384615118.2721893491124166th452.226923076923118.2721893491124177th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041589th599.053846153846185.7278106508876913th11.746153846153845275.668639053254411st85.159615384615365.84615384615381124th158.573076923076973.3017751479289934th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289945th305.495.786982248520755th378.813461538461595.786982248520765th452.22692307692395.786982248520775th525.640384615384595.786982248520785th599.05384615384695.78698224852079Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees K QB
2.05 19 Wes Welker WR
3.10 38 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.05 47 Willis McGahee RB
5.10 66 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.05 75 Santonio Holmes WR
7.10 94 Green Bay DEF
8.05 103 Felix Jones RB
9.10 122 Brent Celek TE
10.05 131 LeGarrette Blount RB
11.10 150 Jake Locker QB
12.05 159 Marshawn Lynch K RB
13.10 178 David Akers K
14.05 187 Jerome Simpson WR
15.10 206 Mike Tolbert RB
16.05 215 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692311.00178.6871794871794872.0000000000000120.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.944172.3623931623931875.9282246309668140.000219.2141.2307692307692350.362266.03760683760686116.1982037235657760.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.25031.84957264957265123.9184139809571810.00078.687179487179482.76923076923080220.324125.5247863247863118.8435110617601830.000172.3623931623931810.62568003116439340.377219.2115.1537046887422450.000266.0376068376068691.1656382163623260.233312.8752136752136125.1445650218369870.659359.712820512820595.6488205384504480.247406.5504273504273124.122772487770489Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.2307692307692311381.917948717948772.020130.67863247863247141.23076923076923311179.439316239316282.650887573964540228.2141.2307692307692353276.96068376068376125.2544378698224860325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239133.15726495726496135.905325443786981081.91794871794872.769230769230773627130.67863247863247103.9526627218934930179.439316239316224.07100591715975242228.2130.5798816568047350276.96068376068376109.2781065088757464325.7213675213675119.9289940828402378374.482051282051298.6272189349112482423.242735042735130.579881656804739All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Allen 3-6 9th 99.52 0.489 23.06 6-7 8th
1 995 2015 Babel 4-5 9th 99.55 0.487 24.29 5-8 10th
2 987 2010 Matt 3-6 9th 97.66 0.488 25.08 5-8 9th
3 984 2015 Schertz 6-3 4th 100.79 0.491 26.00 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 981 2024 Pat 5-4 6th 102.08 0.492 22.08 6-8 10th
5 978 2019 Mike R. 6-3 4th 101.43 0.483 24.45 8-5 4th 4th place
6 973 2020 Babel 6-3 5th 99.23 0.484 14.56 8-5 3rd 3rd place
7 967 2015 Rabbit 4-5 10th 97.62 0.495 16.50 5-8 11th
8 967 2020 Rabbit 4-5 9th 101.38 0.476 23.48 6-7 10th
9 967 2011 Kevin 4-5 8th 103.36 0.493 27.68 6-7 8th
10 967 2023 Pat 4-5 9th 98.92 0.501 19.48 5-9 11th