2024 Pat (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 918.74 points

6th place

4.43 expected wins (0.492)

55-62 all-play record (0.470)

-20.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923428.5%293.769230769230877.7369865077646450.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.1981400403736300.5%87.61538461538464140.184179203080714.4%139.15384615384616131.31321342254915217.1%190.6923076923077103.08989052574255331.0%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.769230769230814.243203784760055514.1%345.3076923076923109.8030229519693363.8%396.8461538461538132.727195622116370.5%448.3846153846154140.0495864415504780.0%499.9230769230769141.165014393392549Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th85.15961538461536230.69822485207128th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958536th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124149th305.4185.727810650887655th378.813461538461595.786982248520764th452.22692307692373.3017751479289975th525.640384615384595.786982248520789th599.053846153846185.727810650887695th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289925th158.573076923076995.786982248520733rd231.9865384615384650.81656804733728447th305.4140.7573964497041554th378.813461538461573.3017751479289962nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557673rd525.640384615384550.81656804733728486th599.053846153846118.2721893491124197th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th85.15961538461536230.69822485207127th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041534th231.9865384615384673.3017751479289948th305.4163.2426035502958554th378.813461538461573.3017751479289964th452.22692307692373.3017751479289975th525.640384615384595.786982248520787th599.053846153846140.757396449704159Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.33231.84957264957265118.2738017071569310.21978.68717948717948126.0355573513813920.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.647172.3623931623931896.454517904944740.000219.2141.2307692307692350.950266.0376068376068675.4534572453154260.725312.875213675213691.0678822162735570.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.00031.8495726495726595.3168341835446310.00078.68717948717948110.8403454719935420.873125.524786324786380.7946360927319630.000172.3623931623931851.6782665791201640.195219.2127.7288246881155750.000266.037606837606869.67614525986161360.000312.875213675213640.90499520177786570.323359.7128205128205118.8761048537804980.165406.5504273504273129.774382544572979Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789733.15726495726496103.952662721893491281.9179487179487130.5798816568047320130.67863247863247141.2307692307692339179.439316239316293.3017751479289940228.2141.23076923076923513276.9606837606837672.0610325.721367521367587.9763313609467470374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649666.674556213017751081.9179487179487119.92899408284023212130.6786324786324777.3254437869822530179.439316239316245.37278106508874541228.2135.9053254437869850276.960683760683762.769230769230773660325.721367521367534.7218934911242571374.4820512820512135.9053254437869880423.242735042735141.230769230769239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 5-4 6th 102.08 0.492 22.08 6-8 10th
1 985 2015 Schertz 6-3 4th 100.79 0.491 26.00 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 982 2011 Kevin 4-5 8th 103.36 0.493 27.68 6-7 8th
3 981 2012 Allen 3-6 9th 99.52 0.489 23.06 6-7 8th
4 976 2015 Babel 4-5 9th 99.55 0.487 24.29 5-8 10th
5 974 2019 Mike R. 6-3 4th 101.43 0.483 24.45 8-5 4th 4th place
6 974 2024 Ed 4-5 9th 101.03 0.497 16.39 6-8 9th
7 969 2023 Dave 5-4 8th 101.56 0.506 21.85 6-8 10th
8 967 2010 Matt 3-6 9th 97.66 0.488 25.08 5-8 9th
9 966 2015 Rabbit 4-5 10th 97.62 0.495 16.50 5-8 11th
10 965 2023 Pat 4-5 9th 98.92 0.501 19.48 5-9 11th