2013 Allen (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 831.03 points (83.10 average)

13th place

3.18 expected wins (0.318)

44-86 all-play record (0.338)

+13.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 L 64.72 111.92 Schertz -47.20
10 L 59.46 101.71 Rob -42.25 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.2307692307692320.0%239.3286713286713141.23076923076923323.7%303.664335664335785.4029267510308640.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923101.3%46.32167832167832138.0722469867202208.4%110.65734265734265121.4977266580943121.4%174.99300699300790.72830615681065229.4%239.328671328671372.030.0%303.664335664335729.575084271292482411.6%367.99999999999994113.8809997434061653.4%432.33566433566426133.126635638348860.6%496.67132867132864139.8301906667883870.1%561.006993006993141.0990360256192380.0%625.3426573426574141.224618543378190.0%689.6783216783215141.2306585008384710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958526th142.2589743589743118.27218934911241310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.15384615384613107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th77.002564102564173.3017751479289925th142.258974358974395.786982248520739th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.1834319526627279th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.6686390532544109th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958527th142.2589743589743140.75739644970415312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.1538461538461310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.64442.96923076923077696.6123501165213610.581104.35384615384616101.0378248166401220.000165.73846153846156141.2307692307692330.000227.12307692307695141.2307692307692340.000288.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000349.89230769230767141.2307692307692360.344411.276923076923117.4259153156828170.256472.6615384615384123.5040587752503680.000534.0461538461539141.2307692307692390.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.00042.96923076923077651.993931002273510.000104.3538461538461660.8448804025110120.475165.73846153846156108.3653902105109530.067227.12307692307695136.5947800483453440.266288.5076923076923122.849762720419450.413349.89230769230767112.6444595281171560.000411.27692307692393.621061400596470.000472.6615384615384105.7773483197314980.082534.0461538461539135.5406932954314890.050595.4307692307691137.780263631990710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910544.18076923076923114.6035502958579917107.29615384615383103.9526627218934920170.41153846153844141.2307692307692330233.52692307692305141.2307692307692340296.6423076923077141.2307692307692350359.7576923076923141.2307692307692366422.8730769230769109.2781065088757476485.9884615384615109.2781065088757480549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692387.9763313609467410107.2961538461538366.6745562130177528170.4115384615384498.6272189349112430233.52692307692305141.2307692307692344296.6423076923077119.9289940828402357359.7576923076923103.9526627218934960422.873076923076977.3254437869822570485.988461538461577.3254437869822581549.1038461538462135.9053254437869890612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-6 13th 83.10 0.318 15.80 4-9 14th
1 988 2022 Babel 3-7 14th 84.93 0.317 14.62 3-11 14th
2 977 2024 Derrek 3-7 14th 85.92 0.316 19.78 4-10 14th
3 976 2021 Rob 2-8 12th 85.67 0.312 16.95 2-12 14th
4 976 2022 Pat 4-6 13th 86.12 0.323 14.75 8-6 6th 6th place
5 974 2012 Kevin 3-7 11th 81.82 0.323 20.95 5-8 10th
6 970 2010 Pat 3-7 11th 79.69 0.313 19.70 3-10 12th
7 968 2015 Kevin 2-8 14th 81.70 0.304 15.79 3-10 14th
8 966 2024 Pulley 3-7 13th 86.04 0.307 16.09 4-10 13th
9 965 2012 Richie 1-9 14th 84.74 0.331 14.57 1-12 14th
10 963 2011 Pat 3-7 12th 83.43 0.309 24.74 5-8 11th