2013 Allen (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 831.03 points

13th place

3.15 expected wins (0.315)

44-86 all-play record (0.338)

+14.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 L 64.72 111.92 Schertz -47.20
10 L 59.46 101.71 Rob -42.25 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923323.5%221.1468531468531586.279120968042740.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923101.4%33.73426573426574138.0165924012048308.6%80.5874125874126121.18195498809065121.8%127.4405594405594490.19598129363469229.6%174.2937062937062672.030.0%221.1468531468531531.327472705316183411.3%268.0114.8389216400306353.3%314.8531468531468133.5679047837108260.6%361.7062937062937139.9251847430183570.1%408.5594405594406141.1078302519999980.0%455.41258741258747141.2249282466337490.0%502.2657342657343141.2306605484166710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958526th142.2589743589743118.27218934911241310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.15384615384613107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th77.002564102564173.3017751479289925th142.258974358974395.786982248520739th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876411th272.77179487179484230.698224852071512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.1834319526627279th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.6686390532544109th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th77.0025641025641163.2426035502958527th142.2589743589743140.75739644970415312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.1538461538461310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.64429.50769230769230696.6515697040976110.58871.66153846153847100.5154012107393620.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.334282.4307692307692118.0958345659593270.238324.58461538461535124.755261809759580.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230652.07237017742599510.00071.6615384615384759.80003319070948520.485113.8153846153846107.6748537083402530.067155.96923076923073136.5854047462714540.248198.12307692307692124.0961376115676850.410240.27692307692305112.8342051907383460.000282.430769230769294.9608999011494270.000324.58461538461535108.2797543887497880.084366.73846153846154135.4489837149062390.056408.89230769230767137.358171047599810Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910530.719230769230762114.603550295857991774.60384615384615103.9526627218934920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692366294.026923076923109.2781065088757476337.9115384615384109.2781065088757480381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076287.976331360946741074.6038461538461566.6745562130177528118.4884615384615498.6272189349112430162.3730769230769141.2307692307692344206.2576923076923119.9289940828402357250.14230769230767103.9526627218934960294.02692307692377.3254437869822570337.911538461538477.3254437869822581381.79615384615386135.9053254437869890425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-6 13th 83.10 0.315 15.80 4-9 14th
1 988 2022 Babel 3-7 14th 84.93 0.317 14.62 3-11 14th
2 981 2021 Rob 2-8 12th 85.67 0.312 16.95 2-12 14th
3 976 2024 Derrek 3-7 14th 85.92 0.313 19.78 4-10 14th
4 975 2010 Pat 3-7 11th 79.69 0.317 19.70 3-10 12th
5 974 2012 Richie 1-9 14th 84.74 0.324 14.57 1-12 14th
6 973 2011 Pat 3-7 12th 83.43 0.311 24.74 5-8 11th
7 972 2012 Kevin 3-7 11th 81.82 0.322 20.95 5-8 10th
8 971 2024 Pulley 3-7 13th 86.04 0.307 16.09 4-10 13th
9 965 2022 Pat 4-6 13th 86.12 0.325 14.75 8-6 6th 6th place
10 962 2009 Pulley 2-8 12th 82.75 0.297 15.82 4-9 12th