2011 Pat (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 834.32 points (83.43 average)

12th place

3.09 expected wins (0.309)

28-82 all-play record (0.255)

+15.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923232.4%174.2937062937062672.030.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.8%33.73426573426574139.5392668345232306.9%80.5874125874126126.39729374400636121.6%127.4405594405594495.1749144368736520.0%174.293706293706262.7692307692307736325.7%221.1468531468531586.37732897431722410.5%268.0118.7472334441982651.9%314.8531468531468137.0709105407647460.1%361.7062937062937141.0198368798966770.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335725th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601637th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196611th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196711th468.5410256410256271.5804195804196812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.15384615384613103rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335723rd142.258974358974358.99300699300701536th207.5153846153846138.71328671328675410th272.77179487179484245.006993006993511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196612th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.15384615384613103rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335725th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601637th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196612th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.1538461538461310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.80929.50769230769230683.129548436293910.00071.66153846153847137.709830900135120.355113.8153846153846113.7608576275707730.000155.96923076923073137.709830900135140.000198.12307692307692137.709830900135150.000240.27692307692305137.709830900135160.000282.4307692307692137.709830900135170.315324.58461538461535116.4798340076764380.000366.73846153846154137.709830900135190.000408.89230769230767137.7098309001351100.00029.50769230769230628.549265972452710.56671.6615384615384799.5450166279324820.000113.815384615384689.8118843550064630.519155.96923076923073102.665659381553284-0.023198.12307692307692139.2564575469047350.072240.27692307692305132.84099105966126-0.026282.4307692307692139.4703000654521670.000324.5846153846153595.2498371152177780.516366.73846153846154102.91478938713059-0.013408.89230769230767138.560479992830310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910930.71923076923076284.587412587412591074.60384615384615141.2307692307692323118.48846153846154122.3496503496503530162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692374337.9115384615384116.0559440559440580381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076227.9440559440559471374.60384615384615122.3496503496503520118.48846153846154103.4685314685314734162.3730769230769116.0559440559440540206.2576923076923141.2307692307692351250.14230769230767134.9370629370629360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.911538461538490.881118881118984381.79615384615386116.0559440559440590425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-7 12th 83.43 0.309 24.74 5-8 11th
1 970 2021 Rob 2-8 12th 85.67 0.312 16.95 2-12 14th
2 969 2024 Derrek 3-7 14th 85.92 0.314 19.78 4-10 14th
3 967 2010 Pat 3-7 11th 79.69 0.313 19.70 3-10 12th
4 966 2015 Kevin 2-8 14th 81.70 0.304 15.79 3-10 14th
5 963 2013 Allen 4-6 13th 83.10 0.318 15.80 4-9 14th
6 963 2024 Pulley 3-7 13th 86.04 0.305 16.09 4-10 13th
7 959 2022 Babel 3-7 14th 84.93 0.316 14.62 3-11 14th
8 958 2012 Kevin 3-7 11th 81.82 0.323 20.95 5-8 10th
9 943 2022 Pat 4-6 13th 86.12 0.322 14.75 8-6 6th 6th place
10 938 2013 Derrek 5-5 9th 84.67 0.334 21.24 7-6 7th