2011 Pat (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 834.32 points (83.43 average)

12th place

3.09 expected wins (0.309)

28-82 all-play record (0.255)

+15.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.23076923076923232.4%239.328671328671372.030.0%303.6643356643357141.2307692307692340.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.8%46.32167832167832139.5392630053759706.9%110.65734265734265126.3972924486965121.6%174.99300699300795.1749321622041320.0%239.32867132867132.7692307692307736325.7%303.664335664335786.37727084812629410.5%367.99999999999994118.7471699097826751.9%432.33566433566426137.0708876210147560.1%496.67132867132864141.0198345474549370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335725th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601637th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196611th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196711th468.5410256410256271.5804195804196812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.15384615384613103rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335723rd142.258974358974358.99300699300701536th207.5153846153846138.71328671328675410th272.77179487179484245.006993006993511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196612th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.15384615384613103rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335725th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601637th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196612th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.1538461538461310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice Kx2 RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.80942.96923076923077683.1296166782696610.000104.35384615384616137.7098513673401520.355165.73846153846156113.7608004828031230.000227.12307692307695137.7098513673401540.000288.5076923076923137.7098513673401550.000349.89230769230767137.7098513673401560.000411.276923076923137.7098513673401570.315472.6615384615384116.4798215477858980.000534.0461538461539137.7098513673401590.000595.4307692307691137.70985136734015100.00042.96923076923077628.54938198919916210.566104.3538461538461699.5450466869540420.000165.7384615384615689.8117495982660930.519227.12307692307695102.665671989324244-0.023288.5076923076923139.2564731392045350.072349.89230769230767132.840976491628456-0.026411.276923076923139.470310299054770.000472.661538461538495.2497917282316380.516534.0461538461539102.914795751932159-0.013595.4307692307691138.5605130256889210Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910944.1807692307692384.5874125874125910107.29615384615383141.2307692307692323170.41153846153844122.3496503496503530233.52692307692305141.2307692307692340296.6423076923077141.2307692307692350359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692374485.9884615384615116.0559440559440580549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692327.94405594405594713107.29615384615383122.3496503496503520170.41153846153844103.4685314685314734233.52692307692305116.0559440559440540296.6423076923077141.2307692307692351359.7576923076923134.9370629370629360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.988461538461590.881118881118984549.1038461538462116.0559440559440590612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-7 12th 83.43 0.309 24.74 5-8 11th
1 975 2025 Babel 3-7 13th 87.34 0.307 22.00 4-10 12th
2 970 2024 Pulley 3-7 13th 86.04 0.308 16.09 4-10 13th
3 969 2021 Rob 2-8 12th 85.67 0.312 16.95 2-12 14th
4 967 2024 Derrek 3-7 14th 85.92 0.316 19.78 4-10 14th
5 967 2010 Pat 3-7 11th 79.69 0.313 19.70 3-10 12th
6 966 2015 Kevin 2-8 14th 81.70 0.304 15.79 3-10 14th
7 963 2013 Allen 4-6 13th 83.10 0.318 15.80 4-9 14th
8 958 2012 Kevin 3-7 11th 81.82 0.323 20.95 5-8 10th
9 958 2022 Babel 3-7 14th 84.93 0.317 14.62 3-11 14th
10 941 2022 Pat 4-6 13th 86.12 0.323 14.75 8-6 6th 6th place