2011 Pat (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 834.32 points (83.43 average)

12th place

3.09 expected wins (0.309)

28-82 all-play record (0.255)

+15.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 L 102.28 107.15 Pulley -4.87
10 L 52.13 112.20 Mike R. -60.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.23076923076923232.4%239.328671328671372.030.0%303.6643356643357141.2307692307692340.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.8%46.32167832167832139.5392659061064406.9%110.65734265734265126.39729946383191121.6%174.99300699300795.1749356983830820.0%239.32867132867132.7692307692307736325.7%303.664335664335786.37727613077942410.5%367.99999999999994118.7471779903071851.9%432.33566433566426137.0708917724786360.1%496.67132867132864141.0198352978787970.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335725th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601637th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196611th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196711th468.5410256410256271.5804195804196812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.15384615384613103rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335723rd142.258974358974358.99300699300701536th207.5153846153846138.71328671328675410th272.77179487179484245.006993006993511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196612th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.15384615384613103rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335725th142.2589743589743112.1398601398601637th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133411th272.77179487179484271.5804195804196511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196612th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613712th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613812th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613912th599.053846153846298.1538461538461310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.80942.96923076923077683.1295867897954710.000104.35384615384616137.709852329316520.355165.73846153846156113.7608036145201130.000227.12307692307695137.709852329316540.000288.5076923076923137.709852329316550.000349.89230769230767137.709852329316560.000411.276923076923137.709852329316570.315472.6615384615384116.4798144666023680.000534.0461538461539137.709852329316590.000595.4307692307691137.7098523293165100.00042.96923076923077628.54932125027444610.566104.3538461538461699.5450518978068720.000165.7384615384615689.8117548997237130.519227.12307692307695102.66567928468714-0.023288.5076923076923139.256471693295250.072349.89230769230767132.84099534216226-0.026411.276923076923139.4703107800428770.000472.661538461538495.2497766038882280.516534.0461538461539102.914805292161879-0.013595.4307692307691138.5605053084476610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910944.1807692307692384.5874125874125910107.29615384615383141.2307692307692323170.41153846153844122.3496503496503530233.52692307692305141.2307692307692340296.6423076923077141.2307692307692350359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692374485.9884615384615116.0559440559440580549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692327.94405594405594713107.29615384615383122.3496503496503520170.41153846153844103.4685314685314734233.52692307692305116.0559440559440540296.6423076923077141.2307692307692351359.7576923076923134.9370629370629360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.988461538461590.881118881118984549.1038461538462116.0559440559440590612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-7 12th 83.43 0.309 24.74 5-8 11th
1 969 2021 Rob 2-8 12th 85.67 0.312 16.95 2-12 14th
2 968 2024 Pulley 3-7 13th 86.04 0.307 16.09 4-10 13th
3 967 2010 Pat 3-7 11th 79.69 0.313 19.70 3-10 12th
4 966 2024 Derrek 3-7 14th 85.92 0.316 19.78 4-10 14th
5 966 2015 Kevin 2-8 14th 81.70 0.304 15.79 3-10 14th
6 963 2013 Allen 4-6 13th 83.10 0.318 15.80 4-9 14th
7 959 2022 Babel 3-7 14th 84.93 0.317 14.62 3-11 14th
8 958 2012 Kevin 3-7 11th 81.82 0.323 20.95 5-8 10th
9 942 2022 Pat 4-6 13th 86.12 0.323 14.75 8-6 6th 6th place
10 938 2013 Derrek 5-5 9th 84.67 0.334 21.24 7-6 7th