2014 Allen (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 341.64 points

10th place

1.22 expected wins (0.306)

14-38 all-play record (0.269)

-29.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 Schertz
6 Rob
7 Kevin
8 Dave
9 Mike R.
10 Rabbit
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923129.4%268.0000000000000694.4803318503131820.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.23076923076923420.4%61.846153846153854108.84975325366486043.6%164.9230769230769372.010.0%268.0000000000000647.7298944698571426.5%371.0769230769231130.8608064182885230.1%474.1538461538462141.021204995806734Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585213th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544313th599.053846153846275.6686390532544410th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585212th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272310th599.053846153846208.2130177514793410th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585213th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544312th599.053846153846253.183431952662724Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.392166.5076923076923114.1220543245329820.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.510377.276923076923105.9284586883897540.30161.12307692307692120.3610057867280410.000166.507692307692387.0133394182967420.022271.89230769230767139.7142559508777430.000377.27692307692370.626148146010274Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692315173.34423076923076114.6035502958579920283.0557692307692141.2307692307692334392.76730769230767119.928994082840234463.6326923076923119.9289940828402310173.3442307692307687.9763313609467421283.0557692307692135.9053254437869830392.7673076923076798.627218934911244All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 2-2 10th 85.41 0.306 14.98 6-7 10th
1 969 2024 Pulley 1-3 13th 85.22 0.312 5.30 4-10 13th
2 967 2021 Pulley 0-4 13th 87.68 0.298 11.49 5-9 10th
3 966 2024 Derrek 2-2 11th 80.22 0.304 19.90 4-10 14th
4 965 2014 Mike R. 1-3 12th 87.05 0.308 27.38 6-7 7th
5 964 2015 Pat 1-3 12th 82.78 0.299 8.79 6-7 9th
6 963 2015 Rabbit 2-2 9th 83.07 0.300 7.60 5-8 11th
7 963 2019 Mike R. 1-3 13th 86.42 0.318 19.10 8-5 4th 4th place
8 956 2012 Richie 1-3 13th 84.32 0.322 19.04 1-12 14th
9 954 2016 Derrek 2-2 11th 87.62 0.295 22.35 3-10 14th
10 952 2016 Babel 1-3 13th 89.87 0.318 12.02 7-6 6th 6th place