2015 Pat (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 331.11 points

12th place

1.20 expected wins (0.299)

16-36 all-play record (0.308)

+1.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.98 104.98 Matt -28.00
2 L 72.40 82.17 Derrek -9.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.17 70.39 Ed 24.78
4 L 86.56 129.49 Rob -42.93
5 Mike R.
6 Richie
7 Kevin
8 Schertz
9 Babel
10 Pulley
11 Allen
12 Dave
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923043.1%164.9230769230769372.010.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.23076923076923422.4%61.846153846153854105.1887951387074300.0%164.923076923076932.7692307692307736127.2%268.0000000000000697.589782099074826.7%371.0769230769231130.481974369057430.6%474.1538461538462140.336008554512554Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613213th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544312th599.053846153846253.18343195266272412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613213th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544312th599.053846153846253.18343195266272412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544213th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544312th599.053846153846253.183431952662724Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Adrian Peterson RB
2.14 28 Jimmy Graham TE
3.01 29 Peyton Manning QB
4.14 56 Joique Bell RB
5.01 57 Mike Wallace WR
6.14 84 Eric Decker WR
7.01 85 Mike Evans K WR
8.14 112 Andre Wiliams RB
9.01 113 Chris Ivory K RB
10.14 140 Montee Ball RB
11.01 141 DeAngelo Williams RB
12.14 168 Theo Riddick RB
13.01 169 Percy Harvin WR
14.14 196 Matt Prater K
15.01 197 Baltimore DEF
16.14 224 Cameron Artis-Payne RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.485271.89230769230767107.6612978288946730.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.20961.12307692307692126.7645353661440310.160166.5076923076923130.173798460239720.000271.8923076923076774.0918264270201230.344377.276923076923117.389061857380974Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.34423076923076141.2307692307692325283.0557692307692114.6035502958579930392.76730769230767141.230769230769234263.6326923076923130.5798816568047310173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.055769230769287.9763313609467439392.7673076923076793.301775147928994All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Pat 1-3 12th 82.78 0.299 8.79 6-7 9th
1 995 2015 Rabbit 2-2 9th 83.07 0.300 7.60 5-8 11th
2 971 2021 Pulley 0-4 13th 87.68 0.298 11.49 5-9 10th
3 964 2014 Allen 2-2 10th 85.41 0.306 14.98 6-7 10th
4 959 2024 Pulley 1-3 13th 85.22 0.312 5.30 4-10 13th
5 958 2024 Derrek 2-2 11th 80.22 0.304 19.90 4-10 14th
6 956 2022 Babel 1-3 13th 82.61 0.280 11.37 3-11 14th
7 945 2016 Derrek 2-2 11th 87.62 0.295 22.35 3-10 14th
8 932 2015 Allen 1-3 13th 79.52 0.275 12.17 4-9 13th
9 931 2022 Pulley 2-2 10th 86.48 0.326 8.45 7-7 8th
10 929 2017 Allen 2-2 9th 81.11 0.331 10.05 5-8 12th