2009 Pat

6-7 (0.462), 1,233.54 points

8th place

5.29 expected wins (0.407)

58-85 all-play record (0.406)

+4.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 W 89.08 62.71 Babel 26.37
9 L 83.77 90.13 Rob -6.36
10 L 76.44 172.68 Ed -96.24
11 L 105.32 115.22 Allen -9.90
12 W 108.72 95.04 Matt 13.68
13 L 63.77 103.67 Rabbit -39.90 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923523.5%249.593406593406680.3029947921016360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2221153534635500.2%65.52747252747253140.6908432940259412.0%102.34065934065934136.1089498826081328.3%139.15384615384613119.75022619721872319.2%175.9670329670329691.5618820847148426.7%212.780219780219872.050.0%249.593406593406619.375220353434045613.5%286.4065934065934106.3531887073762975.1%323.2197802197802128.0495199253810881.3%360.032967032967137.948927183664790.2%396.8461538461538140.7054052634795100.0%433.6593406593406141.17982405906724110.0%470.4725274725274141.22814701041887120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307188158934513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613210th109.6307692307692245.006993006993310th158.5730769230769245.00699300699349th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664557th256.4576923076923165.286713286713368th305.4191.860139860139979th354.3423076923077218.43356643356645811th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196911th452.226923076923271.58041958041961011th501.16923076923075271.58041958041961111th550.1115384615384271.58041958041961211th599.053846153846271.58041958041961310th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613211th109.6307692307692271.5804195804196311th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196411th207.5153846153846271.580419580419655th256.4576923076923112.1398601398601664th305.485.5664335664335773rd354.342307692307758.99300699300701584th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335799th452.226923076923218.43356643356645109th501.16923076923075218.43356643356645117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133128th599.053846153846191.86013986013991310th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th60.68846153846153298.15384615384613210th109.6307692307692245.006993006993310th158.5730769230769245.00699300699349th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664553rd256.457692307692358.99300699300701567th305.4165.286713286713375th354.3423076923077112.1398601398601686th403.28461538461534138.71328671328675911th452.226923076923271.5804195804196109th501.16923076923075218.433566433566451110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.580419580419613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.64889.4958579881656896.3562709072330730.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.749154.3479289940828289.4013741952779250.981186.773964497041473.309652391146460.209219.2126.7555334962527270.331251.62603550295853118.3119252332091480.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.665381.3301775147928795.21984987586785120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.18924.64378698224852128.1533313648319610.16757.069822485207105129.6534071262340420.00089.4958579881656851.4817725836969230.312121.92189349112428119.6529020502200940.000154.3479289940828237.57197915978663650.000186.77396449704145.38853555152357460.000219.2112.2802977617362270.000251.6260355029585395.3930812356490580.248284.0520710059171124.073579862230890.150316.4781065088757130.81255657822658100.605348.904142011834399.33369400940995110.000381.3301775147928749.208930520966476120.040413.75621301775146138.460670119314513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.2307692307692321093.1704142011834278.293706293706330126.92781065088758141.23076923076923410160.685207100591778.2937062937063511194.4426035502958472.062228.2128.6433566433566474261.9573964497041116.0559440559440580295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923119396.986982248520784.58741258741259120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313225.655621301775145128.643356643356641059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.1704142011834215.3566433566433633126.92781065088758122.3496503496503540160.685207100591715.3566433566433650194.442603550295842.769230769230773660228.2116.0559440559440570261.957396449704190.881118881118982295.7147928994083128.6433566433566492329.47218934911234128.64335664335664103363.2295857988165122.34965034965035110396.986982248520727.944055944055947120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 6-7 8th 94.89 0.407 23.39
1 987 2024 Scott 5-9 12th 92.91 0.410 23.25
2 976 2013 Richie 6-7 10th 89.91 0.409 23.56
3 974 2014 Richie 6-7 9th 91.79 0.404 19.55
4 967 2023 Scott 8-6 7th 92.59 0.399 19.63
5 965 2010 Kevin 5-8 10th 90.35 0.407 15.22
6 965 2008 Katie 5-8 10th 86.46 0.408 23.17
7 965 2014 Pat 5-8 11th 90.91 0.413 19.26
8 960 2023 Schertz 6-8 9th 95.75 0.423 20.54
9 949 2022 Richie 6-8 13th 91.33 0.398 14.05
10 946 2014 Derrek 5-8 12th 89.22 0.393 24.54