2009 Pat (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 795.52 points

3rd place

3.81 expected wins (0.476)

42-46 all-play record (0.477)

-3.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 W 89.08 62.71 Babel 26.37
9 Rob
10 Ed
11 Allen
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923419.3%325.2649572649573100.3285264638512350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692301.5%96.20512820512818138.08736609037214111.0%153.47008547008548117.804620881853228.4%210.7350427350427380.93656724683899332.6%268.072.040.0%325.264957264957359.42628369693325456.1%382.52991452991455128.2748452123814261.0%439.79487179487177139.139618301747270.1%497.05982905982904141.095727536479168Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613210th179.54835164835166245.006993006993310th263.44945054945055245.00699300699349th347.3505494505494218.4335664335664557th431.2516483516483165.286713286713368th515.1527472527472191.860139860139979th599.053846153846218.43356643356645810th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613211th179.54835164835166271.5804195804196311th263.44945054945055271.5804195804196411th347.3505494505494271.580419580419655th431.2516483516483112.1398601398601664th515.152747252747285.5664335664335773rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015810th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613210th179.54835164835166245.006993006993310th263.44945054945055245.00699300699349th347.3505494505494218.4335664335664553rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701567th515.1527472527472165.286713286713375th599.053846153846112.139860139860168Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.676140.1615384615384494.8495093044821330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.776245.5461538461538687.954095254017151.009298.238461538461572.060.237350.93076923076916124.9887782342107670.359403.6230769230769116.6173850324207180.21634.776923076923076126.3746212541571510.19587.46923076923076127.8618674219045220.000140.1615384615384448.4682493781950130.339192.85384615384618117.9468929702554840.000245.5461538461538634.6774212772649850.000298.23846153846152.769230769230773660.000350.93076923076916108.7467872376522870.000403.623076923076992.004000834072198Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.23076923076923210145.9163461538461578.293706293706330200.77211538461538141.23076923076923410255.627884615384678.2937062937063511310.4836538461538672.062365.3394230769231128.6433566433566474420.1951923076923116.055944055944058236.20480769230769128.643356643356641091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.9163461538461515.3566433566433633200.77211538461538122.3496503496503540255.627884615384615.3566433566433650310.483653846153862.769230769230773660365.3394230769231116.0559440559440570420.195192307692390.88111888111898All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 5-3 3rd 99.44 0.476 25.53 6-7 8th
1 990 2013 Rabbit 2-6 13th 97.58 0.476 26.74 5-8 11th
2 989 2014 Mike R. 3-5 9th 98.00 0.476 23.70 6-7 7th
3 985 2024 Dave 4-4 9th 99.47 0.472 21.92 9-5 3rd
4 978 2019 Scott 2-6 14th 99.77 0.479 18.44 4-9 14th
5 973 2019 Mike R. 5-3 5th 100.78 0.465 25.86 8-5 4th 4th place
6 968 2013 Rob 4-4 6th 99.33 0.464 29.15 8-5 2nd 2nd place
7 963 2018 Richie 4-4 8th 104.63 0.475 18.67 5-8 11th
8 955 2019 Ed 3-5 10th 99.80 0.457 22.67 5-8 11th
9 954 2013 Babel 1-7 14th 102.19 0.485 34.12 4-9 13th
10 952 2010 Matt 3-5 8th 98.54 0.497 26.46 5-8 9th