2011 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 679.91 points (84.99 average)

12th place

2.58 expected wins (0.322)

24-64 all-play record (0.273)

+11.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923233.8%289.3675213675213672.030.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692381.7%53.470085470085465137.83475996500528012.7%132.1025641025641115.19679335273472131.2%210.7350427350427377.235213935917320.0%289.367521367521362.7692307692307736316.9%368.0106.5078298959694643.6%446.6324786324787133.9405186192037750.2%525.2649572649573140.8467044023646560.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335725th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196611th515.1527472527472271.5804195804196711th599.053846153846271.580419580419683rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335723rd179.5483516483516658.99300699300701536th263.44945054945055138.71328671328675410th347.3505494505494245.006993006993511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.1538461538461383rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335725th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.153846153846138Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.80850.64230769230769683.1197849965363410.000127.37307692307691137.591083139791720.354204.10384615384615113.7240619111642830.000280.8346153846154137.591083139791740.000357.56538461538463137.591083139791750.000434.29615384615386137.591083139791760.000511.0269230769231137.591083139791770.314587.7576923076922116.4406584809530980.00050.64230769230769628.64848685328098610.565127.3730769230769199.5208227506125820.000204.1038461538461589.8570406825368930.518280.8346153846154102.638700433242924-0.024357.56538461538463139.197274926169150.071434.29615384615386132.787433670925456-0.027511.0269230769231139.4109261852804670.000587.757692307692295.290233822114498Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678952.0701923076923184.5874125874125910130.96442307692305141.2307692307692323209.85865384615386122.3496503496503530288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692374604.3298076923076116.055944055944058052.0701923076923127.94405594405594713130.96442307692305122.3496503496503520209.85865384615386103.4685314685314734288.75288461538463116.0559440559440540367.6471153846154141.2307692307692351446.5413461538462134.9370629370629360525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.329807692307690.88111888111898All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-5 12th 84.99 0.322 24.41 5-8 11th
1 976 2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.326 19.13 7-6 7th
2 976 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
3 970 2012 Schertz 2-6 13th 81.33 0.315 24.10 5-8 9th
4 964 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.325 13.88 7-7 8th
5 963 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.318 16.61 5-8 10th
6 960 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.332 17.22 3-10 14th
7 959 2017 Allen 3-5 13th 81.35 0.322 11.78 5-8 12th
8 957 2022 Richie 4-4 9th 86.71 0.316 13.29 6-8 13th
9 953 2024 Pulley 2-6 14th 87.11 0.312 15.62 4-10 13th
10 952 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.336 20.57 6-7 9th