2011 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 679.91 points

12th place

2.60 expected wins (0.326)

24-64 all-play record (0.273)

+11.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923233.9%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.7%38.940170940170944137.850791506677012.3%96.20512820512818116.13026672630095130.5%153.4700854700854878.951588878718520.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736317.6%268.0105.2007823436458443.8%325.2649572649573133.4233022016038650.2%382.52991452991455140.839131612944460.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335724th179.5483516483516685.5664335664335737th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196611th515.1527472527472271.5804195804196711th599.053846153846271.580419580419683rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335723rd179.5483516483516658.99300699300701536th263.44945054945055138.71328671328675410th347.3505494505494245.006993006993511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.1538461538461383rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335725th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.153846153846138Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.79334.77692307692307684.077903274926410.00087.46923076923076137.5285471627319420.377140.16153846153844112.104832669306930.000192.85384615384618137.5285471627319440.000245.54615384615386137.5285471627319450.000298.2384615384615137.5285471627319460.000350.93076923076916137.5285471627319470.329403.6230769230769115.3565758587101680.00034.77692307692307630.62725938712087310.56987.4692307692307699.1642220176000420.000140.1615384615384486.6811181758818630.524192.85384615384618102.227939240269114-0.026245.54615384615386139.313296090844450.065298.2384615384615133.130559890584446-0.027350.93076923076916139.379658196750670.000403.623076923076993.184604554688398Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678936.2048076923076984.587412587412591091.06057692307692141.2307692307692323145.91634615384615122.3496503496503530200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692374420.1951923076923116.055944055944058036.2048076923076927.9440559440559471391.06057692307692122.3496503496503520145.91634615384615103.4685314685314734200.77211538461538116.0559440559440540255.6278846153846141.2307692307692351310.48365384615386134.9370629370629360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.195192307692390.88111888111898All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-5 12th 84.99 0.326 24.41 5-8 11th
1 989 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.329 23.03 6-7 10th
2 983 2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.325 19.13 7-6 7th
3 979 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.326 17.22 3-10 14th
4 972 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.330 20.57 6-7 9th
5 967 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.327 13.88 7-7 8th
6 964 2012 Schertz 2-6 13th 81.33 0.315 24.10 5-8 9th
7 958 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.319 16.61 5-8 10th
8 957 2022 Richie 4-4 9th 86.71 0.319 13.29 6-8 13th
9 953 2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.339 20.43 4-10 14th
10 949 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.338 17.82 5-9 12th