2011 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 679.91 points (84.99 average)

12th place

2.58 expected wins (0.322)

24-64 all-play record (0.273)

+11.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 119.42 103.06 Rabbit 16.36
2 L 104.84 138.17 Derrek -33.33
3 W 93.59 72.00 Allen 21.59
4 L 102.38 165.61 Rob -63.23
5 L 49.67 106.75 Babel -57.08 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 70.39 134.36 Dave -63.97
7 L 48.73 93.93 Ed -45.20 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 90.89 72.51 Matt 18.38
9 Pulley
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Mike R.
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923233.8%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.7%38.940170940170944137.83475995927404012.7%96.20512820512818115.19677343257304131.2%153.4700854700854877.2351647560737320.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736316.9%268.0106.5078894646633143.6%325.2649572649573133.9405510629385450.2%382.52991452991455140.846708193650160.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335725th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196611th515.1527472527472271.5804195804196711th599.053846153846271.580419580419683rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335723rd179.5483516483516658.99300699300701536th263.44945054945055138.71328671328675410th347.3505494505494245.006993006993511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.1538461538461383rd11.74615384615384558.99300699300701514th95.6472527472527285.5664335664335725th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.2867132867133411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196612th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613712th599.053846153846298.153846153846138Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Andre Johnson WR
2.10 22 Peyton Manning QB
3.03 27 Beanie Wells RB
4.10 46 Ray Rice K RB
5.03 51 Chad Ochocinco WR
6.10 70 Greg Olsen TE
7.03 75 C.J. Spiller RB
8.10 94 Lee Evans WR
9.03 99 Austin Collie K WR
10.10 118 Baltimore DEF
11.03 123 Donald Brown RB
12.10 142 Jerricho Cotchery WR
13.03 147 Dustin Keller TE
14.10 166 Chad Henne QB
15.03 171 Nick Folk K
16.10 190 Jordan Shipley WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.80834.77692307692307683.1197521930133810.00087.46923076923076137.591056005100620.354140.16153846153844113.7240996653529230.000192.85384615384618137.591056005100640.000245.54615384615386137.591056005100650.000298.2384615384615137.591056005100660.000350.93076923076916137.591056005100670.314403.6230769230769116.4406827988461380.00034.77692307692307628.6484483809261710.56587.4692307692307699.5207714677988220.000140.1615384615384489.8571433256052530.518192.85384615384618102.638667427532974-0.024245.54615384615386139.1972583238556450.071298.2384615384615132.787438738714836-0.027350.93076923076916139.410912617934970.000403.623076923076995.290309592591648Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678936.2048076923076984.587412587412591091.06057692307692141.2307692307692323145.91634615384615122.3496503496503530200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692374420.1951923076923116.055944055944058036.2048076923076927.9440559440559471391.06057692307692122.3496503496503520145.91634615384615103.4685314685314734200.77211538461538116.0559440559440540255.6278846153846141.2307692307692351310.48365384615386134.9370629370629360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.195192307692390.88111888111898All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Pat 3-5 12th 84.99 0.322 24.41 5-8 11th
1 976 2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.326 19.13 7-6 7th
2 976 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
3 970 2012 Schertz 2-6 13th 81.33 0.315 24.10 5-8 9th
4 965 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.325 13.88 7-7 8th
5 963 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.318 16.61 5-8 10th
6 960 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.332 17.22 3-10 14th
7 959 2017 Allen 3-5 13th 81.35 0.322 11.78 5-8 12th
8 957 2022 Richie 4-4 9th 86.71 0.315 13.29 6-8 13th
9 952 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.336 20.57 6-7 9th
10 949 2019 Rob 3-5 13th 88.51 0.311 17.24 5-8 13th