2016 Pat (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 691.28 points (86.41 average)

10th place

2.61 expected wins (0.326)

34-70 all-play record (0.327)

-39.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 Schertz
10 Derrek
11 Pulley
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692320.0%289.36752136752136141.23076923076923316.5%368.0105.9660693454202840.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692381.9%53.470085470085465137.16423218984554013.8%132.1025641025641111.7468500613816131.3%210.7350427350427374.14294854776969232.3%289.3675213675213671.9999999999999930.0%368.070.7013694600713343.9%446.6324786324787132.8097416363689850.3%525.2649572649573140.4836200440199160.0%603.897435897436141.212851713551670.0%682.5299145299145141.2306793744748Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289929th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544614th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613714th599.053846153846298.1538461538461383rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289927th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272710th599.053846153846208.213017751479383rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th95.6472527472527295.786982248520729th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613614th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613714th599.053846153846298.153846153846138Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.80650.64230769230769685.4484098554832310.508127.37307692307691106.0452197855451420.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.000434.29615384615386141.2307692307692360.344511.0269230769231117.4471628542505970.455587.7576923076922109.7339521519094680.00050.64230769230769629.66605048019724210.000127.3730769230769170.8596703403210620.359204.10384615384615116.34374900889230.007280.8346153846154140.7632417698786540.104357.56538461538463134.014275599067150.026434.29615384615386139.4386481221846560.000511.026923076923193.6635564777319670.000587.757692307692278.23713507304978Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781152.0701923076923182.650887573964516130.96442307692305109.2781065088757420209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692366525.435576923077109.2781065088757477604.3298076923076103.952662721893498052.0701923076923124.07100591715975210130.9644230769230577.3254437869822523209.85865384615386125.2544378698224830288.75288461538463141.2307692307692341367.6471153846154135.9053254437869850446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.43557692307777.3254437869822570604.329807692307666.674556213017758All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.326 19.13 7-6 7th
1 984 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.325 13.88 7-7 8th
2 976 2011 Pat 3-5 12th 84.99 0.322 24.41 5-8 11th
3 975 2025 Matt 2-6 14th 87.07 0.337 18.69
4 973 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
5 972 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.318 16.61 5-8 10th
6 972 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.332 17.22 3-10 14th
7 966 2022 Richie 4-4 9th 86.71 0.316 13.29 6-8 13th
8 963 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.339 17.82 5-9 12th
9 962 2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.340 20.43 4-10 14th
10 962 2024 Pulley 2-6 14th 87.11 0.312 15.62 4-10 13th