2016 Pat (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 691.28 points (86.41 average)

10th place

2.61 expected wins (0.326)

34-70 all-play record (0.327)

-39.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.17 99.16 Ed 21.01
2 W 99.38 83.87 Mike R. 15.51
3 L 91.12 105.43 Babel -14.31
4 L 59.62 70.22 Kevin -10.60 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 71.45 109.18 Matt -37.73
6 L 63.16 69.91 Dave -6.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 89.78 70.14 Allen 19.64
8 W 96.60 74.36 Rob 22.24
9 Schertz
10 Derrek
11 Pulley
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923316.5%268.0105.9681114692843740.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.9%38.940170940170944137.16383859305057013.8%96.20512820512818111.74460137749116131.3%153.4700854700854874.14001966710826232.3%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.070.7054537077995243.9%325.2649572649573132.8109411075404350.3%382.52991452991455140.4838491027138360.0%439.79487179487177141.212863480577370.0%497.05982905982904141.230679504789448Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289929th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544614th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613714th599.053846153846298.1538461538461383rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728414th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289927th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272710th599.053846153846208.213017751479383rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th95.6472527472527295.786982248520729th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613614th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613714th599.053846153846298.153846153846138Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.07 21 Eddie Lacy RB
3.08 36 Michael Floyd WR
4.07 49 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
5.08 64 Mike Wallace K WR
6.07 77 Julius Thomas TE
7.08 92 Matthew Stafford K QB
8.07 105 Willie Snead WR
9.08 120 Kenneth Dixon RB
10.07 133 Ted Ginn, Jr. WR
11.08 148 Sammie Coates WR
12.07 161 Devontae Booker RB
13.08 176 Victor Cruz WR
14.07 189 Graham Gano K
15.08 204 New England DEF
16.07 217 Charles Clay TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.80634.77692307692307685.4485058222058310.50887.46923076923076106.0448983402830320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.344350.93076923076916117.4479467111261570.455403.6230769230769109.7348657217868380.00034.77692307692307629.66624241364243610.00087.4692307692307670.8590274497968120.359140.16153846153844116.344586298842530.007192.85384615384618140.7637074557825440.104245.54615384615386134.0152588232842850.026298.2384615384615139.4390782812338360.000350.9307692307691693.6651241914830770.000403.623076923076978.238962212804448Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781136.2048076923076982.65088757396451691.06057692307692109.2781065088757420145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692366365.3394230769231109.2781065088757477420.1951923076923103.952662721893498036.2048076923076924.0710059171597521091.0605769230769277.3254437869822523145.91634615384615125.2544378698224830200.77211538461538141.2307692307692341255.6278846153846135.9053254437869850310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.339423076923177.3254437869822570420.195192307692366.674556213017758All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.326 19.13 7-6 7th
1 983 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.325 13.88 7-7 8th
2 976 2011 Pat 3-5 12th 84.99 0.322 24.41 5-8 11th
3 973 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
4 972 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.318 16.61 5-8 10th
5 972 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.332 17.22 3-10 14th
6 967 2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.338 20.43 4-10 14th
7 965 2022 Richie 4-4 9th 86.71 0.315 13.29 6-8 13th
8 965 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.339 17.82 5-9 12th
9 962 2018 Dave 3-5 12th 94.97 0.325 18.25 4-9 13th
10 959 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.336 20.57 6-7 9th