2013 Pat (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 359.10 points

11th place

1.30 expected wins (0.324)

17-35 all-play record (0.327)

-14.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 Allen
6 Pulley
7 Schertz
8 Rob
9 Ed
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923129.8%268.0000000000000691.1206601776999920.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.23076923076923419.6%61.846153846153854108.24016443455162041.2%164.9230769230769372.010.0%268.0000000000000641.01055112463076628.6%371.0769230769231126.740417470507430.8%474.1538461538462139.92277766508634Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793212th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272314th599.053846153846298.15384615384613412th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th207.5153846153846185.727810650887627th403.28461538461534140.75739644970415311th599.053846153846230.698224852071412th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793212th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272314th599.053846153846298.153846153846134Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.338166.5076923076923117.8188725260294520.140271.89230769230767131.5127459539803630.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.34861.12307692307692117.1483841175239710.000166.507692307692394.4069758212896820.000271.89230769230767121.7947226771914930.471377.276923076923108.613862171971164Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692315173.34423076923076114.6035502958579924283.0557692307692119.9289940828402330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234263.6326923076923130.5798816568047310173.3442307692307687.9763313609467420283.055769230769298.6272189349112436392.76730769230767109.278106508875744All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 2-2 11th 89.78 0.324 7.90 5-8 12th
1 982 2022 Pulley 2-2 10th 86.48 0.326 8.45 7-7 8th
2 979 2016 Babel 1-3 13th 89.87 0.318 12.02 7-6 6th 6th place
3 976 2014 Schertz 3-1 4th 88.78 0.332 10.16 5-8 13th
4 954 2012 Rob 2-2 9th 87.14 0.339 10.81 3-10 13th
5 952 2019 Mike R. 1-3 13th 86.42 0.318 19.10 8-5 4th 4th place
6 951 2012 Richie 1-3 13th 84.32 0.322 19.04 1-12 14th
7 951 2024 Pulley 1-3 13th 85.22 0.312 5.30 4-10 13th
8 949 2017 Allen 2-2 9th 81.11 0.331 10.05 5-8 12th
9 942 2009 Dave 3-1 4th 86.70 0.344 10.71 5-8 11th
10 936 2016 Mike R. 0-4 14th 91.50 0.346 15.11 5-8 11th