2009 Dave (through 4 weeks)

3-1 (0.750), 346.78 points (86.70 average)

4th place

1.33 expected wins (0.333)

13-31 all-play record (0.295)

-31.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 Mike R.
6 Derrek
7 Babel
8 Rob
9 Ed
10 Allen
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692329.1%371.0769230769231125.7482789537154330.0%474.1538461538462141.23076923076923418.2%61.846153846153854110.24041166018006040.7%164.9230769230769372.0131.3%268.0000000000000688.0271306742282620.0%371.0769230769231110.2657886766616330.6%474.1538461538462140.165136464657624Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196211th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196311th599.053846153846271.5804195804196412th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th207.5153846153846245.00699300699326th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867534th599.05384615384685.56643356643357412th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196211th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196311th599.053846153846271.58041958041964Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.391166.5076923076923114.170921366592520.458271.89230769230767109.5470608814454530.394377.276923076923113.9360729902875640.08961.12307692307692135.076380605864810.000166.507692307692387.1110735024157620.000271.8923076923076777.8633525321216830.000377.27692307692386.641376749805894Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692314173.34423076923076116.0559440559440524283.0557692307692116.0559440559440535392.76730769230767109.762237762237764063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.3442307692307690.881118881118920283.055769230769290.881118881118930392.7673076923076778.293706293706314All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 3-1 4th 86.70 0.333 10.71 5-8 11th
1 986 2014 Schertz 3-1 4th 88.78 0.335 10.16 5-8 13th
2 983 2022 Pulley 2-2 10th 86.48 0.327 8.45 7-7 8th
3 979 2012 Rob 2-2 9th 87.14 0.342 10.81 3-10 13th
4 976 2013 Pat 2-2 11th 89.78 0.330 7.90 5-8 12th
5 973 2017 Allen 2-2 9th 81.11 0.334 10.05 5-8 12th
6 967 2016 Babel 1-3 13th 89.87 0.324 12.02 7-6 6th 6th place
7 966 2012 Richie 1-3 13th 84.32 0.329 19.04 1-12 14th
8 965 2009 Pat 1-3 11th 88.16 0.347 11.76 6-7 8th
9 955 2019 Mike R. 1-3 13th 86.42 0.319 19.10 8-5 4th 4th place
10 955 2012 Pat 1-3 12th 84.62 0.342 19.89 5-8 11th