2015 Pat (through 6 weeks)

1-5 (0.167), 469.13 points

14th place

1.69 expected wins (0.282)

22-56 all-play record (0.282)

-0.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.98 104.98 Matt -28.00
2 L 72.40 82.17 Derrek -9.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.17 70.39 Ed 24.78
4 L 86.56 129.49 Rob -42.93
5 L 37.04 80.54 Mike R. -43.50 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 100.98 116.76 Richie -15.78
7 Kevin
8 Schertz
9 Babel
10 Pulley
11 Allen
12 Dave
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.23076923076923033.1%120.7472527472527676.5611333558312910.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.2307692307692330.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.23076923076923611.0%47.120879120879124119.767444630029500.0%120.7472527472527611.89149748089335135.5%194.373626373626472.0216.6%268.0108.7449525788675533.5%341.6263736263736134.4611317750045640.3%415.2527472527472140.6768458939138250.0%488.8791208791208141.221414612130256Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613213th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544312th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544514th599.053846153846298.15384615384613612th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613213th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544312th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272414th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613514th599.053846153846298.15384615384613612th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544213th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544312th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272414th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613514th599.053846153846298.153846153846136Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Adrian Peterson RB
2.14 28 Jimmy Graham TE
3.01 29 Peyton Manning QB
4.14 56 Joique Bell RB
5.01 57 Mike Wallace WR
6.14 84 Eric Decker WR
7.01 85 Mike Evans K WR
8.14 112 Andre Wiliams RB
9.01 113 Chris Ivory K RB
10.14 140 Montee Ball RB
11.01 141 DeAngelo Williams RB
12.14 168 Theo Riddick RB
13.01 169 Percy Harvin WR
14.14 196 Matt Prater K
15.01 197 Baltimore DEF
16.14 224 Cameron Artis-Payne RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692320.464184.07179487179485109.0884532407841630.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692350.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.18843.55897435897436128.1916907780335210.139113.8153846153846131.600953872129220.000184.0717948717948576.9461372507991130.324254.32820512820513118.8162172692704540.022324.58461538461535139.7150000360768450.556394.8410256410256102.747223885766236Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.48846153846152141.2307692307692325191.62948717948714114.6035502958579930264.7705128205128141.2307692307692340337.9115384615384141.2307692307692350411.05256410256413141.230769230769236245.347435897435886130.5798816568047310118.48846153846152141.2307692307692320191.6294871794871487.9763313609467439264.770512820512893.3017751479289940337.9115384615384141.2307692307692356411.05256410256413109.278106508875746All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Pat 1-5 14th 78.19 0.282 20.84 6-7 9th
1 979 2009 Pulley 1-5 12th 79.08 0.275 19.09 4-9 12th
2 973 2023 Scott 1-5 13th 83.42 0.280 20.02 8-6 7th
3 971 2012 Schertz 1-5 14th 79.12 0.275 25.79 5-8 9th
4 966 2015 Derrek 3-3 10th 81.47 0.288 16.66 7-6 7th
5 958 2016 Pat 2-4 13th 84.15 0.291 21.53 7-6 7th
6 958 2017 Allen 2-4 12th 77.11 0.274 9.97 5-8 12th
7 950 2015 Allen 2-4 13th 82.60 0.289 11.08 4-9 13th
8 947 2010 Allen 3-3 7th 80.05 0.296 12.16 7-6 6th 4th place
9 944 2012 Richie 1-5 13th 83.94 0.294 16.09 1-12 14th
10 939 2014 Richie 1-5 13th 84.34 0.296 16.09 6-7 9th