2015 Derrek (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 488.81 points (81.47 average)

10th place

1.75 expected wins (0.291)

21-57 all-play record (0.269)

-12.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 65.49 87.11 Rabbit -21.62 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 82.17 72.40 Pat 9.77
3 L 67.24 155.50 Babel -88.26 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.48 79.87 Ed -12.39
5 W 97.49 84.98 Schertz 12.51
6 W 108.94 101.40 Kevin 7.54
7 Mike R.
8 Matt
9 Richie
10 Rob
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923216.9%268.0111.1419916710919730.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692368.1%47.120879120879124126.7808658826487032.8%120.7472527472527682.75775652837369138.9%194.373626373626472.020.0%268.081.0532141114147233.0%341.6263736263736135.845824200797240.2%415.2527472527472140.8091580325464350.0%488.8791208791208141.21872544261976Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613414th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613513th599.053846153846275.6686390532544614th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th129.2076923076923230.698224852071214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544510th599.053846153846208.2130177514793614th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544513th599.053846153846275.66863905325446Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Matt Forte RB
2.09 23 Frank Gore K RB
3.06 34 Andrew Luck K QB
4.09 51 Allen Robinson II WR
5.06 62 Nelson Agholor WR
6.09 79 Shane Vereen RB
7.06 90 Davante Adams WR
8.09 107 Breshad Perriman WR
9.06 118 Owen Daniels TE
10.09 135 Houston DEF
11.06 146 Teddy Bridgewater QB
12.09 163 Terrance West RB
13.06 174 Dwayne Bowe WR
14.09 191 Jeremy Langford RB
15.06 202 Caleb Sturgis K
16.09 219 Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.273113.8153846153846122.360205146540520.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.503324.58461538461535106.4361695006953450.703394.841025641025692.5621527740900160.07743.55897435897436135.8916782174160910.000113.8153846153846103.4896410623117620.094184.07179487179485134.6962707657877430.096254.32820512820513134.550964346228940.000324.5846153846153571.6415697706214650.000394.841025641025643.893536317410796Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692312118.48846153846152130.5798816568047320191.62948717948714141.2307692307692330264.7705128205128141.2307692307692347337.9115384615384103.9526627218934959411.0525641025641393.301775147928996045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.48846153846152119.9289940828402320191.62948717948714141.2307692307692333264.7705128205128125.2544378698224840337.911538461538466.6745562130177550411.0525641025641345.3727810650887456All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Derrek 3-3 10th 81.47 0.291 16.66 7-6 7th
1 983 2010 Allen 3-3 7th 80.05 0.292 12.16 7-6 6th 4th place
2 977 2016 Pat 2-4 13th 84.15 0.290 21.53 7-6 7th
3 973 2015 Allen 2-4 13th 82.60 0.297 11.08 4-9 13th
4 970 2015 Pat 1-5 14th 78.19 0.287 20.84 6-7 9th
5 969 2010 Kevin 1-5 12th 80.79 0.300 11.98 5-8 10th
6 969 2012 Richie 1-5 13th 83.94 0.301 16.09 1-12 14th
7 968 2014 Richie 1-5 13th 84.34 0.301 16.09 6-7 9th
8 958 2023 Scott 1-5 13th 83.42 0.278 20.02 8-6 7th
9 957 2021 Rob 1-5 13th 90.13 0.291 13.01 2-12 14th
10 957 2024 Pulley 1-5 14th 86.49 0.292 6.18 4-10 13th