2015 Derrek (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 488.81 points

10th place

1.73 expected wins (0.288)

21-57 all-play record (0.269)

-14.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 65.49 87.11 Rabbit -21.62 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 82.17 72.40 Pat 9.77
3 L 67.24 155.50 Babel -88.26 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.48 79.87 Ed -12.39
5 W 97.49 84.98 Schertz 12.51
6 W 108.94 101.40 Kevin 7.54
7 Mike R.
8 Matt
9 Richie
10 Rob
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923216.5%268.0111.7292125037230.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692368.4%47.120879120879124126.15154879575293033.3%120.7472527472527681.47417273573723138.6%194.373626373626472.020.0%268.082.2276557766707933.0%341.6263736263736135.9403272087825540.2%415.2527472527472140.8104892512732850.0%488.8791208791208141.21848805366076Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613113th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613414th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613513th599.053846153846275.6686390532544614th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th129.2076923076923230.698224852071214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544510th599.053846153846208.2130177514793614th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613314th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613413th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544513th599.053846153846275.66863905325446Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Matt Forte RB
2.09 23 Frank Gore K RB
3.06 34 Andrew Luck K QB
4.09 51 Allen Robinson II WR
5.06 62 Nelson Agholor WR
6.09 79 Shane Vereen RB
7.06 90 Davante Adams WR
8.09 107 Breshad Perriman WR
9.06 118 Owen Daniels TE
10.09 135 Houston DEF
11.06 146 Teddy Bridgewater QB
12.09 163 Terrance West RB
13.06 174 Dwayne Bowe WR
14.09 191 Jeremy Langford RB
15.06 202 Caleb Sturgis K
16.09 219 Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.257113.8153846153846123.4300866566132420.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.000254.32820512820513141.2307692307692340.498324.58461538461535106.7360617058581650.699394.841025641025692.8489967025751660.08243.55897435897436135.5329706406528510.000113.8153846153846105.6294040824572620.096184.07179487179485134.6011053949333730.097254.32820512820513134.5101917124241640.000324.5846153846153572.2413541809470850.000394.841025641025644.46722417438116Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692312118.48846153846152130.5798816568047320191.62948717948714141.2307692307692330264.7705128205128141.2307692307692347337.9115384615384103.9526627218934959411.0525641025641393.301775147928996045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.48846153846152119.9289940828402320191.62948717948714141.2307692307692333264.7705128205128125.2544378698224840337.911538461538466.6745562130177550411.0525641025641345.3727810650887456All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Derrek 3-3 10th 81.47 0.288 16.66 7-6 7th
1 983 2015 Allen 2-4 13th 82.60 0.289 11.08 4-9 13th
2 977 2012 Richie 1-5 13th 83.94 0.294 16.09 1-12 14th
3 975 2016 Pat 2-4 13th 84.15 0.291 21.53 7-6 7th
4 972 2014 Richie 1-5 13th 84.34 0.296 16.09 6-7 9th
5 969 2010 Allen 3-3 7th 80.05 0.296 12.16 7-6 6th 4th place
6 969 2023 Scott 1-5 13th 83.42 0.280 20.02 8-6 7th
7 966 2015 Pat 1-5 14th 78.19 0.282 20.84 6-7 9th
8 960 2010 Kevin 1-5 12th 80.79 0.302 11.98 5-8 10th
9 960 2009 Pulley 1-5 12th 79.08 0.275 19.09 4-9 12th
10 960 2011 Pulley 2-4 12th 89.30 0.286 14.52 5-8 10th