2017 Pat (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 896.03 points

12th place

4.38 expected wins (0.438)

58-72 all-play record (0.446)

+28.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.52 73.30 Richie 10.22
2 L 96.69 136.68 Pulley -39.99
3 L 78.02 108.17 Rob -30.15
4 L 80.32 112.94 Babel -32.62
5 L 57.01 107.97 Dave -50.96 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 95.00 102.90 Schertz -7.90
7 L 93.31 94.79 Mike R. -1.48
8 W 127.01 104.14 Kevin 22.87
9 W 108.09 88.62 Derrek 19.47
10 L 77.06 109.89 Allen -32.83
11 Ed
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.23076923076923218.5%174.2937062937062695.7910022260044130.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1466661343990301.0%80.5874125874126138.660371280070216.6%127.44055944055944124.9544082822335320.0%174.2937062937062650.35123522123959328.1%221.1468531468531572.0425.5%268.078.43302179569831514.2%314.8531468531468106.1829851537696964.9%361.7062937062937129.2258756993804271.0%408.5594405594406138.8103110955337380.1%455.41258741258747140.9737144531927790.0%502.2657342657343141.2202015149758310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th77.0025641025641185.7278106508876210th142.2589743589743208.2130177514793311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071413th272.77179487179484275.6686390532544512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272710th468.5410256410256208.213017751479389th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124117th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415210th142.2589743589743208.2130177514793313th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544414th272.77179487179484298.15384615384613514th338.0282051282051298.15384615384613614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613714th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071912th599.053846153846253.18343195266272109th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th77.0025641025641185.727810650887629th142.2589743589743185.7278106508876310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793413th272.77179487179484275.6686390532544512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.1834319526627279th468.5410256410256185.727810650887689th533.7974358974359185.727810650887698th599.053846153846163.2426035502958510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Rodgers K QB
2.12 26 Alshon Jeffery WR
3.03 31 Ty Montgomery RB
4.12 54 Brandon Marshall WR
5.03 59 Bilal Powell RB
6.12 82 Robbie Chosen WR
7.03 87 Cameron Brate TE
8.12 110 Willie Snead K WR
9.03 115 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
10.12 138 Jack Doyle TE
11.03 143 Robert Turbin RB
12.12 166 Brandon LaFell WR
13.03 171 Jalen Richard RB
14.12 194 Blair Walsh K
15.03 199 Pittsburgh DEF
16.12 222 Sam Bradford QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.32129.507692307692306119.0398757513005710.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.959324.5846153846153574.8671902621344680.732366.7384615384615490.5270720743471990.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230696.8489822718319110.53471.66153846153847104.2550381332390520.248113.8153846153846124.0855851305621530.275155.96923076923073122.1650335875549240.091198.12307692307692134.9270417697863450.508240.27692307692305106.0846759937370560.476282.4307692307692108.2666043739582770.000324.584615384615358.50361129349968880.000366.7384615384615439.8233749179251590.238408.89230769230767124.7560735390676310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910530.719230769230762114.603550295857991074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.23076923076923711337.911538461538482.6508875739645811381.7961538461538682.650887573964590425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076287.976331360946741974.6038461538461593.3017751479289925118.48846153846154114.6035502958579933162.3730769230769125.2544378698224840206.2576923076923141.2307692307692357250.14230769230767103.9526627218934964294.026923076923119.9289940828402370337.911538461538424.07100591715975280381.7961538461538624.07100591715975293425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Pat 3-7 12th 89.60 0.438 18.20 6-7 7th
1 995 2017 Schertz 3-7 13th 89.25 0.439 17.47 5-8 10th
2 981 2008 Allen 7-3 2nd 88.73 0.441 13.23 8-5 4th 5th place
3 980 2017 Rabbit 6-4 6th 89.51 0.444 14.55 6-7 9th
4 978 2012 Babel 4-6 8th 92.72 0.441 16.32 6-7 6th 2nd place
5 976 2010 Rob 4-6 8th 90.40 0.445 21.65 6-7 7th
6 970 2013 Schertz 5-5 7th 91.68 0.446 21.52 6-7 9th
7 969 2019 Scott 3-7 13th 95.18 0.438 22.46 4-9 14th
8 959 2012 Pulley 4-6 9th 91.66 0.427 13.12 4-9 12th
9 956 2023 Schertz 4-6 11th 97.45 0.440 22.47 6-8 9th
10 952 2014 Ed 4-6 9th 93.03 0.424 15.49 6-7 8th