2025 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 947.70 points (94.77 average)

12th place

4.39 expected wins (0.439)

61-69 all-play record (0.469)

+8.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 73.23 83.03 Schertz -9.80
6 L 114.40 117.55 Dave -3.15
7 L 94.90 166.57 Mike R. -71.67
8 L 81.84 92.82 Richie -10.98
9 L 93.37 93.89 Pat -0.52
10 W 107.37 68.07 Scott 39.30
11 Ed
12 Pulley
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.23076923076923217.8%239.328671328671396.5530655529084530.0%303.6643356643357141.2307692307692340.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.1%46.32167832167832140.9779467542017801.3%110.65734265734265137.9743902025309416.6%174.993006993007124.5482343964693420.0%239.328671328671351.87536187504767327.6%303.664335664335771.99999999999999425.8%367.9999999999999476.49804061711028514.7%432.33566433566426104.3879346884171565.0%496.67132867132864128.7037020762774771.0%561.006993006993138.8103095396072380.1%625.3426573426574140.9911180895592290.0%689.6783216783215141.2214517021890310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th77.0025641025641208.213017751479326th142.2589743589743118.27218934911241310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272510th338.0282051282051208.213017751479369th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793104th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th77.0025641025641208.213017751479325th142.258974358974395.786982248520739th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876413th272.77179487179484275.6686390532544511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544912th599.053846153846253.18343195266272104th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th77.0025641025641208.213017751479326th142.2589743589743118.27218934911241311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071413th272.77179487179484275.6686390532544510th338.0282051282051208.213017751479369th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793910th599.053846153846208.213017751479310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.56642.969230769230776102.0629387235537110.000104.35384615384616141.2307692307692320.814165.7384615384615684.8810648761930230.000227.12307692307695141.2307692307692340.000288.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000349.89230769230767141.2307692307692360.000411.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000472.6615384615384141.2307692307692380.000534.0461538461539141.2307692307692390.635595.430769230769197.28050628814222100.00042.96923076923077662.8951082163381910.312104.35384615384616119.5965509367335920.000165.7384615384615628.53136052161680430.104227.12307692307695134.0069916608851840.129288.5076923076923132.2774889349300650.745349.8923076923076789.6461819638301360.454411.276923076923109.8231527827304370.213472.6615384615384126.4966515686164380.419534.0461538461539112.2379674164826690.000595.430769230769153.3302433455152310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101044.1807692307692387.9763313609467410107.29615384615383141.23076923076923211170.4115384615384482.650887573964530233.52692307692305141.2307692307692340296.6423076923077141.2307692307692350359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.9884615384615141.2307692307692380549.1038461538462141.23076923076923910612.219230769230987.9763313609467410044.1807692307692334.7218934911242513107.29615384615383125.2544378698224820170.4115384615384424.07100591715975230233.52692307692305141.2307692307692342296.6423076923077130.5798816568047359359.757692307692393.3017751479289967422.8730769230769103.9526627218934973485.9884615384615125.2544378698224886549.1038461538462109.2781065088757490612.219230769230934.7218934911242510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 3-7 12th 94.77 0.439 15.70
1 990 2012 Babel 4-6 8th 92.72 0.439 16.32 6-7 6th 2nd place
2 984 2019 Scott 3-7 13th 95.18 0.439 22.46 4-9 14th
3 974 2017 Pat 3-7 12th 89.60 0.439 18.20 6-7 7th
4 972 2019 Dave 4-6 11th 98.17 0.446 15.89 6-7 10th
5 971 2017 Schertz 3-7 13th 89.25 0.437 17.47 5-8 10th
6 965 2014 Kevin 3-7 13th 95.58 0.450 20.75 4-9 14th
7 961 2008 Allen 7-3 2nd 88.73 0.434 13.23 8-5 4th 5th place
8 961 2024 Schertz 4-6 11th 94.88 0.455 18.87 7-7 7th
9 961 2017 Rabbit 6-4 6th 89.51 0.447 14.55 6-7 9th
10 961 2018 Babel 3-7 13th 101.02 0.432 15.55 4-9 12th