2018 Pat (through 10 weeks)

1-9 (0.100), 857.67 points

14th place

2.39 expected wins (0.239)

26-104 all-play record (0.200)

+12.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.15 108.58 Kevin -32.43 Slapped Heartbeat
2 L 70.83 116.15 Derrek -45.32 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 73.08 107.26 Scott -34.18 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.27 114.06 Rabbit -46.79 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 46.68 71.44 Babel -24.76 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 104.47 110.61 Rob -6.14
7 L 100.32 137.51 Pulley -37.19
8 L 102.67 109.24 Ed -6.57
9 L 92.27 140.12 Mike R. -47.85
10 W 123.93 89.59 Richie 34.34
11 Dave
12 Matt
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.23076923076923015.2%80.5874125874126108.8240063918078710.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923102.4%33.73426573426574136.1341700633409500.0%80.587412587412676.41724355284651132.5%127.4405594405594471.99999999999999231.7%174.2937062937062673.55330745769717315.0%221.14685314685315109.3179892952653643.1%268.0134.676665658323150.2%314.8531468531468140.829050716788760.0%361.7062937062937141.2236914188292870.0%408.5594405594406141.2307462012270580.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613214th142.2589743589743298.15384615384613314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613414th272.77179487179484298.15384615384613514th338.0282051282051298.15384615384613614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613714th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.153846153846131014th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613214th142.2589743589743298.15384615384613314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613414th272.77179487179484298.15384615384613514th338.0282051282051298.15384615384613614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613714th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.153846153846131014th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613214th142.2589743589743298.15384615384613314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613414th272.77179487179484298.15384615384613514th338.0282051282051298.15384615384613614th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613714th468.5410256410256298.15384615384613814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.1538461538461310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
5
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Dalvin Cook RB
2.07 21 Kenyan Drake RB
3.08 36 Jarvis Landry WR
4.07 49 Sammy Watkins WR
5.08 64 Alshon Jeffery WR
6.07 77 Marcus Mariota QB
7.08 92 Benjamin Watson TE
8.07 105 Dion Lewis K RB
9.08 120 Kenny Stills K WR
10.07 133 Christian Kirk WR
11.08 148 Jordan Wilkins RB
12.07 161 Philadelphia DEF
13.08 176 Austin Hooper TE
14.07 189 Wil Lutz K
15.08 204 Jaylen Samuels RB
16.07 217 Case Keenum QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306129.2387894878580410.00071.66153846153847129.2387894878580420.000113.8153846153846129.2387894878580430.000155.96923076923073129.2387894878580440.000198.12307692307692129.2387894878580450.000240.27692307692305129.2387894878580460.000282.4307692307692129.2387894878580470.000324.58461538461535129.2387894878580480.000366.73846153846154129.2387894878580490.767408.8923076923076780.72955506257104100.05629.507692307692306125.7267265206512510.00471.66153846153847128.9756572395391520.022113.8153846153846127.854620441967613-0.027155.96923076923073130.947851605637254-0.095198.12307692307692135.2347793593136250.496240.2769230769230597.856506136580860.421282.4307692307692102.6312924966077870.463324.5846153846153599.9325002061577580.287366.73846153846154111.0598284190901590.000408.8923076923076732.2203206372840310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.23076923076923911425.680769230769282.650887573964510030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692352250.14230769230767130.5798816568047366294.026923076923109.2781065088757474337.9115384615384119.9289940828402383381.79615384615386125.2544378698224890425.680769230769224.07100591715975210All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Pat 1-9 14th 85.77 0.239 21.66 2-11 14th
1 928 2015 Allen 3-7 13th 77.71 0.253 14.91 4-9 13th
2 903 2023 Kevin 3-7 13th 84.48 0.283 19.56 4-10 14th
3 886 2010 Allen 4-6 9th 76.86 0.276 18.49 7-6 6th 4th place
4 880 2020 Dave 2-8 14th 76.00 0.203 17.77 3-10 14th
5 872 2019 Rob 3-7 14th 87.40 0.294 15.60 5-8 13th
6 861 2009 Pulley 2-8 12th 82.75 0.297 15.82 4-9 12th
7 858 2015 Kevin 2-8 14th 81.70 0.296 15.79 3-10 14th
8 853 2024 Pulley 3-7 13th 86.04 0.307 16.09 4-10 13th
9 849 2024 Derrek 3-7 14th 85.92 0.313 19.78 4-10 14th
10 845 2021 Rob 2-8 12th 85.67 0.312 16.95 2-12 14th