2019 Pat (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 636.45 points

6th place

3.33 expected wins (0.555)

40-38 all-play record (0.513)

+4.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 L 101.80 109.50 Mike R. -7.70
7 Richie
8 Scott
9 Dave
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923233.5%268.071.9999999999999930.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.3%47.120879120879124140.585272474335404.2%120.74725274725276132.6147629737536118.0%194.3736263736264103.9561963797907820.0%268.02.769230769230745329.8%341.626373626373679.58161361290368412.4%415.2527472527472115.6155944351726551.9%488.8791208791208137.336095218707216Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th129.2076923076923208.213017751479329th246.66923076923075185.727810650887635th364.130769230769295.786982248520744th481.5923076923076673.3017751479289956th599.053846153846118.27218934911241610th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793211th246.66923076923075230.69822485207136th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124146th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124156th599.053846153846118.2721893491124169th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793210th246.66923076923075208.213017751479335th364.130769230769295.786982248520746th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124156th599.053846153846118.272189349112416Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.267113.8153846153846122.736463962826420.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.876254.3282051282051380.5752436991767240.759324.5846153846153588.712018283751750.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.51343.55897435897436105.690148492348110.000113.8153846153846104.2421586948835920.409184.07179487179485112.940514672458230.000254.3282051282051319.91971816758423640.000324.5846153846153536.1932673367341850.505394.8410256410256106.246994797717066Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692316118.48846153846152109.2781065088757420191.62948717948714141.23076923076923313264.770512820512872.047337.9115384615384103.9526627218934950411.05256410256413141.230769230769236545.347435897435886114.6035502958579910118.4884615384615277.3254437869822525191.62948717948714114.6035502958579930264.77051282051282.769230769230773640337.911538461538466.6745562130177554411.05256410256413119.928994082840236All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 3-3 6th 106.08 0.555 14.60 6-7 9th
1 981 2024 Pat 4-2 4th 106.13 0.555 24.04 6-8 10th
2 972 2009 Mike R. 2-4 10th 101.30 0.557 12.67 5-8 10th
3 971 2015 Mike R. 4-2 3rd 101.08 0.559 15.14 8-5 4th 6th place
4 969 2011 Mike R. 3-3 6th 109.54 0.559 18.65 6-7 9th
5 962 2015 Babel 2-4 11th 105.28 0.560 26.63 5-8 10th
6 958 2020 Schertz 3-3 6th 108.89 0.568 16.24 6-7 9th
7 958 2010 Derrek 5-1 2nd 98.79 0.549 15.46 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 955 2008 Ed 4-2 5th 95.37 0.555 15.40 6-7 6th 3rd place
9 953 2009 Babel 2-4 9th 101.47 0.559 4.63 5-8 9th
10 953 2011 Allen 4-2 1st 107.50 0.573 16.87 7-6 5th 5th place