2024 Pat (through 6 weeks)

4-2 (0.667), 636.75 points (106.12 average)

4th place

3.33 expected wins (0.555)

44-34 all-play record (0.564)

-14.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 Rabbit
8 Derrek
9 Matt
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.23076923076923331.3%341.626373626373687.7664977079549440.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.0%47.120879120879124141.2094120805759601.6%120.74725274725276138.56840959457628116.6%194.3736263736264112.90439886899458240.5%268.072.030.0%341.626373626373634.30222618514065449.2%415.2527472527472125.441983945742750.9%488.8791208791208139.652169054323566Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th129.2076923076923230.69822485207128th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958536th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124149th481.59230769230766185.727810650887655th599.05384615384695.786982248520765th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th129.207692307692373.3017751479289925th246.6692307692307595.786982248520733rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728447th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041554th599.05384615384673.3017751479289967th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th129.2076923076923230.69822485207127th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041534th364.130769230769273.3017751479289948th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958554th599.05384615384673.301775147928996Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.35643.55897435897436116.5601826019310910.221113.8153846153846125.9621923454208220.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.668254.3282051282051395.007657247968340.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692350.991394.841025641025672.6062616534570560.00043.5589743589743691.8895959730929510.000113.8153846153846110.6936154600724120.893184.0717948717948579.3864984988610430.000254.3282051282051348.7845452651673740.199324.58461538461535127.4817752424130550.000394.84102564102563.9817540761448816Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456745.347435897435886103.9526627218934912118.48846153846152130.5798816568047320191.62948717948714141.2307692307692339264.770512820512893.3017751479289940337.9115384615384141.23076923076923513411.0525641025641372.06045.34743589743588666.6745562130177510118.48846153846152119.92899408284023212191.6294871794871477.3254437869822530264.770512820512845.37278106508874541337.9115384615384135.9053254437869850411.052564102564132.76923076923077366All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 4-2 4th 106.13 0.555 24.04 6-8 10th
1 982 2015 Babel 2-4 11th 105.28 0.560 26.63 5-8 10th
2 977 2019 Pat 3-3 6th 106.08 0.553 14.60 6-7 9th
3 970 2011 Mike R. 3-3 6th 109.54 0.558 18.65 6-7 9th
4 956 2015 Mike R. 4-2 3rd 101.08 0.558 15.14 8-5 4th 6th place
5 949 2010 Derrek 5-1 2nd 98.79 0.553 15.46 7-6 5th 3rd place
6 946 2015 Matt 4-2 2nd 103.26 0.540 30.39 8-5 3rd 5th place
7 946 2020 Schertz 3-3 6th 108.89 0.568 16.24 6-7 9th
8 943 2012 Ed 4-2 4th 108.52 0.574 28.90 8-5 4th 4th place
9 943 2022 Rabbit 4-2 3rd 99.73 0.541 25.93 8-6 5th 5th place
10 943 2022 Dave 2-4 11th 102.25 0.572 20.57 8-6 3rd 3rd place