2024 Pat (through 6 weeks)

4-2 (0.667), 636.75 points (106.12 average)

4th place

3.32 expected wins (0.554)

44-34 all-play record (0.564)

-14.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 Rabbit
8 Derrek
9 Matt
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.2307692307692310.0%266.90109890109886141.2307692307692320.0%368.0141.23076923076923331.1%469.0989010989011487.592120309081440.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692360.0%64.7032967032967141.197962356656901.7%165.80219780219778138.33040234040385116.8%266.90109890109886112.2355585916357240.1%368.071.9999999999999930.0%469.0989010989011433.9534713873935849.3%570.1978021978022125.1822710148758150.9%671.2967032967032139.598356528223386Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th129.2076923076923230.69822485207128th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958536th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124149th481.59230769230766185.727810650887655th599.05384615384695.786982248520765th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th129.207692307692373.3017751479289925th246.6692307692307595.786982248520733rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728447th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041554th599.05384615384673.3017751479289967th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th129.2076923076923230.69822485207127th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041534th364.130769230769273.3017751479289948th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958554th599.05384615384673.301775147928996Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.35963.430769230769236116.3640094532855510.225165.73846153846154125.6721301648736920.000268.04615384615386141.2307692307692330.661370.353846153846195.499321462426940.000472.66153846153844141.2307692307692350.987574.969230769230872.883867122777460.00063.43076923076923691.4972496758018510.000165.73846153846154110.1134910989781620.889268.0461538461538679.6665151468288630.000370.353846153846149.76787369408458540.202472.66153846153844127.2337295959523150.000574.96923076923084.5369650147855796Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456765.21923076923076103.9526627218934912170.41153846153844130.5798816568047320275.6038461538461141.2307692307692339380.7961538461538693.3017751479289940485.9884615384615141.23076923076923513591.180769230769272.06065.2192307692307666.6745562130177510170.41153846153844119.92899408284023212275.603846153846177.3254437869822530380.7961538461538645.37278106508874541485.9884615384615135.9053254437869850591.18076923076922.76923076923077366All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 4-2 4th 106.13 0.554 24.04 6-8 10th
1 980 2015 Babel 2-4 11th 105.28 0.560 26.63 5-8 10th
2 978 2019 Pat 3-3 6th 106.08 0.553 14.60 6-7 9th
3 968 2011 Mike R. 3-3 6th 109.54 0.558 18.65 6-7 9th
4 959 2025 Rob 4-2 5th 103.26 0.544 19.33
5 956 2025 Schertz 4-2 4th 104.80 0.540 18.49
6 954 2015 Mike R. 4-2 3rd 101.08 0.558 15.14 8-5 4th 6th place
7 951 2010 Derrek 5-1 2nd 98.79 0.553 15.46 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 949 2025 Kevin 4-2 3rd 111.11 0.561 32.08
9 948 2015 Matt 4-2 2nd 103.26 0.540 30.39 8-5 3rd 5th place
10 944 2020 Schertz 3-3 6th 108.89 0.568 16.24 6-7 9th